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Brexit break-down: APAC brief - 16 Nov

Written by Kyle Rodda - IG Australia Brexit break-down: The headlines in financial markets are mostly Brexit related. What was suspected has become so: Prime Minister Theresa May’s deal with the European Union has fallen by the wayside, potentially (if not, likely) rendering it mute. 24 hours is of course a long time in markets, and this time yesterday optimism was blossoming about a potential Brexit deal to end the years of debate and gridlock. The harsh reality has now bitten though, and

MaxIG

MaxIG

From Trade War to Fed - APAC brief 26 Sep

The overarching narrative in global markets is transforming from one preoccupied with the trade war, to one focused on Thursday morning’s (AEST) meeting of the US Federal Reserve. As far as developments in the trade war go, in a week bereft other major stories, traders are demonstrating tentative signs of ease on the subject. Markets are strapping themselves in for the long haul, and a begrudging acceptance that this thing will take time to play out is the prevailing mentality. With that in mind

JasmineC

JasmineC

Turbulent IMF talks impact Asian Equities - EMEA Brief 15 Oct

IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde commented that U.S. stock valuations have been “extremely high”, possibly implying a correction. On a similar line, U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin insisted that the stock sell-off wasn’t “surprising”, while insisting that U.S. fundamentals remain strong. Lagarde also advised to be ready for more market volatility During IMF U.S.-China trade tension was cited as a major reason for cutting its outlook for global growth. Intense Brexit t

IG-Andi

IG-Andi

Dead cat bounce in Asia? - APAC brief 16 Oct

Dead cat bounce in Asia? The ASX200 really couldn’t catch a bid yesterday. Most concerningly, it happened within a back drop of slightly higher volumes, showing that the sellers truly washed out the bulls throughout the day’s trade. The Asian region kicked-off the week sluggishly in general, unable and unwilling to run with the lead provided by Wall Street on Friday evening. The action in Asia prompted calls of a dead-cat bounce across global equities, something that has since been proven premat

MaxIG

MaxIG

China Growth Falls Below Expectations - EMEA Brief 19 Oct

China recorded its slowest growth in a quarter for almost a decade. GDP growth year-on-year came in at 6.5% down from estimates of 6.6%, largely down to the continued trade war with the U.S. and high debt levels. MSCI Asia Pacific Index recorded its worst three week decline since the start of January 2016 with volatility approaching similar levels seen in 2012, mainly due to China's performance and the recent equities' fallout. US indices further declined on Thursday as market vola

GeorgeIG

GeorgeIG

Inverted Yield Curves -APAC brief 5 Dec

Written by Kyle Rodda - IG Australia Inverted Yield Curves: There’ll probably be a lot of talk about “inverted yield curves” and “recessions” today. For some, reading such headlines will come as a shock. Perhaps even a cause of anxiety. It’s wise to understand why such commentary has emerged – and what that may imply. The price action in US Treasuries has been quite dramatic in the past 24-hours: the (what ought to be) familiar themes regarding a looming global economic slow-down, and the p

MaxIG

MaxIG

Sentiment shifts - APAC brief 29 Aug

The risks that markets have been vulnerable to all week have popped-up in the last twenty-four hours, wiping some of the shine off what has been an otherwise strong performance from global equities. The elephants in the room throughout the week’s trade has been the US-China trade-war, along with the simmering structural problems affecting emerging markets – developments in which had been conspicuously absent. Trade tensions were reinflamed during yesterday’s Asian session and then again overnigh

JasmineC

JasmineC

Market volatility remains - EMEA brief 12th July

Asian overnight: Market volatility remains evident throughout Asia, with yesterday’s sharp tumble being followed up by a strong rebound overnight. Chief amongst those gainers were the Chinese markets, which gained ground despite the ongoing trade war with the US. Suggestions that China and the US could resume trade talks has helped boost short term market sentiment. Crude prices were also fighting back in the wake of the biggest one-day decline in more than two years yesterday. UK, US and E

JamesIG

JamesIG

A split in the trade war path; growth forecasts; EU Parliamentary elections - DailyFX Key Themes

Are We Turning the Corner on Global Trade Wars?  There were a few very prominent, positive developments on the trade war front this past week, but is it enough to systemically change the course of the global economic standoff back towards the cooperative growth of the past? Throughout the past week, there was a building din of unconfirmed reports that US President Donald Trump would delay the decision on whether or not to apply tariffs on auto and auto part imports at the May 18th initial d

JohnDFX

JohnDFX

Trader's View - APAC brief 22 Aug

Overnight: The benchmark S&P500 reached new record highs overnight, as the record bull run on Wall Street continued. The S&P briefly touched the 2873-mark in the US session, led higher by consumer discretionary stocks, before selling-off in late trade following the news ex-Trump advisor Paul Manafort has been found guilty of financial crimes. The milestone achieved on Wall Street punctuated a respectable day on global equity markets, which were trading-off greater risk appetite until ear

JasmineC

JasmineC

Risk-off (again) - APAC brief 19 Oct

Risk-off (again): Just when it looked like it was safe to jump back into financial markets, it was risk-off again overnight, as market participants dwelled once more on the myriad of risks facing them. There’s nothing entirely new in what has developed during the European and North American session: the same confluence of factors that has weighed on sentiment in markets have simply reared their head again. It’s probably what makes this situation all the graver, if not at the very least, highly g

MaxIG

MaxIG

Trader's View - APAC brief 24 Aug

Global markets: Global equities retreated overnight as investors turned their attention to the several risk factors affecting markets at present. The Dow Jones, S&P500 and NASDAQ are all lower for the day, backing-up the modest losses sustained in European shares. The risk aversion is justifiable and reflects the general confusion of investors in a week bereft of powerful good news stories. The focus instead has been on the several distractions bemusing markets, including the unfolding Presi

JasmineC

JasmineC

MP's Vote To Extend Article 50 As The Brexit Saga Continues - EMEA Brief 15 March

Theresa May has scheduled another vote on her Brexit deal following the latest round of voting on the house of commons as MP’s voted last night to extend article 50. It still remains to be seen whether this extension will be agreed to by the EU. The US senate has voted to prevent funding for Trump’s border wall, the main sticking point of the government shutdown at the beginning of the year, potentially setting up a veto from the president. The FTSE was up 0.5% yesterday but most o

IGAaronC

IGAaronC

Hurricane Michael hits the US - EMEA Brief 10 Oct

MSCI All-Country Index, which tracks shares in 47 countries, hit the lowest level since August '16 overnight Crude hovers above $74 a barrel on concerns Hurricane Michael in the US may affect supply USD down as it does not keep pace with SGD. Trump comments that FED is moving rates too quickly Iron Ore Benchmark breaks back into $70s amid speculation over further stimulus from Chinese policymakers Trump accepted the resignation of Nikki Haley as US ambassador to UN. C

IG-Andi

IG-Andi

UK GDP today - EMEA brief 10 August

Asian markets move lower on the rather tedious reiteration of trade war fears. Huge volatility spike sees Turkish Lira dropping 13.5% against the USD. Oil prices edged up on worries that reimposed U.S. sanctions against Iran would tighten supplies. UK growth (Q2), trade (June) and production data (June) later today. Asian overnight: Asian markets followed their US counterparts lower, as trade fears continue to impact market sentiment. Japanese markets where the biggest

JamesIG

JamesIG

Trader's View - APAC brief 28 Aug

Sentiment and Wall Street: Risk appetite appears to be slowly returning to the bellies of investors, with global equity markets experiencing a synchronized push higher to start the week. Wall Street has led the charge of course, overnight adding to the all-time highs achieved at the end of last week. The S&P500 posted a remarkable gain of 0.72 per cent as that index entered rarefied air, while the Dow Jones added 1 per cent to crack the 26,000-mark once more. Trade wars and emerging market t

JasmineC

JasmineC

Shifting sentiment - APAC brief 19 Sep

It was a choppy day in markets as sentiment vacillated in response to the latest escalation in the US-China trade war. US President Trump made traders wait a little longer than was flagged for his administration's trade announcement, leaving it until well after Wall Street's close to drop the news. Upon the eventual release, initial reactions were unfavourable: though the $US200bn worth of tariffs would go ahead on September 24th at the rate of 10 per cent, this will be upped to 25% come the sta

JasmineC

JasmineC

JPY hedging activity surges ahead of Golden Week - EMEA Brief 24 Apr

Hedging activities in JPY are building up as the Golden week in Japan approaches. Japanese markets will be shut for 10 days from Friday’s close in occasion of the accession of the new emperor to the throne. The situation could prove risky as this was the sort of environment where we saw flash crashes in the JPY against USD and AUD back in January. The S&P benchmark was up 0.9% on the day, following strong earnings releases on Tuesday. The performance could be moderate for the rest of

IG-Andi

IG-Andi

FOMC rate decision day - EMEA brief 13th June

US equity markets traded firmer overnight whilst Asian markets, for the most part, trade lower this morning Fed rate hike and FOMC meeting later today seems priced in US tariffs on Chinese goods reiterated by Washington Bitcoin falls to a 2 and a half month low on regulatory concerns  PwC facing a £10m fine over their poor BHS audit Tesla cuts 9% of staff with a refocused goal of profitability UK, US and Europe: A mixed affair in Asia saw gains in Japan o

JamesIG

JamesIG

May to Visit Brussels Following Brexit Progress – EMEA Brief 09 Nov

Theresa May to visit Brussels today to meet with EU leaders. The visit will see May attend ceremonies marking 100 years since the end of the First World War and she will also have a working lunch with French President Emmanuel Macron which is expected to cover the Brexit deal following news of a draft withdrawal agreement this week. US Fed holds rates as expected with a further hike anticipated in December which saw USD gains and Treasury yields hit highest level since 2008 Chinese

IGAaronC

IGAaronC

US Fed watch: APAC brief 19 Dec

US Fed watch: The US Fed meeting has been kickstarted and the markets are shuffling around in anticipation. US equities at time of writing are putting in a mixed performance, though al major Wall Street indices remain trading below key technical levels. It comes following a day in which Asian and European markets sold-off in sympathy with Monday night’s rout in North American shares. A desire for safety has supported a bid in US Treasuries: they are higher across the board. Interest rates trader

MaxIG

MaxIG

EM currencies offered down - EMEA brief 13 Aug

Geo-political troubles in Turkey push the lira lower, whilst selling in EM currencies spreads to South African rand and Argentine peso.  Asian stocks fall further.  Euro slips as the usual safe haven yen, the Swiss franc, and the dollar bid up. Cryptocurrencies mixed in the aftermath of the ETF rejection by the SEC.  Asian overnight: Asian markets exhibited a clear risk-off mood, with the fallout from the recent Turkish and Russian led selloff continuing to impact on m

JamesIG

JamesIG

Chinese Markets Rebound on Government Support - EMEA Brief 22 Oct

Chinese stock have rallied with the Shanghai Composite Index gaining more than 4% as officials attempt to support the market as GDP figures last week fell short of the 6.6% growth target by 0.1% The rest of the APAC region followed suit with all major indices apart from Australia's ASX 200 making gains.  Dominic Raab has stated there may be some flexibility on the Irish border issue. The Brexit Secretary made the comment in an interview which may allow negotiations continue for a s

IGAaronC

IGAaronC

Brexit: European leaders approve withdrawal agreement - EMEA Brief 26 Nov

May will start her two-week campaign to sell her historic Brexit deal to MPs as EU leaders have agreed on the UK's Brexit deal during the summit held in Brussels over the weekend, outlining it is "the best and only deal possible". European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker explained that anyone who thinks that the EU will offer improved terms if MPs reject the deal will be left "disappointed" - MPs are expected to vote on the 12th of December. Asian equity markets had a mixe

GeorgeIG

GeorgeIG

Trade Wars Progress Falters, Seasonal Volatility Return, Who is Devaluing? - DFX key themes

A Habit of Cutting Down Progress Towards Ending Trade Wars  This past week, optimism was dangled in front of the markets and violently snatched away before it became too established. We have been dealing with the escalation of explicit competition in trade policies for the since March, and each hint of progress in turning the major players back from economic stalemate has been consummately dashed. This past week, there were two fronts on which it seemed we were heading for an important brea

JohnDFX

JohnDFX

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