Euro Price Forecast: Is the EUR/USD Bear Market Rally Coming to an End?
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By Ryan_Anderson · Posted
In the global geopolitical landscape, gold is often seen as a safe haven asset. However, recently, due to easing tensions in the Middle East, market overbuying, and the potential rise in long-term interest rates, gold prices have experienced their largest drop in nearly two years. Ryan Anderson, from the perspective of a financial analyst, discusses the impact of these factors on gold and the entire financial market, providing in-depth analysis and strategic advice for the current market environment. Ryan Anderson points out that the decline in gold prices reflects the reactions of investors to the easing geopolitical tensions and its impact on market sentiment. As concerns about potential conflicts between Israel and Iran diminish, market participants are adjusting their risk preferences, leading to a decline in gold prices from their highs. Additionally, other factors such as overbuying in market technical positions and the potential rise in long-term interest rates are prompting investors to reevaluate their decisions to hold gold. After a thorough analysis of the factors affecting the gold market, Ryan Anderson mentions that although gold prices have been hit hard in the short term, they remain a valuable asset driven by various factors in the long term. First, while geopolitical uncertainties have temporarily eased due to the Middle East situation, global instability factors persist, such as US-China trade relations and political turmoil in Europe. These factors could potentially increase the demand for gold as a safe haven at any time. Second, the trend of central banks buying gold may continue in the coming years, especially in Asian markets. Stable growth in gold demand from consumers in China and India, especially during festive and wedding seasons, will further support its price through physical purchases. Additionally, with investor concerns about long-term inflation, the role of gold as a hedge tool may be reassessed and emphasized. Ryan Anderson also points out that technical analysis shows that a pullback in gold prices after rapid gains is a common market adjustment behavior. This price adjustment provides potential investors with entry opportunities. Therefore, for those seeking medium to long-term investments, the current price level may be an attractive entry point. In conclusion, although the gold market has recently experienced significant declines, this volatility reflects more of a reaction to immediate news rather than a change in long-term value. According to the analysis of Mr. Anderson, gold remains attractive as a long-term hedge tool. Investors should allocate gold assets reasonably based on their risk preferences and investment objectives. -
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By tradinglounge · Posted
GBPUSD Elliott Wave Analysis Trading Lounge Day Chart, British Pound/U.S.Dollar(GBPUSD) Day Chart GBPUSD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis FUNCTION: Counter Trend MODE: Impulsive as A STRUCTURE: red wave 3 POSITION: blue wave A DIRECTION NEXT HIGHER DEGREES: blue wave 4 DETAILS:red wave 2 of A completed at 1.17096 , now red wave 3 is in play . Wave Cancel invalid level: 1.27096 The GBP/USD Elliott Wave Analysis for the Daily Chart explores the British Pound versus the U.S. Dollar using the Elliott Wave framework. This analysis provides a structured view of the market trends, focusing on counter-trend waves and their implications for traders and analysts. ### Function The function of this analysis is identified as "Counter Trend," suggesting that the observed wave patterns represent a phase that moves against the prevailing longer-term trend. This could imply a corrective movement within a broader trend, indicating a temporary reversal or consolidation before the primary trend resumes. ### Mode The mode is categorized as "Impulsive as A," indicating that the current wave structure represents an impulsive move typically found at the beginning of a new wave cycle. This mode generally suggests a strong, directional movement, often indicating the initial stages of a larger trend shift. ### Structure The structure is noted as "red wave 3," highlighting an impulsive wave that typically denotes a continuation of a broader trend. Red wave 3 within this context could signify a strong push in the counter-trend direction. ### Position The position in the Elliott Wave sequence is "blue wave A," indicating that the observed pattern is part of an impulsive phase. This position often aligns with a larger correction within a broader trend, suggesting that the current impulsive phase is still part of a counter-trend movement. ### Direction for the Next Higher Degrees The anticipated direction for the next higher degrees is "blue wave 4," indicating that once the current wave completes, the structure will likely transition to a corrective phase. Blue wave 4 typically represents a temporary retracement within a broader impulsive pattern. ### Details The analysis specifies that red wave 2 of wave A completed at 1.17096, with red wave 3 now in play. This implies that the current impulsive wave is expected to continue, potentially leading to a broader counter-trend movement. The Wave Cancel invalid level is set at 1.27096, indicating a critical threshold. If the price crosses this level, it would invalidate the current wave structure, necessitating a reevaluation of the Elliott Wave count. In summary, the GBP/USD Elliott Wave Analysis on the Daily Chart describes a counter-trend movement with an impulsive mode, focusing on red wave 3 within blue wave A. The structure is expected to continue its impulsive trend, with a Wave Cancel invalid level serving as a key point for determining if the current analysis remains valid. GBPUSD Elliott Wave Analysis Trading Lounge 4 Hour Chart, British Pound/U.S.Dollar(GBPUSD) 4 Hour Chart GBPUSD Elliott Wave Technical Analysis FUNCTION: Trend MODE: corrective STRUCTURE: black wave 2 POSITION: red wave 3 DIRECTION NEXT LOWER DEGREES: black wave 3 DETAILS: black wave of 2 is in play and likely to end between fib level 50.00 to 61.80 . Wave Cancel invalid level: 1.27096 The GBP/USD Elliott Wave Analysis on the 4-Hour Chart provides insights into the British Pound versus the U.S. Dollar within the framework of Elliott Wave Theory. This analysis helps traders understand the underlying wave structure and anticipate potential market movements. ### Function The function of this analysis is identified as "Trend," indicating that the overall market movement aligns with a broader trend. In this case, the trend reflects a continuation pattern where market waves are forming in a way that aligns with the primary direction of the trend. ### Mode The mode is labeled as "corrective," suggesting that the current wave structure represents a correction within a larger trend. Corrective modes typically signify a temporary pullback or consolidation, indicating that the price is currently in a counter-trend phase. ### Structure The structure in this analysis is specified as "black wave 2," which represents an intermediate-level correction. This wave generally appears within a larger trend to correct an earlier impulsive movement, signaling a potential retracement before the larger trend resumes. ### Position The position in the wave pattern is "red wave 3," indicating that the corrective structure is situated within a broader Elliott Wave framework. Red wave 3 represents a key point in the corrective phase, suggesting an ongoing retracement that could lead to a shift in trend direction. ### Direction for the Next Lower Degrees The expected direction for the next lower degrees is indicated as "black wave 3." This suggests that once the correction completes, the wave pattern will likely transition to a more impulsive phase, potentially indicating a continuation of the broader trend. ### Details The analysis details that black wave 2 is currently in play and is expected to conclude between the 50.00 and 61.80 Fibonacci retracement levels. This range often indicates a common end for corrective waves, signifying a potential turning point in the trend. The Wave Cancel invalid level is set at 1.27096, suggesting that if the price crosses this point, the current wave structure is invalidated, requiring a re-evaluation of the Elliott Wave count. In summary, the GBP/USD Elliott Wave Analysis on the 4-Hour Chart describes a trend with a corrective mode, indicating that black wave 2 is nearing completion, with a potential transition to a more impulsive black wave 3. The end of this correction between the 50.00 and 61.80 Fibonacci levels might suggest the resumption of the primary trend, with a critical invalidation point to consider for risk management. Technical Analyst : Malik Awais Source : Tradinglounge.com get trial here!
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