Jump to content
Sign in to follow this  

Cryptocurrency Mega Thread

Recommended Posts

Is it possible to hold both long and short position in a particular cryptocurrency?

For example, if I've some existing long position in ether, can i open new short position? Will doing this close my long position?

Share this post


Link to post


ahsiong wrote:

Is there any tools/app/calculator to determine the margin required and profit/loss for my position at different price level?

Hi - unfortunately we don't have this on offer, but you should be able to set something up in excel using the following information.

ahsiong wrote:

Is it possible to hold both long and short position in a particular cryptocurrency?

For example, if I've some existing long position in ether, can i open new short position? Will doing this close my long position? 

This is possible and you should be able to read more about that here: Force Open

Share this post


Link to post

Yes it is possible to hold both a long and short position in a specific cryptocurrency. Lets use Ether as the example as you mention it. I can understand going long on one crypto and then shorting another crypto if you had studied price behaviour and noticed patterns forming. It would be an interesting pair trade. I can also understand that you could easily hedge a position on a crypto by taking the opposite position on another asset if there was an establish correlation. 

 

I struggle to understand the benefit or advantage of having both a long and short position on Ether in relation to profit maximisation on a trade. If the trade has gone against you then your stop loss should have kicked in and you are out. If you are having two opposite positions on Ether at the same time then your 'risk management' and strategy needs looking at in my opinion.  

 

Never trade against the trend. On balance of probabilities and odds you are more likely to lose on that trade than win. You can get lucky but out of say 100 trades you are more likely to lose than win on the majority of them if you traded and opened positions against the trend.

Share this post


Link to post

Hi James thanks for pointing me to the relevant answers and for always helping us in the forum.

 

It's stated "You can open a long and short position on the same market by making sure the ‘force open’ option is selected on your deal ticket". I can see the force open option on my new trade tab. However there's no such option on my new order tab. So how does it work if i want to put in a new order in the opposing direction? I certainly don't wish for my existing position to be closed if my new order is executed.

Share this post


Link to post

Hi Trendfollower, thanks for your long answer. I've always enjoyed reading your detailed analysis and insights in your posts.

 

I've some long position in ether which i opened at quite a low price which i intend to hold for long term. I observed although ether may be in a uptrend, there's always volatility in the market in which there may be time of price weakness. Hence i was thinking of opening short position in such times to gain some profit in the shorter term.

 

I'm a new trader. Hope to hear your opinion on my thoughts and strategy. Thanks.

Share this post


Link to post

Thanks.

 

So you have a long position in Ether which seems like an investment as you intend to hold it long term. However, if I understand you correctly you want to open a short position at the same time and trade Ether to make profits in the short term. I am not saying it cannot work, of course it can. It is not something I would consider. All I would advise is that you look to establish if when there is volatility, price corrections and drops in Ether is it generally in the broader Cryptocurrency market or specifically with Ether. Also I would look at which Crypto's that IG offers falls the most when such corrections occur.

 

I am not advocating doing this trade but if you are seriously going to do this then there may be a better Crypto to short than Ether when prices are generally declining in the short term. For example at time of writing all the Crypto's that IG offer are 'red'. Ripple, Bitcoin Cash and Bitcoin Gold have all fallen in percentage terms more than Ether. Another factor that would be important for you is the level of 'leverage' you have on your long position on Ether and the level of 'leverage' you intend to use for your short position on Ether.

 

Have a plan, know your exits on both trades, especially the new short that you are looking to open, use tight risk management controls as otherwise it could get messy!

 

Share this post


Link to post

Podcast with Bitcoin Cash entrepreneur Ken Shishido.

Discusses bitcoin and compares with bitcoin cash and the differences in, and problems with the blockchain transactions. Also makes comparisons with other crypto currencies and possibilities for the future. 

Produced by Finance Magnets. 

 

 https://t.co/LFQ3A0KGKJ

 

 

bt1.PNG

Share this post


Link to post

Few things,

 

Be careful if you are going short whilst also going long. If you open a short position and the market becomes unlongable then you will not be able to close the short as closing it means to go long. You may be stuck in a short position and give back all your profits.

 

Personally I sold all my ethereum long positions end of last week. Brazil, Korea were all talking about banning cryptocurrency exchange. If this is happening then generally people will be profit taking or selling ethereum. A better strategy could be if you are thinking long term that the price will rise then wait for the correction and add to your position at support when the trend is reversing back up.

Share this post


Link to post

I have only just seen ethers chart. To add to my earlier comment I would be weary about keeping hold of long positions unless they were bought very early on. And now ether has become unborrowable so you can not short the market. Likely because everyone is shorting and therefore ig has reached its risk limit.

 

There is a chance price can keep dropping so you could be giving profits away and if you are stopped out then out with breakeven. Remember if people bought ether at lower prices away and price drops they'll sell or hold. Its unlikely that the majority will buy more especially while waiting for korea stance on cryptocurrency.

Share this post


Link to post

Thanks Situation for your analysis.

Yup I'm holding some ether position which i bought earlier on. It's a pain to see the unrealised profit eroding away while the market correct but I'm still holding on to them as i believe in the long term uptrend. The sell off earlier on in the Asia morning was scary but luckily the bounce up was quick too. Hopefully it'll be generally up from now on, at least in the short term.

 

I was considering to open short position when it reached the peak of about 1400 a few days ago which i felt was too overbought, hence i asked the question of holding both long and short position in this forum. Thanks all for your wonderful analysis and suggestion. It has been useful to build up my trading knowledge.

Share this post


Link to post

Its going to difficult to call the direction now. There was a lot of buying from 7 to $800 so will have to see what those people do. Will they hold or will they sell. Shorting this market was a good idea and probably still is but you don't want to get caught out in a period of being unlongable. If we didn't have that problem I would be short myself.

Share this post


Link to post

Ps. All the comments are just people's views or opinions but remember that is what the market is- just a collection if views. So the more of us who get involved in commenting in this community the more opinions we'll get and ultimately learn more.

Share this post


Link to post

Hi   I am pretty sure  has said that you will always be able to exit a position, it is the opening of new positions that could be a problem depending on the level of IG's exposure. Can't find the thread, maybe James can confirm.

Share this post


Link to post

James could you clarify.

 

I had to call ig at that time. You can close it if that is the only position you have but if you are already long then you cant close it as you would be overall more long (buy to close the sell). Maybe you could use a stop loss.... but they are far from the market price so you'll give a lot of profit back anyway.

Share this post


Link to post

Hi - let me also clarify a few things which relate to trading and exposure, and using the force open functionality on a deal ticket. Put simply, there is no financial benefit from having a long and a short in the same market at the same time, and if held overnight it will actually be more costly as you would be paying 2x the cost of overnight funding. 

 

If you have a long and a short your exposure is zero. You are basically trading exactly the same (and will have the same financial benefit) of someone who doesn't have a trade on at all. When you have a long and a short, and you are looking to close the short side, your net effect is to increase your long exposure, which will be rejected basis the 'unlongable' status. I hope this clarifies my earlier statement, but any questions just ask. 

 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Corrective sell-off in Bitcoin

 

Introduction 
I have no agenda, apart from being pestered by a nagging desire, to write at least one piece of analysis on Bitcoin (BTC). As an FCA regulated firm, we are currently contemplating adding this to our extensive list of products but the jury is still out! This analysis is based on technical analysis and is my view only. I have never owned Bitcoin and have been naturally green-eyed in the mind-blowing rally that has taken place in this asset over the recent months!

 

So, I have nothing to gain this morning in producing this piece apart from, hopefully, utilizing my expertise in analysis, trading and writing trade ideas, in the hope that someone (or many) may benefit from my knowledge & wisdom and ultimately…come back for more!!

 

I have a lot to say but I know how busy everyone’s life is and so I will keep this as brief as possible to encapsulate the world’s 8-second attention span! (I don’t know how true this is – hopefully not otherwise I am the only one reading from here on!)

 

What do I know about Bitcoin? VERY LITTLE!

What do I know about writing trade ideas? PLENTY!

 

Do I need to know anything about Bitcoin to write this trade idea? Not really, it’s all about technical analysis on the historic price chart – I’m not analysing the fundamentals. That’s another story and way more boring than this!!

 

Warning – there may be some trading/market psychology thrown into the mix but I will not dwell on it too long!

 

Looks familiar!?

I consider the best way of analysing is on a more medium-term basis – firstly the short-term technical charts have so much noise, it is highly likely that a trade idea is stopped before it is finished writing!! Secondly, there is no long-term chart! The market is a newbie…

 

Before I start – 2 charts below with time-frame and price removed – look familiar?

btcgold.PNG

    

Chart 1 is a weekly chart of BTC over the last 2 years and chart 2 is monthly chart of Gold (XAUUSD) over the last 2 decades! Interesting!?

 

Analysis

Price action topped out close to 20,000 and is currently in a corrective formation lower and trading near the psychological 10,000 level (over 50% retracement since inception. A clear break of this level should lead to a more aggressive leg lower, in a typical AB=CD correction towards 8,000 towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. This is the first time, since 15/09/2017, that prices have broken below the Ichimoku cloud.

 

btcchart.png

 

Trade Ideas

Two scenarios to contemplate – one for the bulls and one for the bears!

 
Bearish scenario:

Sell a pull-back to 12,500 & 14,000

Stop at 15,500

Targets 8,500 & 6,000

 

Bullish scenario:

Buy a dip to 8,500 & 6,000

Stop at 4,500

Targets 12,500 & 14,000

 

I hope you have enjoyed my brief analysis. If you are interested in trade ideas on FX, Equity Indices, Commodities & Single Stocks you can use the PIA First signals via IG's signal center as shown below.

 

2018-01-17 13_51_18-IG Trading Platform _ Spread Betting.png

 

RISK WARNING:

Trading carries a high level of risk to your capital. Losses can exceed deposits. FULL RISK WARNING

 

PIA-First Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, which can be checked here. FRN 787261.

Registered in England & Wales, company no. 07428345 Business address: Kemp house, 152 City Road, London. EC1V 2NX Registered office: Palladium House, 1-4 Argyll Street, Soho, London W1F 7LD

Share this post


Link to post

I like this, PIA First (one of the signals companies used by IG) posting some technical analysis on the forum for us, interesting stuff, hope to see more. Sure hope oilpro doesn't see it or he will just start trolling them.

Share this post


Link to post

I dont know about the above analysis. you buy at 8500 with stop at 4500 then risk reward is 1:1 which I would not advise any trader to take. I'm not a big fan of buying dips in a massive sell off like now. They can call it a correction but people are taking profits, selling and not re investing at present. At this stage the driving force has to be good fundamental news. Waiting in the sidelines until you can see buyers come in might be more helpful.

Share this post


Link to post

Thankfully i know a lot about analysis ;) and more about trade ideas!

That is the reason the both trades have 2 entries (buy at 8,500 & 6,000 = average entry 7,250)

Targets are also at 2 levels which makes the target an average of 13,250

So, overall risk/reward is over 2:1! (like most of our trade ideas)

I hope that better explains the idea.

Thank you for the critique, it is always much appreciated.

 

 

Share this post


Link to post

The risk reward ratio is an always an interesting topic and to look at it from a different perspective buying a dip of around 50% of the main move the first target for me is always the prior high (or First Trouble Area) which is just 1:1. Because although you hope price will punch straight through and carry on with trend to a second target you must be prepared for the possibility the previous high is at a level of strong resistance enough to halt the trend. If the trend is strong you will often see a concerted effort to push hard through any obvious resistance levels on the chart but price trepidation at these levels indicates lack of faith and the real possibility your entry will be the next level to be tested. 

Share this post


Link to post

I just needed to remind community members of IG's official stance on this. In regards to the PIA analysis, no representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result.

 

And now may the thread continue. :) 

Share this post


Link to post

Can't deny there was clear declaration attached to these posts. But to have professional technical analysis (not automatically a traders analysis) posted on the forum is a bonus, these guy have been on continuous professional development courses costing amounts we would struggle to imagine and that we certainly have never experienced. This is high quality stuff but never meant to be the sole last word but given freely to incorporate as seen fit into your own analysis. 

Share this post


Link to post

Yes, I agree Caseynotes.

 

However, you have to remember that people all over the world can view our posts on the IG Community. Some of them will have very little experience in trading which is why some of the posts I am reading can be extremely dangerous. Not necessarily PIA but there are many other posters that could cause more harm than good to new traders with little experience.

 

I think some of the more experienced investors and traders have a moral obligation and responsibility to ensure that the content they post is of high quality and make it clear that it is their personal views and opinions. Also any links they post of articles from the media are indeed actual reported news which can be seen in different publications.

 

I am not a big fan of posting charts though I do use them as different readers can interpret different things from them unless they are explained. There are far too many charts posted without the correct analysis. I would rather post high quality analysis and let the reader look at the charts for themselves. 

 

You point is valid though.

Share this post


Link to post

Yes, thank god the stuff posted is professional, imagine if this was a public forum like 'Trade2Win' where anyone could post any old garbage. oh wait.

Share this post


Link to post

Latest down swing attributed to reports South Korea to ban trading crypto from anonymous bank accounts. The report also repeats report of possible complete ban but it was reported last week that the chairman of the Trades Commission has ruled that out as being unrealistic as they lack the authority.

 

https://www.standard.co.uk/news/world/bitcoin-value-plummets-as-south-korea-bans-anonymous-trading-of-cryptocurrency-a3747076.html

 

 

 

 

Share this post


Link to post

Join the conversation

You are posting as a guest. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
You are posting as a guest. If you have an account, please sign in.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Sign in to follow this  

  • Member Statistics

    • Total Topics
      6,938
    • Total Posts
      33,027
    • Total Members
      42,825
    Newest Member
    mziadawood
    Joined 26/06/19 12:22
  • Posts

    • On another thread which @cryptotraderstarted @wjw22 commented that Bitcoin is not money. Money is something that can be transferred or used in exchange for goods and services. Bitcoin (though not widely accepted - in fact miniscule acceptance at this stage compared to FIAT) can be exchanged for goods and services in certain places across the globe.  They then go on to state that Bitcoin is not a store of value. These are just words. Since Bitcoin's inception in 2009 if you invested £1000 of your hard money into both Bitcoin and Gold then Bitcoin would have proved to be the better store of value than Gold. This is even after numerous 70% to 80% corrections! Bitcoin is not only the best performing asset in the whole world in 2019 but it is the better store of value since its inception. If @wjw22 has any evidence to support otherwise then please do provide.  They then state Bitcoin is a Ponzi and a pyramid scheme. Again these are just words. The European Commission, UK Government and many large Government and corporations are looking at Cryptocurrencies and how it can be applied in certain jurisdictions across the globe. We are at a very early stage. These things take a lot of time. Evidence from a credible source needs to be provided to support such statements as otherwise they are just words which originate from bias, ego, stubbornness, etc.  @cryptotrader, in case why you are wondering why I am not responding to your thread, it is because I want to avoid any aggressive discussions and arguments. We all have different levels of understanding and experience in this area. We all read different literature and research papers on this area. We all have different levels of knowledge in this area. Another reason is because I have done what you have a year or two ago in either this thread or the Blockchain Trilogy thread, cannot remember and it is pointless unless there are balanced arguments presented with credible evidence from credible sources.  People first compared Bitcoin to the Tulip Mania. Now that it has blasted through that people are now comparing it to the Internet boom and bust. Why must we compare it to anything? The Bitcoin boom and bust and boom again could be new future being created without any copying of past historical incidents. Future performance does not have to be based on past historical performance. From time to time new history is created that is different from the past. Bitcoin is a new asset and a new revolution which will create a new history and a new future.  Now @cryptotrader your thread was about Bitcoin specifically based on your title. Not about Cryptocurrencies in general. Yes a lot of Cryptocurrencies are junk. If Bitcoin's store of value is laughable then its store of value performance in terms of protecting capital and increase the value of the capital is astonishing when compared to Gold in the same period of time since Bitcoin's inception. Someone is buying Bitcoin hence the price is going up. A normal person does not need buy one Bitcoin at $13000. They can buy a fraction of it using FIAT money. That is the beauty. Countries like China and Russia want to end the US Dollar being the Reserve Currency. It is unlikely that the world will go back to the Gold standard. In this coming 'Digital Revolution' Bitcoin is one of the favourite to be groomed as the worlds first digital reserve currency which is not linked to any one specific country like the US. During US-North Korea, Bitcoin went up more than Gold. During US-Iran tensions, Bitcoin went up more than Gold. Therefore times are changing. People and countries do not want to store their money in something which can be manipulated by central governments and priced in US Dollars. Times are changing and power is shifting from the west to the east and countries like Japan have embraced Cryptocurrencies. I respect the views of others but what tends to happen is that if someone is negative towards Bitcoin then they highlight the negative and do not offer a balanced argument. Likewise if someone is positive towards Bitcoin then they do not highlight the negatives. Even I am guilty of that. I accept there are negatives and flaws in Bitcoin and other Crypto's.  
    • @cryptotrader wrote (in Silver Bullet thread): "I've always thought that cryptos are completely unrelated to other asset types which is why they're so difficult to price. Everything else has the inter-connectivity between themselves (Fed IR effect USD 'value', which knocks on to USD denominated assets, which leads into equities, re-positioning etc) but always thought crypto is a world unto its own. Linked to cost of production - electricity, CPU costs etc." I think the notion that crypto is something apart from the rest of the financial world is a concept that pervaded the first internet boom; the idea that the internet was going to change the nature of business and society by providing free access to everything and there for traditional business models would fail.  Instead the first internet boom failed, well hardly surprising as all those budding entrepreneurs forgot that you have to make money by charging for goods or services to become a millionaire (although a few clearly did purely off the back of selling out early enough - which is a watch out now on crypto for anyone invested for the long term).  Out of the ashes rose the second internet (or tech) boom but interestingly the winners were those that effectively adopted traditional business models (i.e. the need to make profits and generate positive cashflows - duh!).  The share prices are now massively over inflated of course but that is just financial market forces (the markets can remain irrational longer than we can remain solvent, kind of thing) rather than anything intrinsically wrong with their business models.  Now that these businesses are profitable and hold masses of cash (masses!!!) they can withstand a major downturn, perhaps better than some other more traditional sectors, and be positioned well for the eventual recovery.  It is this recover where I think we will see the really discontinuous tech disruption, the next leap forward.  This is what happened after the first internet bubble burst.  It is after the crash and clear out that we will see Crypto, or rather the blockchain type technology, become mainstream in terms of replacing physical cash, this is the end game, not some nirvana of a non FIAT collective new age hippie dippy free of politics currency (or set of currencies) that everyone will use free of government control - you might as well just howl at the moon as think that is ever going to happen. As regards you comment about Crypto being apart, well how do you buy or invest in Crypto?  With cash of course.  And how it is currently "valued" in the markets?  In USD, hmm... The real problems at present for Crypto, and the reasons it will all end in tears until the next iteration are (for me): There are too many Cryptos, until it is mainstream (i.e. the tech backing electronic FIAT currency, which is the root of the concept of currency right back to the earliest days of non precious metal currency (i.e. the right to exchange a paper bill for gold) it is the wild west. Ordinary people are not using Crypto as a currency, it does not have wide adoption It will not get wide adoption until it is better understood and backed by something normal people recognise as sound (i.e. governments) There isn't sufficient liquidity for wide adoption and consequently the price of a bitcoin is too high for a normal person to use it (similar problem with Gold BTW, which is why I prefer Silver for true disaster insurance and consequently hold physical silver coins) The price is too high and too volatile, it is in the hands of speculators - hence it is a mania The idea that Crypto is a store of value is laughable.  When the $£!& hits the fan people will buy Gold and Silver and USD and Yen, things they understand and can cling to in an uncertain world.  They will not buy bitcoin.  Even if they wanted to how can any normal person buy bitcoin at $50,000 per coin?  Barking mad the whole thing - but this is what I expect at the end of the cycle so carry..!    
    • Unfortunately i am no longer able to continue giving these updates. Alas our fun journey ends here, my fingernails are intact @Caseynotes, lol I will be here still in the forums. Thanks all for your input. DJ  
×
×