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Trade war risks replace remissions; a reminder of recession risks; leveraging complacency risk - DailyFX Key Themes

Trump Threatens to Move Forward With Dec 15 Tariff Escalation, Considers Section 301  There have been a few critical developments these past few weeks that could have significant deescalated the daunting momentum of global trade wars. However, with each small improvement, we are met with an asterisk that could quickly undermine the good will as well as an alternative stab to weaken the outlook for global trade. For the US-China engagement, the White House backed off of the planned tariff es

JohnDFX

JohnDFX

 

US-EU trade war; central banks; range, breakout or trend conditions? - DailyFX Key Themes

Will the White House Pick a Fight with Europe?  The long-awaited first step towards de-escalating the most taxing trade war in modern financial history – between the US and China – took place this past week. Representatives for both countries, US President Trump and Chinese Premier Liu He (notably not President Xi) participated in a very long signing ceremony. The contents of this first stage for finding a long-term and full compromise is important as is stands as the symbolic doorway with

JohnDFX

JohnDFX

 

Growth signals sour; Fed and ECB testimony; China in focus - DailyFX Key Themes

An Economic Update on the Calendar and In the Public Eye Concern over the course of the global economy was revived this past week with a few troubled indicators raising awareness, but the real interest was what arose in the market-based measures. With the recovery in capital market measures, the meaningful divergence in performance from growth-sensitive assets like copper and crude oil (with a 13-day consecutive drop and 13-month low respectively). In fact, the 60-day correlation – a three-

JohnDFX

JohnDFX

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