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US-China Trade Deal 'moving along nicely' - EMEA Brief 04 Mar

Reports over the weekend have indicated that the US and China are in the later stages of trade talk discussions in a deal which could see tariffs and sanctions lifted on both sides. Donald Trump tweeted over the weekend asking China to remove all tariffs on agricultural products and that trade talks are "moving along nicely".  Asian equity markets reacted positively to the trade talk progress; the Nikkei rose 1%, whilst the Shanghai Composite increased by 2.5% and the Hang Seng jumped 1.2

GeorgeIG

GeorgeIG

US-China empire building, Eurozone stability, Brexit - DFX Key Themes

The United States and China Jostling for Economic Supremacy The world’s largest economies are starting to update on the status of their health. And, though it may not seem to be the case in these speculatively charged markets, financial performance relies heavily on a healthy global expansion. This past Friday, China reported its third quarter GDP reading. The 6.5 percent clip would be an enviable pace for most of the developed world, but for this debt laden country, this is slowing to a pa

JohnDFX

JohnDFX

US traders return - APAC brief 27 Nov

Written by Kyle Rodda - IG Australia US traders return: It’s nice to be back to some normal programming. The big-wigs on Wall Street have returned to their desks and volumes across the market are looking far healthier. After last week’s sell-off and volatility, and well before the meaty part of trade this week, traders appear to have had their appetite for risk whetted. Only slightly, of course: there is an acute awareness that the next seven days will hurl up some major events and some sig

MaxIG

MaxIG

US trade showed greater equanimity: APAC brief - 7 May

A rocky start to the week: The first day of the week’s trade can be reasonably said to have ended – and it was a tumultuous one. US President Trump’s tweeting of new tariffs on the Chinese economy sparked a level volatility not experienced in the financial markets for several months. It certainly had the effect of waking some (perhaps) complacent market participants from their slumber. And although the panic has abated somewhat, sentiment has been dented again this morning, after an announcement

MaxIG

MaxIG

US stocks register new milestone - APAC brief - 11 Jul

US stocks register new milestone: The S&P500 registered fresh all-time highs, and touched the 3000-mark for the first time in its history, after Fed Chair Jerome Powell, during his testimony before US Congress overnight, provided implicit assurances that the Fed is open to cutting interest rates at the end of this month. Chair Powell cited weakness in the global economy and trade-conflicts as being the primary reasons for this shift in his view – though he did stress that the fundamental out

KirbyIG

KirbyIG

US Sanctions, Currency Wars and Financial Crises - DFX Key Themes

It is Not Wise to Start Financial Fires in a Market so Parched for Value The financial markets find themselves in between two storm fronts. On the one hand, there is the seasonal liquidity drain that is associated with Summer trade. More historical norm than actual exchange closures, the ‘Summer Doldrums’ present a consistent curb on volume, open interest, volatility and productive trend year after year. However, the restraint is not guaranteed. Though not as common as those Fall (for the N

JohnDFX

JohnDFX

US Non-Farm payrolls released: APAC brief - 8 Jul

Market sentiment: The prevailing wisdom in the market was challenged on Friday night, and it resulted in a small shift in fundamentals. US Non-Farm payrolls were released, and despite the overarching bearishness towards the US economic outlook currently, managed to exceed expectations. Granted, the unemployment rate ticked higher and wages growth fell. But the jobs change figure revealed a much better than expected 224,000 jobs were added to the US economy last month. The results naturally weren

KirbyIG

KirbyIG

US Mid-Terms Preview - 6 Nov

Written by Kyle Rodda - IG Australia I'm mad as hell and I am not going to take this anymore! It was this sentiment in November 2016 that raised political-renegade and anti-establishment Republican Presidential candidate Donald Trump from rank-outsider and laughing-stock to President of the most of powerful country in the world. No one seemed to see it coming, and as electoral college votes were slowly counted on Election Day almost exactly 2 year ago, the world sat in awe as what was consi

MaxIG

MaxIG

US mid-term outcome - APAC brief 8 Nov

Written by Kyle Rodda - IG Australia The fallout: The US mid-terms have passed, and while there were signs throughout yesterday's trade that the vote would throw up a few curly situations, the outcome fell broadly in line with market expectations. The VIX has dropped and US equities, paced by the NASDAQ, have subsequently rallied, primarily on the knowledge that everything went according to plan -- proving the notion that the biggest drag in markets all-in-all is uncertainty. There are enum

MaxIG

MaxIG

US markets closed - EMEA brief 4th July

Asian overnight: Another bearish session overnight saw Chinese and Hong Kong indices lead the decline, with the first round of tariffs on Chinese goods set to take effect on Friday. The recent decline in the yuan was arrested, with strong dollar selling pressure from Chinese banks looking like intervention from the Chinese authorities. Australian data came in mixed, with a strong retail sales reading counteracted by a lower than expected trade balance figure. Meanwhile, the Chinese Caixin servic

JamesIG

JamesIG

US markets close higher in volatile session - EMEA Brief 28 Dec

US equities rallied late on Thursday to close higher in a wild session which saw the Dow finishing 1.1% up, after initially falling over 500 points earlier in the day. The S&P and Nasdaq also fell 2.8% and 3.3% respectively, but both ended in positive territory after the late surge. Donald Trump is said to be considering an executive order which will ban US firms from using equipment built by Chinese companies ZTE and Huawei, according to a Reuters report. Overall, European mar

GeorgeIG

GeorgeIG

US government shutdown ends; Brexit Plan B vote; heavy data week - DailyFX Key Themes

The US Government Shutdown is Over, Now What? Late last week, US President Donald Trump announced from the White House that he would back a stopgap funding bill that would reopen the federal government in full. This would mark the end of a record-breaking (35-day) partial shutdown of the US government. Normally, that would be reason for a swell in market enthusiasm. An onerous pressure on the US economy – a 0.13 percentage point reduction in GDP – suddenly lifted would typically manifest in

JohnDFX

JohnDFX

 

US government shutdown ends; Brexit Plan B vote; heavy data week - DailyFX Key Themes

With the Fed’s Language, Global Central Banks Signal Softening Policy Global monetary policy has shifted more noticeably to the dovish extreme of the scale over the past months, but investors were overlooking this questionable support because the markets were under serious duress. Yet, after the three-month tumble leveled out into a meaningful recovery into January, market participants began to look for fundamental reasoning to justify their growing confidence for their exposure. With the F

JohnDFX

JohnDFX

US Fed watch: APAC brief 19 Dec

US Fed watch: The US Fed meeting has been kickstarted and the markets are shuffling around in anticipation. US equities at time of writing are putting in a mixed performance, though al major Wall Street indices remain trading below key technical levels. It comes following a day in which Asian and European markets sold-off in sympathy with Monday night’s rout in North American shares. A desire for safety has supported a bid in US Treasuries: they are higher across the board. Interest rates trader

MaxIG

MaxIG

US Equities Rise as Corporate Earnings Season Continues - EMEA Brief 17 Apr

The Dow was up 0.11% as positive news from Boeing boosted the index, the Federal Aviation Administration said that the software update to the 737 Max aircraft is "operationally suitable". The S&P increased marginally by 0.05% whilst the Nasdaq gained 0.3%. Netflix shares have dropped 1% after its earnings report yesterday, after announcing a weaker than expected guidance for Q2 as well as its CMO, Kelly Bennett, announcing her retirement this year. Although, Q1 earnings per share were

GeorgeIG

GeorgeIG

US elections, a round of rate decisions, global disputes - DFX Key Themes

Remove the Political Bias, Focus on the Volatility  There has been plenty of political risk keeping the markets at a steady simmer these past months. Some situations like Italy’s budget stand-off with the European Union and the Brexit negotiations are more overt concerns. However, the general rise of populism and the erosion of cross border diplomacy (trade wars, sanctions, failed trade deals, etc) represents a more systemic risk. Yet, despite the ubiquity of this fundamental influence, the

JohnDFX

JohnDFX

US economy still leads the pack - APAC brief 4 Feb

US economy still leads the pack: The bounce in global equity markets has been uniform, but the economic data is pointing to a return of the “diverging global growth” narrative. It was what dominated the latter half of 2018: the US is humming, while the rest of the world economy languishes. The difference in economic fortunes isn’t quite so stark now, however it remains conspicuously extant. It becomes a matter of how long such a dynamic can last. Frankly, market participants had resigned themsel

MaxIG

MaxIG

US cancels trade meet with Chinese Officials- EMEA Brief 23 Jan

A mixed session for the Asian markets this morning, following the report of the US cancelling the trade meet with Chinese officials due to outstanding disagreements over intellectual property rules. Shanghai composite, Hang Seng Index and Nikkei 225 rose slightly in comparison to ASX 200, Shenzhen component and Shenzhen composite which saw a slight decline US stocks fall overnight as the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined by over 300 points, the S&P 500 by 1.4% and Nasdaq Composite

KatherineIG

KatherineIG

US and China agree tariff ceasefire; Markets soar - EMEA Brief 3 Dec

The US and China have agreed a temporary ceasefire on additional tariffs on each others goods at the G-20 summit in Argentina to allow for trade talks to continue in the new year. Dow futures soared more than 450 points as investors have reacted positively to the US-China news. Nasdaq futures also rose around 2.7%, followed by S&P 500 futures which jumped 1.7%. The dollar depreciated on Monday as investors looked to take up positions in riskier assets, such as the Australian do

GeorgeIG

GeorgeIG

US & China ramp up tensions - EMEA brief 07 Aug

The Asia equity market ex-Japan are looking at their lowest levels since July last year. Tech sector as a whole was hit by a drop in chip stocks yesterday as well as a knock to social media. Investors are cautious that new U.S. tariffs on China could come into play at any time. Yen and Swiss franc are looking to be bid up for those looking at safe harbours. Non-farm payrolls are out later today. Asian overnight: Yet again trade concerns weighed on Asian markets,

JamesIG

JamesIG

Update on trade war - APAC brief 18 Sep

US President Trump’s administration has announced the next round of tariffs on $US200bn worth of Chinese imports. The tariffs will be at a rate of 10 per cent, increasing to 25 per cent by the end of the year. The tariffs will be implemented on the 24th of September. The Chinese have stated that they will not come to the negotiating table if this second round of tariffs were implemented. We will be awaiting their response in the coming days.   The price action quoted below is evolving,

JasmineC

JasmineC

Up, down, turnaround - APAC brief 12 Mar

Up, down, turnaround: It’s been a bipolar market of late. Global stocks are moving in unison, and have swung from broad-based losses on Friday, to broad-based gains overnight. US equities are naturally the exemplar and are a responsible for driving overall risk appetite. With an hour left in trade (and as a quick aside, Wall Street closes at 7am AEDT for the next few weeks) the S&P500 is up well over 1 per cent. It’s been a day of relatively low activity. However, breadth is expansive: over

MaxIG

MaxIG

UK Retail Sales Average Flat Heading Into Super Thursday – EMEA Brief 10 Jan

Today is considered ‘Super Thursday’ as a number of large UK retailers are set to release their Christmas sales data. This comes after a report from the British Retail Consortium which said that average retail sales saw 0% year on year growth Jeremy Corbyn is expected to launch an election bid if May loses the Brexit vote, scheduled for Tuesday the 15th. Yesterday saw May suffer another defeat in the house of commons which will mean she will have just 3 days to come up with a plan B if he

IGAaronC

IGAaronC

UK MPs hold their own 'Super Tuesday' - EMEA Brief 29 Jan

As MPs prepare to vote on amendments to the Brexit Plan, Theresa May has set the 13th of Feb as the date to hold a second round of voting on her Brexit deal. Apple is set to release its Q4 earnings after market close today. According to Zacks Investment Research, the EPS is expected to be $4.17, an increase of 7% YoY. This will be a crucial earnings report for Apple, as it pre-announced its December results on January 2nd, lowering revenue expectations by 8%, and blaming the slowdown on w

DanielaIG

DanielaIG

UK GDP today - EMEA brief 10 August

Asian markets move lower on the rather tedious reiteration of trade war fears. Huge volatility spike sees Turkish Lira dropping 13.5% against the USD. Oil prices edged up on worries that reimposed U.S. sanctions against Iran would tighten supplies. UK growth (Q2), trade (June) and production data (June) later today. Asian overnight: Asian markets followed their US counterparts lower, as trade fears continue to impact market sentiment. Japanese markets where the biggest

JamesIG

JamesIG

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