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Could BTC ETF Approval Spark the next Bull run?


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The recent BTC price movement after cointelgraph blunder has shown a glimpse of what to expect when SEC finally approve all the ETF applications. I was researching a project recently listed on Bitget when I noticed the volatility rate of BTC, I quickly switched to tradinview mode so I will be sure is not a glitch. To my surprise I watch the price hit above 29k and I felt the bull-run was back. I decided to check twitter for any news that could be responsible for such movement. There I saw the cointelegraph tweet that was retweeted by some KOLs but I noticed Watchergurus didn’t, made any post related to this. After a while BTC hit $30k then came Watcherguru tweet to debunk Cointelgraph earlier claim and price retraced within minutes liquidating over $65 million from the market. 


This scenario has confirmed that we could see a tremendous price surge when SEC finally approves this ETF applications and it could take many by surprise. Earlier this year BItQuant predicted that BTC price will retest its ATH before next year halving and this recent development has proven that point. Many analysis believe that SEC will eventually approve the ETF application but when is the question many don’t have the answer. Some analysis also disagree with Bitquant prediction and advised ethusisasts to expect more dip before the halving. They believe BTC bull run will start after the halving. Could BTC ETF approval signal a bull run? 

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1 hour ago, Captainsaudi said:

Could BTC ETF approval signal a bull run? 

Bitcoin Spikes to a High of $29900 on False ETF Approval News
Oct 16, 2023 7:32 PM +02:00 | Zain Vawda, DailyFX Analyst

 

Bitcoin Trading | Trade Bitcoin On Leverage Without a Digital Wallet | IG  UK | IG Ireland

BITCOIN, CRYPTO KEY POINTS:

  • Fake News Blunder of ETF Approval Sends Bitcoin into a Frenzy. A Large Portion of Gains Have Since Been Wiped Away.
  • Binance to Stop Accepting New UK Clients Today as it Searches for Partner Authorized by the FCA to Approve Ads.
  • Today’s Brief Spike a Sign of the Potential Rally Which Could Unfold Should Spot ETFs be Approved.

 

FAKE BLACKROCK ETF NEWS SENDS BITCOIN SOARING

Bitcoin prices have had a volatile start to the US session as cryptocurrency-news platform Cointelegraph broadcasted news that the iShares Bitcoin ETF (BlackRock Group) had been approved. The news saw Bitcoin spike to a session high of $29900 while simultaneously dragging the Crypto markets as a whole higher with Ethereum spiking to around the $1670 mark.

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As it turned out the news was fake but with the modern day we live in the news had already spread like wildfire as evidenced by the spike in prices. Cryptotelegraph have come under scrutiny in light of the false news which stated that the BlackRock spot Bitcoin ETF (known as iShares) had been approved which led to the 10%+ spike in BTCUSD to within a whisker of the psychological $30000 mark. First signs that the news was false were delivered by Fox News Reporter Eleanor Terrett who in a tweet revealed that BlackRock confirmed the news as false with the application still under review by the SEC. Cointelegraph have since posted an apology n their X page while promising to provide an update shortly on the manner and reason for the fake news being disseminated.

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Gauging the market reaction to the news and we can see the impact and volatility brought about by the supposed news. One can only imagine the impact should the SEC actually approve the BlackRock ETF and many other currently under review. This has been discussed in depth my Q4 Bitcoin Forecast. I had been expecting a potential approval to a be significant step for Bitcoin and crypto markets as a whole. Looking at Bitcoin though I believe it opens up the worlds’ largest cryptocurrency to a significant influx on institutional funds in an ever-changing financial landscape.

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Source: FinancialJuice

The Crypto Fear and Greed index remains I neutral territory for now, but I would expect a change here as well should a spot ETF be approved. The mood in crypto has become rather somber in the second half of 2023 and a catalyst such as this may be just what the doctor ordered.

BINANCE STOPS ACCEPTING NEW UK CLIENTS AND OTHER CRYPTO NEWS

As all eyes are focused on the FTX trial currently underway, Cryptocurrency Platform Binance announced that it will stop accepting new users from the UK. This is expected to come into effect on Monday October 16 at 5PM UK Time. The move comes about as Binances local partner in the UK was restricted from approving crypto Ads, a move announced by the FCA last week.

The new crypto marketing rules came into effect in the UK on October 8 with firms registered with the FCA allowed to approve their own Ads or have authorized entities approve it for them. The move by Binance does appear to be a temporary one as the company confirmed that it is ”working closely with the FCA to ensure that our users are not harmed by these developments and are looking to find another suitable FCA authorized firm to approve our financial promotions as soon as possible.”

The US SEC also missed its deadline to appeal the Grayscale application to convert its Bitcoin Trust Fund into an exchange-traded fund (ETF). This after a court decided the refusal by the SEC was unlawful and urged the Regulator to reconsider.

TECHNICAL OUTLOOK AND FINAL THOUGHTS

From a technical standpoint BTCUSD is following the perfect breakout, retest and continuation model following a trendline break. Last week saw a death cross formation which at least had some follow through before Bitcoin found support at the 50-day MA resting around the $26500 handle.

A daily candle close above the 100 and 200-day MA could help spur on further upside but a break of the $30000 mark is likely to require a catalyst. Rangebound price action may persist over the coming days as market participants await the SEC decision which could be the catalyst needed to push Bitcoin sustainably above the $30000 handle.

BTCUSD Daily Chart, October 16, 2023.

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Source: TradingView, chart prepared by Zain Vawda

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Well, we can't underestimate the effect of a first BTC spot ETF on the market potentials of bitcoin. We've seen firsthand in 2021 what it means to have the BTC futures ETF on the NYSE. that period BTC went to a new ATH of $69k! Just imagine what would happen if it's a spot ETF!! It's gonna be massive ya. And interestingly, Gary Gensler has admitted that they are reviewing 8 - 10 applications at the moment added to the fact that Blackrock just amended their application today for consideration by SEC; we might be seeing the first set of approval in no distant time. So, let's stack up and brace for the impact haha!!

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