Jump to content

Crude Oil Update: Brent Up Against Strong Dollar and Demand-Side Factors


MongiIG

Recommended Posts

Crude Oil Update: Brent Up Against Strong Dollar and Demand-Side Factors

Jul 14, 2022 | DailyFX
Warren Venketas, Analyst

BRENT CRUDE OIL (LCOC1) TALKING POINTS

  • Greenback and demand-side factors weigh on crude oil.
  • Biden visits Middle East.
  • Possible bull flag emerging on daily chart.

 

BRENT CRUDE OIL FUNDAMENTAL BACKDROP

Brent crude oil remains depressed after yesterdays hot U.S. inflation print and an increase in stockpiles via the weekly EIA inventory report. The inflation print deepened the spread between the 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasury yields thus increasing the curve inversion and heightening recessionary risks. Chinese trade data also highlighted a slump in oil imports averaging 8.75MMbbls/d and augmenting the demand destruction narrative plaguing global markets. The COVID-19 situation in China does not show signs of improvement and should extend this narrative despite OPEC’s monthly report suggesting an increase in demand as we head into the end of 2022 and early 2023. The IEA shares similar sentiments with the increased demand however they have revised their previous outlook slightly lower.

Supply fundamentals do provide some support for crude oil prices with Libyan politics in turmoil and the inability from OPEC+ to meet current quotas let alone the revised higher projected output levels. President Joe Biden will also visit the Middle East to discuss an increase in supply from OPEC and ease inflationary pressures on consumers. His last visit was ineffective so I do not foresee much change this time around. The U.S. dollar continues to be a thorn in the side of crude oil as we look forward to PMI data later today for further guidance but with the 100bps Fed rate hike gaining traction, it is unlikely the dollar will let up anytime soon.

Link to comment

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • image.png

  • Posts

    • Shiba Inu (SHIB) experienced an extraordinary surge in January 2021, skyrocketing by 45,131%. Despite its fall from an all-time high of $0.00008845 in October 2021, data from Coinpedia Markets shows SHIB is still up by a staggering 1,028,241% from its launch price in August 2020. As of Writing Shiba Inu was trading at  0.00001308 With 1.21% Loss in the Last 24 Hours  In recent months, Shiba Inu, like many other cryptocurrencies, has been in bearish territory. However, this hasn’t dampened investor enthusiasm. According to CoinMarketCap, 80% of Shiba Inu community members remain bullish on the token’s future. Positive Sentiment and Breakout Predictions Shiba Inu’s community remains optimistic, with several analysts predicting an imminent breakout. One analyst noted the contraction of SHIB’s Bollinger Bands as a signal of potential price movement. Trader Dexter recently forecasted that Shiba Inu could reach a price of $0.00015, sparking further interest in the token. Potential Returns on Shiba Inu Investment Although some argue that SHIB may not replicate its 2021 rally, even a fraction of that growth could result in substantial gains. Let’s break down potential returns from an investment of $1,000 at different growth rates. At SHIB’s current price of $0.0000138, a $1,000 investment would buy 72,463,768 tokens. If SHIB rises by 1,000%, the price would jump to $0.0001518, turning a $1,000 investment into $11,000. A 10,000% increase would take SHIB’s price to $0.001393, yielding $100,999 on a $1,000 investment. Shiba Inu may have seen ups and downs, but its community remains optimistic about its future. With potential breakouts on the horizon and the possibility of significant returns, SHIB continues to be a token worth watching in the crypto market.
    • Over the past year and a half, Tron (TRX) has shown impressive growth, with its value increasing by 80% despite some market corrections. Here’s a quick breakdown of Tron’s price action and recent developments: Price Movement: TRX reached a high of $0.17 last month before retracing by 8%, finding support at $0.147. After some fluctuation, it currently sits in the $0.15 range, showing signs of a positive trend. Bullish Indicators: This week, TRX has posted gains, with increased trading volatility signaling a potential rebound. The daily chart suggests a “buy” signal, indicating a bullish impulsive phase may be starting. If this momentum continues, Tron coin could rise to $0.20 in the next few days. Stable Growth: Despite market ups and downs, Tron has been relatively steady, thanks to its strong DeFi ecosystem, efficient DApps, and fast transaction times. These factors help TRX remain competitive, even as new players enter the market. Justin Sun Challenges Coinbase Over PoR Tron’s founder, Justin Sun, has been vocal in his criticism of Coinbase’s approach to Proof-of-Reserve (PoR). Here's what's happening: PoR Debate: Sun expressed confusion over Coinbase’s refusal to adopt PoR, especially after the exchange launched its cbBTC product. Sun pointed out that major exchanges like Binance have embraced PoR, questioning why Coinbase considers it “unfeasible.” Transparency Concerns: Sun emphasized that the crypto community isn’t asking for perfection but simply for more transparency. He believes that revealing wallet addresses is a simple task that can foster trust within the industry, especially in the wake of the FTX collapse. Trust Issues: Sun also raised concerns about relying solely on audit firms for security, stating that being a public company doesn’t guarantee protection from bankruptcy. He mentioned the collapse of Signature Bank as an example, highlighting the need for self-regulation in the crypto space. Tron’s Long-Term Potential Looking ahead, Tron continues to show promise as a long-term investment. Its strong developer base and wide range of applications, from games to entertainment, make it an attractive option in the competitive cryptocurrency landscape. With Justin Sun pushing for more transparency and the continued development of Tron’s ecosystem, TRX remains one of the few cryptocurrencies trading steadily and positioned for future growth.
×
×
  • Create New...
us