Written by Kyle Rodda - IG Australia
Inverted Yield Curves: There’ll probably be a lot of talk about “inverted yield curves” and “recessions” today. For some, reading such headlines will come as a shock. Perhaps even a cause of anxiety. It’s wise to understand why such commentary has emerged – and what that may imply. The price action in US Treasuries has been quite dramatic in the past 24-hours: the (what ought to be) familiar themes regarding a looming global economic slow-down, and the p
Written by Kyle Rodda - IG Australia
2018 reaches a climax this week: It’s effectively the last serious trading week of the year, and the economic calendar reflects that. Indeed, there’ll be a handful of days between Christmas and New Years to keep across, but with little news and thin trade, it’s tough to imagine anything coming out of them. The markets are still ailing, with the bears firmly in control of price action. There’s so many risk-events coming up this week, traders with a bearis
Bitcoin could have bottomed as its priced stabilized after the big disappointment it gave earlier this year. As the cryptocurrency has corrected 80-90% multiple times in the past, the slump this year could only be another bump in the road. However, scalability issues flog the currency as its promoters try to entail it in the real economy. Is the crypto market ready for another roller-coaster?
Oil temporarily bottomed after falling 7%, amidst concerns over the strength of global trade. Wes
Fed on tap: It’s a commentary written on the fly this morning, as developments out of this morning’s US Federal Reserve meeting are being digested by markets. The Fed has hiked rates just as they were expected to do, with market participants now trawling through the fine print in the Fed’s commentary. We were expecting a “dovish hike”; what we got looks like a “less-dovish than-expected-hike”. The dot plots were revised as presumed: the Fed has told the markets that it expects interest rates to
Facebook Inc. works on its plans to create a cryptocurrency allowing money to be transferred on Whatsapp, focusing on the remittances market in India first
Chinese stocks become one of the worst performers globally as the Shanghai composite and Shenzhen index fall over 20% and 30% respectively this year
US Futures show a slight incline in performance for stocks on Wall Street, following a fall for the second day in a row. Dow Jones Industrial Average suggests an opening gain over a
China's stock market leads 2018 losses with both major indexes, the Shanghai composite and the Shenzhen component each facing annual declines of over 24%.
2018 saw both Australia and Hong Kong's benchmark indexes face annual declines. The ASX 200 falling 6.9% compared to its 2017 closing, whilst the Hang Seng index saw around a 13% decline compared to 2017.
China's manufacturing sector contracted for the first time in two years.. The official Purchasing Manager's Index reporting a
Asian stocks fell as China's export data indicated a shock contraction, declining by 7.6% since July 2016. This points to deepening cracks in the world's second largest economy and increased fears of a significant slowdown in global growth and businesses.
The CSI 300 was down 0.8%, falling from a 3 week high reached on Friday. The Hang Seng slipped 1.4% as both the financial and technology sectors took a hit.
US equities ended Friday with marginal losses, however the S&P 500 m
Coffee giant Starbucks announced that same-stores sales grew by 4% in its home US market, with overall revenue also beating expectations. Speaking about the results, CEO Kevin Johnson said that "Our streamline efforts over the past six quarters are paying off by allowing us to bring more focus and discipline to our three strategic priorities".
Talks are continuing in the US as the Senate tries to reach an agreement to end the government shutdown, which is now in its 34th day. The White ho
As MPs prepare to vote on amendments to the Brexit Plan, Theresa May has set the 13th of Feb as the date to hold a second round of voting on her Brexit deal.
Apple is set to release its Q4 earnings after market close today. According to Zacks Investment Research, the EPS is expected to be $4.17, an increase of 7% YoY. This will be a crucial earnings report for Apple, as it pre-announced its December results on January 2nd, lowering revenue expectations by 8%, and blaming the slowdown on w
The Asia equity market ex-Japan are looking at their lowest levels since July last year.
Tech sector as a whole was hit by a drop in chip stocks yesterday as well as a knock to social media.
Investors are cautious that new U.S. tariffs on China could come into play at any time.
Yen and Swiss franc are looking to be bid up for those looking at safe harbours.
Non-farm payrolls are out later today.
Asian overnight: Yet again trade concerns weighed on Asian markets,
Alphabet, Google's parent company, saw its share prices fall over 3% in extended trading on the back of continuing pressure on advertising prices and decreasing margins - adding to the concern over the company's periodic surges in spending. This comes despite the company beat expectations across the board in its Q4 results.
Theresa May will travel to Ireland today to try to ease concerns over a hard border situation in Ireland upon Brexit. Meanwhile, UK Steel has warned that a no-deal Br
Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin has invited Chinese delegates to a new round of trade talks. The news breaks just days after Trump threatened additional tariffs on Chinese goods.
Asian equities edged higher on Thursday in response to news braking of potential US-China trade negotiations, and have partially recovered previous losses.
While the UK and Europe prepare for the final rounds of Brexit negotiations, the government steps up its contingency planning. The prime minister i
Theresa May is set to meet with European leaders today to have crucial talks about amending her Brexit proposal with all of the focus on the Irish backstop. She flies to Brussels a day after European Council president Donald Tusk faced backlash after he claimed there is 'a special place in hell for Brexiteers'.
The Bank of England is set to announce its rate decision today at noon, with forecasts expecting rates to be unchanged until some of the Brexit uncertainty has passed.
Trump to impose an additional 10% tariff duty on China rising to 25% next year if no deal is reached.
China's yuan down on the back of trade war talks, whilst a stimulus package helps support the equity market.
Gold's typical 'safe haven' status isn't re enforced this time around, with flow seen into the USD over the precious metal.
Nickel, aluminium and bellwether metal copper hit on the LME by the $200bn tariff. Oil drops on the same news.
Mining shares also hit as
Trade Wars Update: It No Longer Matters?
Seemingly a routine occurrence for the global financial markets, we saw the state of global trade deteriorate yet again through the past week. As expected, the United States went forward with tariffs on an additional $200 billion in Chinese goods. The terms are for a 10 percent rate on a range of imports that will increase to 25 percent by the end of the year. The standard, immediate response from China was quickly implemented, but only on $60 billi
Asian stocks are broadly higher ahead of the Fed rate decision later today, whilst the NZ dollar is buoyed by higher business confidence.
Trump and Iranian President Hassan Rouhani came to a head at the UN General Assembly on Tuesday with the US President vowing more sanctions against Tehran, whilst President Rouhani suggested that Trump suffers from a "weakness of intellect." Trump is really trying to bring the price of oil into play before the midterms as high oil prices could hit the
Samsung announced the Galaxy Fold the first consumer available phone to feature a folding display. The new phone also comes with a $1,980 price tag.
Barclays report full-year net profit of £1.4 billion for 2018, pulling back from 2017's significant losses.
Theresa May reports positively about Brussels talks but is it too little too late after three Tory MPs quit the party to join an independent group yesterday.
Google have stated that the omission of the Nest Guard home a
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 0.3 percent, while Japan's Nikkei dropped 0.5.
Global bond sell-off triggers the biggest decline in US equities in nearly four months. As 10-year treasury yields surge to the highest level since 2011, fears that current rates could restrain growth has hit stocks across the US, Europe and Asia.
FTSE 100 posting its biggest drop since August yesterday.
The Dow Jones drops more than 250 points as treasury yield rat
Chinese stocks decline and the renminbi devalued overnight, despite the PBoC reducing requirements for capital reserves. China's central bank to cut down Reserve Requirement Ratio, releasing 1.2tn Yuan in liquidity, and putting 750bn Yuan ($109bn or £83bn) in cash into the financial system. CSI300 down 3.7%.
The Australian ASX also saw sell offs moving the mining and finance centric index down 1.2%.
US employment figures out on Friday caused a flurry of Treasury sell offs, however
Markets welcomed back the Chinese from holiday and all the bad news came together at once. That’s not to say the world’s problems, at least as it applies to global markets, can be rooted in China. Frankly, it was a hapless start for the week, by any measure. The build-up of trader fears simply over flowed during yesterday’s Asian session, as China’s markets attempted to digest a whole week of news all at once. Most of these issues sit beyond Chinese borders, with the fundamental issue remaining
Asian stock market retreats as China rally fades a day after Chinese stocks posted their biggest one-day advance in over 2 years. The Hang Seng is down 3.3% whilst the CSI 300 is currently down 3.5%.
The Dow Jones and the S&P closed lower on Monday, currently both down around 1% amidst worries over corporate earnings reports due in the coming week and rising geopolitical tensions.
The Saudi All-Share Index is down 4.4% this month, almost its worse month since October last year,
Expected index adjustments
Please see the expected dividend adjustment figures for a number of our major indices for the week commencing 29 Oct 2018. If you have any queries or questions on this please let us know in the comments section below. For further information regarding dividend adjustments, and how they affect your positions, please take a look at the video.
NB: All dividend adjustments are forecasts and therefore speculative. A dividend adjustment is a cash neutra
Philip Hammond to announce the last UK annual budget plan before Brexit on Monday
HSBC announces a rise in profit before tax of around 28% year-on-year to $5.922billion
IBM to acquire Red Hat for $34billion, buying all shares at $190 each
Jair Bolsonaro wins Brazilians Presidential election with just over 55% of votes
Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union votes falls to 28% from 38.3% from the last election
Economic growth for China fell short of expectations, in
May seems to have secured concessions from Brussels to let her keep all of Britain in a customs union and avoid a hard border. How close is a Brexit deal?
Sterling briefly jumped to a two-week high on Monday on growing hopes of a smooth Brexit.
The U.S. dollar struggled on Friday. The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of major currencies, was last off 0.1 percent at 96.459. Against the safe haven yen, the dollar held at 113.25 . The euro was flat at $1.1
Written by Kyle Rodda - IG Australia
Overnight bounce: A bounce in equities has finally arrived, unwinding some of the week’s heavy losses. As it currently stands, the NASDAQ – ground zero for much of the recent market correction – is leading the pack, up 1-and-a-half per cent for the day, followed by the S&P, which is up 0.8 per cent, and the Dow Jones, which is up 0.65 per cent. Volumes are down generally speaking, so the recovery today lacks bite – though the Thanksgiving holiday in
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