Expected index adjustments
Please see the expected dividend adjustment figures for a number of our major indices for the week commencing 9th July 2018. If you have any queries or questions on this please let us know in the comments section below. For further information regarding dividend adjustments, and how they affect your positions, please take a look at the video.
NB: Special Divs are highlighted in orange
No special dividends this week.
A lack of trade war news is jumped on by Asian equity markets which rally for a third consecutive session.
Boris Johnson follows David Davis and resigns from his position of Foreign Secretary sparking speculation of a rebellion.
Oil dropped yesterday after Merkel and Li commit to Iran nuclear deal, before supply shortages and strikes in of oil workers in Norway aided the reversal for brent and WTI to finish up.
Gold prices inch up amid the continued Brexit uncertainty, whils
Asian session solid on reduced trade war fears.
UK equity markets follow suit, along with a strong bidding war emerging for Sky, giving a green day for the FTSE yesterday and a positive start to the day today.
However data from China today showing a record trade surplus risks further inflaming trade tensions.
Trump is visiting the UK and has said that PM May is executing Brexit incorrectly.
Trump's comments suggest May's Brexit plan is likely to kill hopes of a US t
Asian shares down. China sees GDP growth data for Q2 soften which fuels fears as trade war row concerns build.
Trump and Putin will sit down today for their first ever summit. Remarks from the pair could boost defence stocks.
May's Brexit brings another MP resignation as the trade bill fight looms over the government.
The UK's Rightmove house price index was published this morning and shows continued stalling and devaluation in London’s housing market. This could be seen as
Oil prices dropped after an industry group reported that U.S. crude inventories rose last week, defying analyst expectations for a significant reduction.
Wage growth in Britain is slowing according to new data out yesterday, casting a shadow on the likelihood of a BoE rate hike in August. All eyes should be on UK CPI data later today.
Feds Powell said the “best way forward”, despite an impending trade war, was to continue to gradually increase rates.
IBM have backed a ‘stabl
Asian equity markets are mixed, however some pushed higher overnight over a volatile trading session as the Chinese yuan bounced off a one year low.
Trump showed displeasure towards the Fed's hikes, criticising policy and highlighting concerns on the potential impact of rising interest rates on the US economy causing the Dollar to sag.
The Comcast / Disney bidding war for 21st Century Fox ended yesterday with the former pulling out of the race. Comcast still plan on pursuing Sky.
Expected index adjustments
Please see the expected dividend adjustment figures for a number of our major indices for the week commencing 23rd July 2018. If you have any queries or questions on this please let us know in the comments section below. For further information regarding dividend adjustments, and how they affect your positions, please take a look at the video.
NB: Special Divs are highlighted in orange
Just When You Think Trade Wars Can’t Grow More Extreme…
The last we left global trade wars heading into the close Friday July 13th (the week before last), the situation was already firmly planted in worrying escalation with little sign of relief in the sidelines of diplomacy and political cheerleading. The United States was still applying its metals tariffs against competitors and colleagues alike, the $34 billion intellectual property oriented tariffs were in place against China (not to m
Fear of an increase in protectionism from the United States causes Asian equity markets to dip.
Profit warnings rise 29% quarter on quarter to 58 FTSE listed companies. Retail sector leads the way, and its expected the earnings shall continue due to uncertainty in the future.
Brexit secretary Raab says that the ‘no deal’ option is still on the table. GBP opened marginally down, but came back and has now gained from the Friday close.
G20 central bank leaders have warned that
Asian market gain whilst Chinese shares hit a 1 month high on hopes of a government stimulus package.
Hedge funds bet on higher government bond yields extending the USD gains, and prompting a gold sell off.
Oversupply worries continue with oil causing a drop in prices.
Despite Google's Alphabet multibillion dollar fine, shares jump on results to a record breaking all time high.
Crypto markets currently up but generally trading in a range.
Asian overnight: A p
The Turkish lira crashes yesterday as the central bank decided to keep rates unchanged despite soaring inflation.
The UK housing market looks to remain stagnant as figures released by HMRC showed housing transactions slipped last month by as much as 3%. House sales were down nearly 6% YoY. Housing market data in the US set to release today, so keep an eye out at 12 midday and 3pm for mortgage apps and new home sales figures.
Banking shares continue to gain globally. Metro bank has
Asian equity markets mixed overnight on better than expected Trump trade talks, but poor US futures - notably Facebook results.
Saudi Arabia is suspending the shipment of oil via the Red Sea following an attack from Yemeni Houthi.
Gold steady as dollar eases after US and EU trade talks.
Big results day for the European market with Shell, Diageo, Nestle, Daimler, and AB InBev set to give trading updates.
The corporate focus remains crucial for US markets of late, with
Asian overnight equity markets broadly subdued for central banks data test.
Dollar steady and range bound before key central bank meetings this week.
Oil is mixed, however brent has eased as trade tensions continue to weigh.
Gold prices have eased on the slightly stronger dollar.
With Facebook, Twitter and Intel results all disappointing last week, the street may be cautious with the release of Apple's end of year tomorrow.
Asian overnight: Overnight markets ha
Asian equity markets have crept slightly higher overnight following on from a firm Wall Street finish yesterday.
Apple gains 4% on good results yesterday as it races with Amazon to be the world's first trillion dollar company.
Turkey sharply increased their inflation forecast yesterday to 13.4% just a week after keeping interest rates on hold.
Bitcoin pulls back to a one week low, however still ends the month about 20% higher MoM.
Oil has pulled back after industry da
US-China Trade War Moving Beyond Boundaries
As expected, the relief from trade wars didn’t last long. Not a week after US President Trump and EU President Juncker announced an armistice on tariffs between the two dominant economies, the former revived pressure on its favorite target: China. Trump had issued threats of escalating tariffs against its trade-dependent counterpart over previous weeks, but the impact of the warning seemed to come with shorter half-lives than what we had experienc
Fresh trade war chat causes Asian equity markets to see red as investors remain spooked.
PBoC helps support Chinese assets by raising the reserve requirements on some forward FX positions, effectively making it more expensive to bet against the the Chinese currency.
US dollar remains steady on the US jobs data on Friday, with currency markets focusing on the yuan.
Saudi crude production printed a surprising dip in July, and with American shale production seemingly plateauing
Solid US earnings yesterday support the Asian market and China sees a rebound.
GBP has slipped to its lowest level in 11 months on Brexit ‘no deal’ fears.
The British heatwave and World Cup has boosted discretionary consumer spending in July according to Barclaycard.
Oil gains as US renews sanctions against Iran.
Gold gains slightly as lower price levels and the key level of $1200 support seen historically induce buying.
Asian overnight: Asian markets wer
Earnings solid coming from the US continues to push futures up overnight.
Oil prices held steady, supported by a report of rising U.S. crude inventories as well as the introduction of sanctions against Iran.
Elon Musk tweeted last night regarding taking Tesla private. Stock up as he quoted a $420 price target.
Crypto markets slump following SEC bitcoin ETF delay.
Today there’s a 39.1 point FTSE div (updated from 39.0 on the dividend adjustment post) and a 25.8 Dow div
Asia share markets mixed, China up on stimulus hopes
GBPUSD hits a one year low as Brexit fears continue.
Sterling’s slump guided the FTSE on a stellar rally.
USD/TRY poised for continued big volatility swings over US/Turkey meeting.
Oil price steady after sliding 3% yesterday.
Asian overnight: Asian stocks were largely higher, with Japanese indices providing the one outlier amid a wider rally led by rampant upside for Chinese and Hong Kong stocks. One major dra
ASX yesterday: SPI futures have the ASX200 edging slightly higher this morning, following a day in which the Australian market challenged the significant 6300-handle once more. The strong activity perhaps came as somewhat of a shock to traders, given the humdrum session on Wall Street the night before, combined with the floating of several geopolitical risks. Some solid earnings reports set the foundations for the yesterday’s run, namely from financials stocks Suncorp and Magellan; but the real
Asian markets move lower on the rather tedious reiteration of trade war fears.
Huge volatility spike sees Turkish Lira dropping 13.5% against the USD.
Oil prices edged up on worries that reimposed U.S. sanctions against Iran would tighten supplies.
UK growth (Q2), trade (June) and production data (June) later today.
Asian overnight: Asian markets followed their US counterparts lower, as trade fears continue to impact market sentiment. Japanese markets where the biggest
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Geo-political troubles in Turkey push the lira lower, whilst selling in EM currencies spreads to South African rand and Argentine peso.
Asian stocks fall further.
Euro slips as the usual safe haven yen, the Swiss franc, and the dollar bid up.
Cryptocurrencies mixed in the aftermath of the ETF rejection by the SEC.
Asian overnight: Asian markets exhibited a clear risk-off mood, with the fallout from the recent Turkish and Russian led selloff continuing to impact on m
Turkeys government has said it would provide liquidity and cut reserve requirements to Turkish banks yesterday. Lira drops.
MSCI world equity index which tracks shares in 47 countries across the globe, down 1.1% yesterday and subdued overnight.
Nikkei bounces 2.3% overnight.
Deutsche Bank pointed to 5 lenders most at risk in the country due to a ‘meaningful presence’ - BBVA, UCG, ING, BNPP, and HSBC - the latter of which was down 0.72% on the closing bell yesterday.
Turkey: Financial markets regained their cool overnight, returning to some semblance of normal trading conditions. Traders appear a little more comfortable with the Turkey situation, apparently reassured by the idea that developed economies and financial markets are shielded from the direr consequences of a Turkish borne financial crisis. The core issue is unlikely to disappear entirely, given hostilities between the US and Turkey have only escalated in recent days. Moreover, global fundamentals
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