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Week US jobs data - APAC brief 11 Mar

US NFPs: The final bastion of global economic growth is showing cracks in it walls. Arguably last week’s key-release, US Non-Farm Payrolls disappointed market participants over the weekend, printing well below expectations. It wasn’t a clear-cut, poor print. The unemployment rate dropped to 3.8 per cent and wage-growth climbed to 3.4 per cent. The shocker was the headline number: forecast to reveal a jobs-gain of 180,000, the US economy only added 20,000 last month. It’s given rise to concerns t

MaxIG

MaxIG

Democrats Take Control of the House; Republicans Hold Senate - EMEA Brief 7 Nov

US mid-term elections have resulted in a gridlock in Washington, Trump's Republican Party hold the senate having had key victories in Texas, Indiana and North Dakota. The Democrats have gained control of the House of Representatives which has set up a divided Congress until the next presidential election in 2020. The dollar has dipped as the dust settles on the results of the mid-terms, the Euro and Yen both rose 0.2% against the dollar. The dollar index, which measures the value o

GeorgeIG

GeorgeIG

Holiday conditions vs risk, Italy on a collision course, Brexit inevitabilities - DFX Key Themes

Will Holiday Conditions Save Us from Fundamentals and Speculation?  Normally, there is not a strong appetite for holiday trading conditions because it can materially slow markets – and most traders seek out volatility, even if it is as much a risk as a basis for potential. However, this year, there will be a strong appetite for the typical conditions associated with the time of year. In 2018, we have seen an extraordinary bout of volatility with dramatic bear waves in benchmark risk assets

JohnDFX

JohnDFX

G20 begins APAC brief - 28 Jun

G20 Summit begins: Market attention turns, almost singularly, to this weekend’s G20 Summit, today. There are numerous issues with significant financial market and global economic implications to be discussed at the event – the general concern about a global economic slow-down the overarching one. But of course, at the centre of everything, almost eclipsing the Summit’s primary purpose, is the highly anticipated meeting on Saturday afternoon between US President Donald Trump, and Chinese Presiden

KirbyIG

KirbyIG

Cabinet summoned to Westminster as draft Brexit deal reached - EMEA Brief 14 Nov

Theresa May faces a crucial cabinet meeting today at 14:00 UK time as she seeks support from senior ministers for her draft Brexit deal between the EU and the UK. In light of the news of a potential Brexit deal being agreed, the pound rose 0.12% against the dollar on Wednesday morning and 0.16% against the Euro. The US equity markets generally ended down as Wall Street fails to claw-back earlier losses from the lackluster performance of the energy sector. The S&P slipped 0.2%,

GeorgeIG

GeorgeIG

Trade talks knocked as Trump threatens to quit NAFTA - EMEA brief 03 Sep

Asian markets were largely negative, dropping for a 3rd consecutive session on further trade escalation US - Canada trade talks knocked as Trump threatens to quit NAFTA altogether US markets closed for Labor Day Oil prices dipped lower on Monday on the back of rising supply from OPEC and the U.S Asian overnight: The two main rounds of negotiation on Friday have come back to bite markets at the start of this week, with the breakdown in US-Canada trade talks and UK-EU Bre

ChrisWa

ChrisWa

Stocks sell-off in Europe and the US: APAC brief 8 May

Stocks sell-off in Europe and the US: Global equities appear in pull-back mode. Ignoring Asia’s solid-enough day, European and US stocks have tumbled. The Euro Stoxx 50 shed 1.78 per cent overnight, while the FTSE100 dropped 1.63 per cent, and the S&P500 has given-up 1.65 per cent. It looks as though just when one assumed the latest trade-war developments lacked true bite, the conflicts potential consequences have reared their head in price action. Trade talks this week take-on an even great

MaxIG

MaxIG

A (shallow) sea of red - APAC brief 15 Jan

A (shallow) sea of red: There is a lot of red across the board for global equity indices to start the week, but the extent and strength of the downside swings have so far proven quite benign. The theme dominating markets yesterday and overnight was that of slower global growth. It kicked-off more-or-less following the release of some abysmal Chinese trade figures, that added further concern that the Chinese, and therefore global economy is heading for a significant slow-down. The data sparked a

MaxIG

MaxIG

Global stocks - APAC brief 14 Jan

Global stocks: Global equities will be forced to prove their mettle this week. Price action suggests that for many equity indices, the market is ambling at a cross-road. The macro-economic challenges moving markets in general haven't been resolved. That remained true during last week's trade, which saw global stocks move higher, in general. The difference this week is there are more numerous and higher impact risk-events that could make or break the stock market's recovery. There will be no shor

MaxIG

MaxIG

APAC brief - 17 June

US Retail Sales capped-off last week: The climax of last week’s trade was Friday night’s US Retail Sales data release. As is well known, sentiment in the market centres around concern for the state of the global economy. As the biggest component, of the world’s biggest economy, US consumption data was hotly awaited to test the thesis that the global economy is winding down for another cycle. As it turns out: right now, those fears are very slightly exaggerated, if the US Retail Sales data was an

MaxIG

MaxIG

Wall Street rout - APAC brief 24 Dec

Wall Street rout: Wall Street capped-off last week with another day of considerable losses, even despite Europe posting an okay day. Come the end of the trading session, the Dow Jones had lost 1.81 per cent, the S&P500 had lost 2.06 per cent and the NASDAQ had lost 2.99 per cent. The fact markets are entering the thin holiday period doesn’t help. One assumes that many-a investor would be rather reluctant to be sitting at Christmas lunch this year holding open-positions in equities given this

MaxIG

MaxIG

US-China Trade Deal 'moving along nicely' - EMEA Brief 04 Mar

Reports over the weekend have indicated that the US and China are in the later stages of trade talk discussions in a deal which could see tariffs and sanctions lifted on both sides. Donald Trump tweeted over the weekend asking China to remove all tariffs on agricultural products and that trade talks are "moving along nicely".  Asian equity markets reacted positively to the trade talk progress; the Nikkei rose 1%, whilst the Shanghai Composite increased by 2.5% and the Hang Seng jumped 1.2

GeorgeIG

GeorgeIG

Stocks fall as markets adjust US rate expectations: APAC brief 3 May

Stocks fall as markets adjust US rate expectations: Traders have gone about repricing a world without the same imminence of rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve overnight. US Treasury yields have climbed markedly, during the North American session in particular, dragging with it stock indices. The S&P500 has traded 0.21 per cent lower, as traders apparently take their profits and adjusted their forecasts in line with the new dynamic. The action seen in the last 48 hours has given undue meri

MaxIG

MaxIG

Wall Street’s follow-through - APAC brief 8 Jan

Wall Street’s follow-through: Markets have basked in the afterglow of Wall Street's bull-friendly Friday session. They've gotten what they've been screaming for: some strong data and a more-dovish US Federal Reserve. For the first time in a month, perhaps more, trade has been characterised by a relative sense of calm. The VIX is drifting lower and toward the 20-mark. Stocks are up on Wall Street after a solid day in Asia, and global bonds are down. This could all change in an instant, that much

MaxIG

MaxIG

Trump Threatens Tariffs on EU Goods; Oil Continues to Rise - EMEA Brief 09 Apr

The Office of the United States Trade Representative has posted a list of goods that the US is considering to impose tariffs on from the EU, which includes aircraft, motorbikes, cheese and wine. The tariffs on some $11bn products from the EU is in response to the subsidies the bloc gives to Boeing's rival Airbus, which has caused "adverse effects to the Unites States". US equities had a mixed session on Monday coming of the back of a strong growth last week. Both the S&P and Nasdaq ed

GeorgeIG

GeorgeIG

Currency war risks; Fed policy cues; Pound slide - DailyFX Key Themes

Enough Threats of a Currency War and You Find Yourself In One It has been a common theme in the negotiations between the United States and the countries they have targeted for trade inequities that aggressive language has preceded tangible action. While both sides (the US versus the ‘World’) have been clearly willing to dole out the warnings, it has been the White House that has advanced both action and intimidation far more willingly. At this stage, we have seen the trade war level out som

JohnDFX

JohnDFX

Trade Talks Restart - EMEA Brief 29 Mar

US-China trade talks have restarted in Beijing as U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said on Friday that he had a "productive working dinner" the previous night. Investors are hopeful that progress will be made to resolve the bitter trade dispute between the two largest global economies, amid growing concern of a slowing economy as the bond market signals a possible incoming recession.  Theresa May is set to make a third attempt to pass a Brexit deal today, as the MPs are asked to vot

JoeIG

JoeIG

Fed rate cut; another year of trade war; a currency war - DailyFX Key Themes

ECB Didn’t Live Up to Lofty Speculation, Will the Fed?  There is a span of high-level rate decisions this coming week, but only one of these updates carries serious potential to not only move its domestic assets but further potential to generate reaction from the entire financial system: the FOMC. This past week, the European Central Bank offered us a look into how far the dovish reach of the largest central banks is currently stretching. Against heavy speculation that the group was going t

JohnDFX

JohnDFX

Oil prices slip - EMEA brief 20 Aug

Asia shares inch up with yuan ahead f Sino - US talks.  UK minsters release their first ‘no deal’ Brexit documents on Thursday in an effort to prepare for a “worst possible” outcome. Persimmon results are expected tomorrow, with many in the sector looking to the release as a barometer for the wider housing sector and how a rising inflation rate will affect the market. Iran has stressed to OPEC over the weekend that no other member country should take up the slack for reduced

JamesIG

JamesIG

Brexit to be postponed until May, if MPs approve a deal next week- EMEA Brief 22 Mar

EU agrees to postpone Brexit until 22 May if MPs approve a deal next week, otherwise the UK will leave by 12 April, a much shorter deadline Levi Strauss shares rocket, with initial public offering above expectations at $17, and closing at $22.5 China to potentially miss out on $5.5trillion growth opportunity in digital trade if they do not build effort on data privacy and intellectual property protection issues Uber to be listed on the New York Stock Exchange and is predicte

KatherineIG

KatherineIG

Positive China-US Trade Talks Ease Investor Sentiment - EMEA Brief 2 Nov

Trade tensions between the US and China have finally shown signs of easing as Donald Trump described the conversation he had with Xi on Thursday as "long and very good" and later tweeted that trade discussions were "moving along nicely". Chinese stocks rally in afternoon trading following Trump's tweet, as the Shanghai Composite rose 2% along with a 3.5% increase in Hong Kong's Seng index. US stocks also reacted positively to the potential progress of US-China trade relations. The

GeorgeIG

GeorgeIG

Fed decision; President Trump trade wars; Bias on Euro, Pound, Yen - DailyFX Key Themes

There is Way Too Much for the G20 to Cover  Typically, the G-20 summits that brings together leaders for some of the world’s largest developed economies cover matters that are important but not especially urgent. For the meeting in Osaka, Japan this coming Thursday and Friday (June 28-29), the members will officially and unofficially have to cover topics of exceeding importance. That would seem unusual considering we are still in the longest bull market on record and the closest state to ge

JohnDFX

JohnDFX

Shift in preception - APAC brief 7 Jan

A shift in perceptions: The fundamentals shifted on Friday. It wasn't a complete "180", but enough to change market sentiment in favour of the Bulls. The highly anticipated monthly Non-Farm Payrolls figure, along with US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's interview, delivered the goldilocks outcome market participants were craving. For those holding hope for financial markets and the global economy, the information gathered from each event soothed nerves that a major global economic slowdown

MaxIG

MaxIG

UK economy grows amid Brexit stockpiling - EMEA Brief 11 Apr

The British economy managed to grow in the month of February as manufacturers are said to have increased stockpiling in preparation for the original Brexit deadline of March 29. GDP grew 0.2% MoM in February, despite predictions of economic stagnation amid fears of a global economic slowdown.  The UK and EU have agreed to extend the Brexit deadline until October 31. The "flextension", which allows the UK to leave before the deadline if a deal is approved in Parliament, means that the UK w

DanielaIG

DanielaIG

Sentiment cooling - APAC brief 11 Jan

Written by Kyle Rodda - IG Australia Sentiment cooling: Sentiment is cooling and the drivers that have sustained global equity's recovery are subsiding. It's no cause for alarm (yet) by any means. The markets are demonstrating a level of short-term exhaustion after its chaotic December. The same risks remain; traders have just shifted their views. The concerns regarding a slow-down in global growth have abated somewhat, though the issue is still simmering. The outlook for how the Fed will a

MaxIG

MaxIG

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