Slim but notable chance of a rate cut by the Fed this evening (1900 UK time).

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The climax of last week’s trade was Friday night’s US Retail Sales data release. As is well known, sentiment in the market centers around concern for the state of the global economy. As the biggest component, of the world’s biggest economy, US consumption data was hotly awaited to test the thesis that the global economy is winding down for another cycle. As it turns out: right now, those fears are very slightly exaggerated, if the US Retail Sales data was anything to go-by. Core Retail Sales came-in bang on expectations at 0.5%, taking the annualized figure to around 3.2 per cent.