Another Week, Another Set of Brexit Scenarios
It seems the weather patterns behind the Brexit seem to changing at a more rapid clip – always ending up back ‘in irons’ (pardon the nautical terminology) as the clock steadily winds down to the March 29 separation. This past week, was particularly momentous with the Prime Minister’s proposal supposedly going to vote in Parliament; but May decided to pull the vote before the allotted session as it was clear it would be voted down handily. And, c
MP’s have voted to remove the Irish backstop and remove the possibility of a No-Deal Brexit in the latest round of Commons voting.
Venezuela’s Maduro is reported to have said he is ready to talk to the opposition. This could hopefully stop the escalation of unrest in Venezuela which yesterday saw defectors calling on the Trump administration to arm them against Maduro, labelling him a dictator.
The FTSE gained 1.75% yesterday whilst the Dow gained 0.8%
Meanwhile the Hang Se
Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un summit cut down to 30 minutes with no agreement reached and the joining signing ceremony cancelled, however, both parties are “looking forward to meeting in the future”
Tensions rise as India and Pakistan confirm attacks on both sides, with India admitting to conducting strikes against a militant camp on Tuesday and Pakistan claiming to have shot down Indian jets. This has led to worries of a potential South Asia war with the US, France, Australia and China ur
Asian stocks slide on further trade war tariffs.
Yen, treasuries and gold gain as traditional safe havens.
UK incomes for those in employment rise at the highest rate since the financial crisis according to IHS Markit yesterday.
CYBG confirmed yesterday it had agreed a £1.7bn tie up with Virgin Money.
Oil prices whiplash, but ultimately fall on expectations that OPEC and Russia will gradually increase output after withholding supply since 2017.
Written by Kyle Rodda - IG Australia
A big bounce, but a bottom? There’s little shortage of folks calling a bottom in the market this morning, but in truth it’s too early to tell if we are there yet. Sentiment indicators and other market internals suggest that the market could be oversold right now, however a short squeeze here-and-there and a shake-out of a few opportunistic bears doesn’t necessarily mark a change of trend. It’ll be returned to towards the end of this note, but in the inte
Uber has officially filed paperwork for the company's imminent IPO after observing rival Lyft's share price surge on opening only to fall below its IPO price later on. The ride-hailing company will be listed under the ticker "UBER" on the New York Stock Exchange. You can see how you can trade Uber's upcoming IPO on the IG website here.
It was a muted day for US equities on Thursday as the major indices remained little changed ahead of JP Morgan and Wells Fargo earnings announcements later
Chinese stocks decline and the renminbi devalued overnight, despite the PBoC reducing requirements for capital reserves. China's central bank to cut down Reserve Requirement Ratio, releasing 1.2tn Yuan in liquidity, and putting 750bn Yuan ($109bn or £83bn) in cash into the financial system. CSI300 down 3.7%.
The Australian ASX also saw sell offs moving the mining and finance centric index down 1.2%.
US employment figures out on Friday caused a flurry of Treasury sell offs, however
Written by Kyle Rodda - IG Australia
More information, greater confidence: Markets have been awash with data over the last 24 hours – and traders love it. It’s a behavioural quirk in financial markets: whether good, bad, or otherwise, an inundation of information paints a full and colourful picture of the world and satisfies that innate human desire for (an illusion) of control and certainty. The phenomenon echoes lessons that were reinforced upon the world all the way back in 2008 by one o
China announces a new round of trade talks with the US.
Asian shares, however, hit fresh one year lows on fears of an economic slowdown and the continued Turkish lira volatility.
Tencent's earnings shock really weighs on investor sentiment.
Amazon is said to be considering UK insurance comparison site.
Bitcoin holds above the crucial $6000 mark as crypto traders eye possible bullish reversal.
UK retail sales and Canadian ADP figures are the ones to look out fo
May's Brexit deal rejected by 230 votes making may's defeat the biggest in UK history of sitting governments. The no vote saw the GBP rise 0.05% to $1.28.
As a result of the landslide defeat May is to face vote of no confidence, the vote is expected to be held at 19:00 GMT.
Asian Stocks saw a mixed reaction following the Brexit news. Japan's Nikkei 225 fell 0.55% to 20,442.75 and the Topix index followed suit falling by 0.32% to 1,537.77 whilst the Kospi rose 0.43% to 2,106.1.
Crude prices gained, as Saudi Arabia leads OPEC and its allies into cutting Oil supply from December. The Saudis mentioned seasonal factors among concerns for weaker demand, as they laid ground for a wider production curb in 2019.
Gold holds steady near a one month low as it keeps losing lustre as a safe haven to the benefit of USD. Spot gold was little changed at $1,209.57 per ounce at 01.21 GMT. Will the commodity benefit from a more divided White House?
Yuan proxies such as AUD
Dolce and Gobbana tension rises as their goods are no longer available on a few Chinese e-commerce sites, including Taobao and JD. Com.
Spain threatens to vote against the Brexit deal as they request that any decisions in relation to the territory of Gibraltar to only be discussed directly with Madrid. EU negotiators are meeting today to try and resolve this before the summit taking place on Sunday
Asian markets show a decline with the Shanghai composite falling 2.25%, the Shenzhe
Macro-drivers: Global markets endured a night of mixed trading, sandwiched between several risk factors, and the waning optimism of the USMCA. US indices were generally lower, although the large-cap Dow Jones managed to register new all-time highs. European markets were held back by grief surrounding Italian fiscal sustainability, coupled with lingering concerns about the outcome of Brexit. The general sense of risk aversion led to an appreciating USD and climb in US Treasuries, pushing yields o
Markets fall as Fed raised US interest rate from 2.25% to 2.5%
At its lowest the Dow fell over 4% following the announcement (its lowest point in over a year) of which it has now seen a small retracement.
Asian markets we also affected, the Hang Seng was down 1.24% at close whereas the Nikkei lost 2.84%, a 15-month low
The announcement saw the dollar gain almost 0.5% against the dollar basket but as investors have fully digested the statements made by the Fed this now sits a
Today is considered ‘Super Thursday’ as a number of large UK retailers are set to release their Christmas sales data. This comes after a report from the British Retail Consortium which said that average retail sales saw 0% year on year growth
Jeremy Corbyn is expected to launch an election bid if May loses the Brexit vote, scheduled for Tuesday the 15th. Yesterday saw May suffer another defeat in the house of commons which will mean she will have just 3 days to come up with a plan B if he
Theresa May's government holds onto power, winning a no-confidence vote in parliament last night by 325 votes to 306. The Prime Minister has now set out to reach a cross-party solution for Brexit, although this will be extremely difficult as the PM was snubbed by the leader of the opposition last night saying that she is in charge of a "zombie government".
Sterling remained steady as the currency traded around the 1.2875 mark against the dollar after, as expected, Mrs May's government won
The US Dollar is holding within tight margins as investors are showing discretion ahead of the US Midterm elections that take place today.
The Dow closed up 190.87 points at 25,461.7 and the S&P rose 15.2 points closing at 2738.31 led by the financial and energy sectors.
The Nasdaq fell 0.38% lower at 7328.85 as Apple and Amazon both fell more than 2%
Apple has had its second downgrade since its earning report last week, as Rosenblatt Securities followed Bank of America
The FOMC will begin its 2 day meeting today, with the markets expecting a 25 basis points interest rate increase upon its announcement on Wednesday, which would make this its fourth hike this year.
Homebuilder sentiment in the US declined in December to its lowest point in over 3 years, and could be an early indication of an economic softening.
Theresa May has announced that the "meaningful vote" for her Brexit Withdrawal Agreement is due to be held in the third week of January, a
The pain in emerging markets continues to be too difficult to ignore, although it must be said that the effects of the crisis were relatively contained in overnight trade. There is this sneaking suspicion in markets presently, that whatever the worst outcome is for emerging markets, some of that must inevitably spill into the developed world. The issue is however, it remains to be seen how and where these signs of contagion may first show-up. Now of course it may not do so at all, but as the sco
May seems to have secured concessions from Brussels to let her keep all of Britain in a customs union and avoid a hard border. How close is a Brexit deal?
Sterling briefly jumped to a two-week high on Monday on growing hopes of a smooth Brexit.
The U.S. dollar struggled on Friday. The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of major currencies, was last off 0.1 percent at 96.459. Against the safe haven yen, the dollar held at 113.25 . The euro was flat at $1.1
Another shutdown of the US government has reportedly been avoided in the latest round of negotiations. Following the longest shutdown in the history of the US at the start of this year, the government was opened temporarily whilst budget negotiations continue.
US markets had a mixed session yesterday with the Dow down 0.21% but the S&P and Nasdaq marginally higher at 0.13% and 0.07% gains respectively. Could the end of shutdown fears spur a rally in today’s session?
With a sub
Written by Kyle Rodda - IG Australia
Volatility lower; risks remain: Financial markets face far fewer risk events this week, but as has been repeatedly observed in recent months, that does not preclude the possibility of ample volatility. If anything, with so much global economic and political uncertainty at present, the absence of news can make already murky circumstances appear murkier. Traders are still jumpy and rather trigger happy, though implied volatility has been downgraded over the
Facebook shares soared 12% after Earnings report of $2.38 per share crushed $2.19 expectation. Facebook's revenue forecast of $16.39 billion was also outdone coming it at a reported $16.91 billion
Tesla shares fell 5% in after hours trading after disappointing earnings report of $1.93 per share. This came after a 3.8% share rise in the regular session pre-results.
Microsoft also saw underwhelming results report. Despite beating earnings expectation of $1.09 by 1 cent per share, Mi
Banco Santander SA skipped an option to call 1.5 billion euros of convertible notes next month, after leaving investors in the dark for weeks. The news had the bonds trade at 97 cents on the euro, after being almost at par last week. A portfolio manager at Financiere de La Cite SAS commented that credit buyers “will need some serious new issue premium to touch that name again”.
Trading in Asia was optimistic on hopes of a trade war resolution as Trump commented during a cabinet meeting on
The growth-versus-risk paradigm shifted further in favour of the latter in the last 24 hours, as a multitude of stories compounded the bearish sentiment mounting in global markets. Though Chinese markets were more stable yesterday, an IMF report downgrading global growth forecasts for the first time since 2016 reinforced the possible growth-sapping impacts of the unfolding US-China trade war. Risks in Europe piqued again, following renewed inflammation of tensions between the Italian government
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