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The Week Ahead On The Markets


MongiIG

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The Week Ahead

Read about upcoming market-moving events and plan your trading week

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Week commencing 14 February

Chris Beauchamp’s insight

UK data takes centre stage with CPI, employment data and retail sales. In addition, US PPI will also be worth watching. After the latest US CPI figure this week’s Fed minutes might not add anything else, especially given how some regional Fed chiefs have issued statements on the outlook for rates. Earnings season in the US is winding down, but Standard Chartered and Natwest earnings mark the beginning of reporting season for UK banks.

 

Economic reports

  • Weekly view

Monday

11.50pm – Japan GDP (Q4, preliminary): 5.8% YoY and 1.4% QoQ growth expected. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

Tuesday

7am – UK employment data: January claimant count to fall by 40,000, unemployment rare to hold at 4.1% for December. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

10am – German ZEW index (February): index to rise to 55.1. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US PPI (January), Empire state mfg index (February): prices to rise 0.2% MoM and index to rise to 3.5. Markets to watch: USD crosses

Wednesday

1.30am – China CPI (January): prices to rise 1.2% YoY and 0.5% MoM. Markets to watch: CNH crosses

7am – UK CPI (January): prices to rise 5.4% YoY and fall 0.1% MoM. Core CPI to rise 4.2% YoY. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

1.30pm – US retail sales (January): sales to rise 1.7% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses

1.30pm – Canada CPI (January): YoY CPI to hit 4.9% and MoM to rise to 0.1%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses

3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 11 February): stockpiles fell by 4.8 million barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI

7pm – FOMC minutes: these will reflect the likelihood of a rate rise at the next meeting in March. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

 

 

Thursday

12.3am – Australia employment (January): unemployment rate to hold at 4.3%. Markets to watch: AUD crosses

1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 12 February), Philadelphia Fed mfg index (February): claims rose to 223K in the preceding week. Markets to watch: USD crosses

11.30pm – Japan CPI (January): prices to rise 0.9% YoY. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

 

Friday

7am – UK retail sales (January): sales to rise 2.9% MoM. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

3pm – US existing home sales (January): sales to rise 0.1% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses

3pm – eurozone consumer confidence (February, flash): index to rise to -6. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

 

 

 

Company announcements

 

 

Monday
14 February

Tuesday
15 February

Wednesday
16 February

Thursday
17 February

Friday
18 February

Full-year earnings

Michelin

Glencore

 

Standard Chartered,
Reckitt Benckiser,
Moneysupermarket.com,
Air France KLM,
Airbus,
Nestle,
Commerzbank

Natwest,
Hermes,
Renault,
Allianz

Half/ Quarterly earnings

 

 

Airbnb,
Viacom

Heineken,
Carrefour,
NVIDIA,
AIG,
Kraft Heinz,
Cisco,
Applied Materials

Liberty Global,
Dropbox,
Walmart

 

Trading update

 

 

 

AVEVA

 

 

 

Dividends

FTSE 100: Imperial Brands, Pershing Square, BP, Shell

FTSE 250: NCC, Hipgnosis Songs Fund, Beazley

Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day, e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.

 

Index adjustments

 

Monday
14 February
Tuesday
15 February
Wednesday
16 February
Thursday
17 February
Friday
18 February
Monday
21 February
FTSE 100  

 

9.88      
Australia 200 0.5 10.6 0.9 0.1 0.4 1.4
Wall Street 9.4 4.1 13.0 7.0    
US 500 0.51 0.60 0.64 0.65   0.06
Nasdaq   3.03 0.60 0.25   0.23
Netherlands 25     0.88      
EU Stocks 50       0.5    
China H-Shares            
Singapore Blue Chip 0.31          
Hong Kong HS50            
South Africa 40            
Italy 40         2.1  
Japan 225            

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