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Dow Jones, SP500 and Nasdaq 100 index prices consolidate gains

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Major US indices the Dow, S&P500 and Nasdaq100 have all produced medium term trend reversals, although longer term trends paint a mixed picture.

1669031100628.pngSource: Bloomberg


 Shaun Murison | Senior Market Analyst, Johannesburg | Publication date: Monday 21 November 2022 

Dow Jones (Wall Street)

211122DowJones.pngSource: IG Charts

The Wall Street 30 index price now trades firmly above the 200 day (blue line), 50 day (green line) and 20 day (red line) moving averages (MAs). The 20MA has been trading above the 50MA for a few weeks now suggesting that the short to medium term trends are up. The price having recently moved above the 200MA suggests the longer term downtrend has been broken.

The index is however in overbought territory. The overbought signal is considered to carry less relevance than the prevailing trends, although does lower the confidence of our further upside assumptions for the Wall Street 30 index.

The index price has recently retraced from the short term high and has moved into a consolidation between levels 33180 (support) and 34100 (resistance). The consolidation could be serving as a correction of the recent move higher.

Our preference is to keep a long bias to trades, although first wait for either a bullish price reversal off range support (33180) or a break of resistance at 34100 (confirmed with a close) for entry.

Should the price instead move to close below support at 32970 we would need to reassess our long preference to trades on the index right now.

SP500 (US500)

211122SP500.pngSource: IG Charts

The SP500’s recent move higher has been less pronounced than that of its Dow Jones industrial peer. The index has however also produced a short to medium term trend reversal (from down to up) highlighted by the 20MA crossing above the 50MA. The price has not yet moved above the 200MA to confirm a break of the longer-term downtrend.

Traders looking for long entry might prefer to see the 200MA broken with the price closing above this level as well as above resistance at 4000. In which case 4150 becomes a near term upside target from the move. In this scenario traders could look at trailing a stop loss on a close below the dotted trend line on the chart above.

Nasdaq100 (US Tech100)


1669031165667.pngSource: IG Charts

The Nasdaq 100 index is lagging its SP500 and Wall Street peers, although the index has however also produced a short to medium term trend reversal (from down to up) highlighted by the 20MA crossing above the 50MA. The longer-term trend is still considered down as the price continues to trade firmly below the 200MA.
Our preference on the Nasdaq 100 is to remain market neutral while we assess whether we are in a correction of the longer-term downtrend or start of a new uptrend.

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