Market sentiment: Markets put in a mixed day on Friday. The results for global equities were generally poor, but absent were any violent swings in market activity. Individual regions traded -off apparently their own idiosyncratic drivers, characteristic of the diverse web of risks plaguing investors. Chinese indices were the stand-out, climbing more than 2.5 per cent, collectively, while European shares were generally lower, and US stocks were mixed. The mood is still edgy and dour for equities
China recorded its slowest growth in a quarter for almost a decade. GDP growth year-on-year came in at 6.5% down from estimates of 6.6%, largely down to the continued trade war with the U.S. and high debt levels.
MSCI Asia Pacific Index recorded its worst three week decline since the start of January 2016 with volatility approaching similar levels seen in 2012, mainly due to China's performance and the recent equities' fallout.
US indices further declined on Thursday as market vola
Risk-off (again): Just when it looked like it was safe to jump back into financial markets, it was risk-off again overnight, as market participants dwelled once more on the myriad of risks facing them. There’s nothing entirely new in what has developed during the European and North American session: the same confluence of factors that has weighed on sentiment in markets have simply reared their head again. It’s probably what makes this situation all the graver, if not at the very least, highly g
Following Brussels summit Theresa May hints the UK may consider longer transition period resulting in the UK remaining tied to the Euro bloc's rules for a period of 21 months after the exit day
Trump escalates economic confrontation with Beijing by announcing his intention to withdraw the US from China Shipping Treaty
Cannabis stocks slipped after Canada’s legalisation. Aurora Cannabis Inc posting a 15% slide shortly after market opened yesterday. Popular ETFs ETFMG Alternative Ha
Fed minutes: The week’s blockbuster event dropped over night: the release of the FOMC’s Monetary Policy Minutes. Equity markets have staged a tentative turnaround globally this week, but it has all been occurring in the shadows of what could be gleaned from last night’s Fed minutes release. When all is weighed up, the document reaffirmed the Fed’s hawkishness, revealing in-depth discussions ranging from cutting the word “accommodative” from the central bank’s language, to debating the possible n
Trump announces that the Fed is his biggest threat as they are increasing rates ‘too quickly’
Theresa May is to visit Brussels for an EU summit today to agree on the terms of the UK-EU agreement, in order for a final decision to be made in November
Netflix quarterly results show yet another rise in new subscribers, signing up 6.96 million customers in this quarter, totaling a global amount of 137.1 million
Canada becomes the second country to legalise the use of Cannabis and
Wall Street: It's still early days, but investors appear to have regained their nerve overnight. The Asian session was tepid, to be sure, however a rally in European and US equities reveal a market that has found its appetite for equities again. As the existing narrative would imply, much of this was underpinned by a fresh appetite for rate-sensitive US big tech stocks, which according to the NASDAQ, rallied almost 3 per cent overnight, leading both the Dow Jones and S&P in the realms of 2 p
U.K. monthly average earnings and monthly unemployment release today at 9:30 BST. Earnings forecast to be stable at 2.6% whilst the unemployment rate is forecast to be 4%. The releases could be an important signal to the current economic health of the UK.
The US federal budget deficit rose 17% to $779 billion in the 2018 fiscal year due to a surge in government spending.
EM currencies rallied to a 2-month high as the Turkish Lira leads the way, climbing as much as 2.1%. The Brazili
Dead cat bounce in Asia? The ASX200 really couldn’t catch a bid yesterday. Most concerningly, it happened within a back drop of slightly higher volumes, showing that the sellers truly washed out the bulls throughout the day’s trade. The Asian region kicked-off the week sluggishly in general, unable and unwilling to run with the lead provided by Wall Street on Friday evening. The action in Asia prompted calls of a dead-cat bounce across global equities, something that has since been proven premat
Hurricane Michael is already regarded as one of the strongest hurricanes ever to hit US. The worst hit areas of Florida’s northwest coast saw significant damage to residential property, along with President Trump authorizing FEMA to step in and coordinate disaster efforts.
Even though the worst might have already passed, the 2018 North Atlantic hurricane season is likely to have sizable effect for the next seven weeks. The effect on the markets can be notable around this time, with the fol
The music entertainment arm of Tencent, which has 800 million users across a variety of platforms in China, had originally planned to go public in the United States imminently. The IPO was initially set to launch as soon as this week but has now reportedly been delayed because of the recent global sell-off. It is not the first company to pull out or postpone an IPO in the recent weeks, and whilst Tencent have declined to comment on the decision, it’s likely to be on the back of volatility seen i
Risk Trends Trembles, Is it the ‘Crazy’ Fed’s Fault
Market’s suffered a painful correction this past week. From peak-to-trough, the benchmark I like to refer to as a measure of hold-out enthusiasm, the S&P 500, dropped nearly 8 percent. That is still a ways from the technical ‘bear market’ designation which is a 20 percent correction from peak highs, but that scale of loss from a seemingly indefatigable climber rattles confidence. To be clear, the slump in sentiment was not isolated to
IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde commented that U.S. stock valuations have been “extremely high”, possibly implying a correction. On a similar line, U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin insisted that the stock sell-off wasn’t “surprising”, while insisting that U.S. fundamentals remain strong. Lagarde also advised to be ready for more market volatility
During IMF U.S.-China trade tension was cited as a major reason for cutting its outlook for global growth.
Intense Brexit t
Expected index adjustments
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NB: All dividend adjustments are forecasts and therefore speculative. A dividend adjustment is a cash neutral a
Rout over? There are tentative signs that the global equity rout witnessed last week has subsided, at least for now. The tone shifted during Asian trade on Friday, and despite a weak day for European markets, Wall Street ended the week on a positive note, led by a bounce in the major tech stocks. It’s not to say that there isn’t the risk that this sell-off may not continue at some stage this week: in fact, futures markets are indicating a sluggish start for Asia today. More to the point, the fun
The Dow Jones continues its tumble, losing more than 1,300 in two days, as worries over interest rates and trade barriers continue.
The S&P dropped 2%, bringing its October losses to 6%
The sell off in the US also saw sell offs in Europe, with FTSE down 1.9%, DAX 1.3%, CAC 1.8% and EU STOXX 1.95%.
The VIX rose almost 9%, reaching it’s highest levels since February this year
Despite rising interest rates and a booming economy, bank stocks are trading lower, reachi
What happened? The sell-off continues, and despite a brief pause during Wall Street trade that opened hopes of an end to this rout, it was quickly dashed as investors went back to dumping stocks. The chaos that has ensued in the last 24 hours raised myriad of questions. But the first one is inevitably this: why did that happen? In short: there’s not a clear answer. That isn’t to say that there isn’t reasoning behind the sell-off; on the contrary, there’s plenty to explain it. Rather, it’s a matt
US sees largest market fall in 8 months with the Dow Jones losing over 800 points in the main session.
Asian markets followed suit with both Tokyo and Hong Kong down over 3%. The Taiwanese index was down 6% with the MSCI Asia Pacific average coming in at an average loss of 3.5% for the region
The tech sector saw the biggest losses yesterday with FANG companies losing between 4-9%
Oil saw its biggest 2 day loss since July as supply concerns continue. The US are set to anno
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index pulled back last night with gambling shares having a bad time after falling revenues in Macau's casino region. US-Sino tensions rise as a US ship enters Chinese territory. Stay on top of currency markets as trade war tensions rise with #IGForexChat.
The financial and healthcare sectors pushed the ASX lower whilst China remained closed for another public holiday. Bank of Australia holds cash rate at 1.5%.
Japan’s Nikkei was the lone star in the Asian over
The U.S. and Canada agreed to a trade deal that would preserve a three-way bloc with Mexico, setting the stage for their leaders to sign the accord by the end of November. The new deal will be called the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement, or USMCA.
Mexican peso and Canadian dollar gains as uncertainty is lifted and greater stability takes hold of the Americas.
The euro was hit by worries about a rise in Italy's fiscal deficit after the Italian government agreed to set a higher than expe
Volatility is up, and risk appetite has been dulled. The VIX traded towards the 22 figure overnight, while currency safe havens such as the Yen were sought amid a somewhat remarkable sell-off across global equities during the European and North American sessions. It’s a matter of markets continuing to adjust to a world of higher interest rates and US Treasury yields – coupled with the expected panic when prices recalibrate to evolving fundamentals. A strong enough argument can be made that we ar
MSCI All-Country Index, which tracks shares in 47 countries, hit the lowest level since August '16 overnight
Crude hovers above $74 a barrel on concerns Hurricane Michael in the US may affect supply
USD down as it does not keep pace with SGD. Trump comments that FED is moving rates too quickly
Iron Ore Benchmark breaks back into $70s amid speculation over further stimulus from Chinese policymakers
Trump accepted the resignation of Nikki Haley as US ambassador to UN. C
The growth-versus-risk paradigm shifted further in favour of the latter in the last 24 hours, as a multitude of stories compounded the bearish sentiment mounting in global markets. Though Chinese markets were more stable yesterday, an IMF report downgrading global growth forecasts for the first time since 2016 reinforced the possible growth-sapping impacts of the unfolding US-China trade war. Risks in Europe piqued again, following renewed inflammation of tensions between the Italian government
Asia stocks at 17-month low as China lets yuan slip. China’s central bank fixed its yuan at 6.9019 per dollar on Tuesday.
Dow: After 3-day downtrend and a drop of 200 points the Dow rises for the first time.
Sovereign debt markets were calmer overnight whilst the 10 yr US Treasury maintained its 7 and a half year high.
Oil prices are steady but up 0.6% after a late boost on Monday. Supply side shortages from Iranian sanctions claims the move.
Google bug caused Shares
Markets welcomed back the Chinese from holiday and all the bad news came together at once. That’s not to say the world’s problems, at least as it applies to global markets, can be rooted in China. Frankly, it was a hapless start for the week, by any measure. The build-up of trader fears simply over flowed during yesterday’s Asian session, as China’s markets attempted to digest a whole week of news all at once. Most of these issues sit beyond Chinese borders, with the fundamental issue remaining
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