Jump to content

Australian Dollar / Japanese Yen (AUDJPY) Forex Elliott Wave Technical Analysis


Recommended Posts

Posted (edited)
Australian Dollar / Japanese Yen (AUDJPY) Day Chart    
AUDJPY Elliott Wave Technical Analysis  
FUNCTION: Counter Trend
MODE: impulsive                                              
STRUCTURE: blue wave 5 
POSITION:  black wave C  
DIRECTION NEXT LOWER DEGREES: new impulse 1                                    
DETAILS blue wave 4 looking completed at 99.950. Now blue wave 5 of C is in play.
Wave Cancel invalid level:99.95
The AUD/JPY Elliott Wave analysis on the daily chart provides an in-depth look at the market's current dynamics. This analysis identifies the function of the movement as a counter-trend, indicating that the market is moving against the primary trend.  
 
The mode is described as impulsive, which implies that the counter-trend movement is strong and directional, typically structured in a five-wave pattern. The specific wave structure under examination is blue wave five, indicating that the market is in the final phase of this particular impulsive counter-trend movement.
 
Within this structure, the position is identified as black wave C. This suggests that the market is in the third wave of the counter-trend sequence, specifically the last push of the counter-trend correction before a potential return to the primary trend.
 
The direction for the next lower degrees is set for a new impulsive wave one. This means that following the completion of the current impulsive counter-trend wave, the market is expected to start a new primary trend movement, beginning with wave one.
 
The detailed observations note that blue wave four appears to be completed at the level of 99.950. Consequently, the market is now in blue wave five of C, suggesting a continuation of the counter-trend movement within this final wave phase.
 
An essential aspect of the analysis is the wave cancel invalid level set at 99.950. This level acts as a critical threshold; if the market moves beyond this level, the current wave count would be invalidated. This would necessitate a reassessment of the wave structure and could indicate a potential change in the market's direction.
 
In summary, the AUD/JPY Elliott Wave analysis on the daily chart indicates that the market is in a strong counter-trend movement, specifically in blue wave five. The current position is within black wave C, suggesting an ongoing counter-trend push before a likely return to the primary trend with a new impulsive wave one. The analysis also highlights an invalidation level to watch, which is crucial for monitoring potential shifts in the market's behavior.
Forex24(1).thumb.png.ac08aaf8239809ce997d5ca75a25e9a5.png
 
 
AUDJPY Elliott Wave Analysis Trading Lounge 4 Hour Chart,      
Australian Dollar / Japanese Yen (AUDJPY) 4 Hour Chart    
AUDJPY Elliott Wave Technical Analysis  
FUNCTION: Trend                                              
MODE: impulsive                                              
STRUCTURE: red wave 3
POSITION:  blue wave 5
DIRECTION NEXT LOWER DEGREES: red wave 4                                    
DETAILS red wave 2 looking completed . Now red wave 3 of 5 is in play .Wave Cancel invalid level:102.066
The AUD/JPY Elliott Wave analysis on the 4-hour chart presents a detailed view of the market's current trend. The analysis categorizes the function of the market movement as trending, indicating a sustained directional momentum.
 
The trend mode is described as impulsive, which means the market is in a strong movement phase, typically characterized by a five-wave structure. The current wave structure under examination is identified as red wave three. This suggests that the market is in the third wave of an impulsive sequence, often the most powerful and extended wave in the cycle.
 
Within this structure, the specific position is pinpointed as blue wave five. This indicates that the market is in the latter stages of the current impulsive phase, with blue wave five representing the final push in this sequence before a potential correction.
 
The analysis highlights that the direction for the next lower degrees is red wave four. This implies that following the completion of the current impulsive wave, the market is expected to enter a corrective phase, typically retracing some portion of the impulsive movement.
 
The detailed observations indicate that red wave two appears to be completed. Consequently, the market is now engaged in red wave three of five, suggesting an ongoing strong impulsive move within this wave cycle.
 
A crucial component of the analysis is the wave cancel invalid level set at 102.066 . This level is essential as it acts as a threshold; if the market breaches this level, the current wave count would be invalidated, requiring a reevaluation of the wave structure and potentially signaling a change in the market's behavior.
 
In summary, the AUD/JPY Elliott Wave analysis on the 4-hour chart reveals that the market is in a strong impulsive trend, specifically in red wave three. The current position is within blue wave five, indicating a continued impulsive movement before a likely corrective phase in red wave four. The analysis also emphasizes an invalidation level to monitor, which guides traders on potential trend shifts and corrections.
Forex24.thumb.png.1e293cf86f2118d498e3702fa9555fed.png
 
Technical Analyst Malik Awais
Source : Tradinglounge.com get trial here!
 
Edited by tradinglounge
Link to comment

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • image.png

  • Posts

    • Currently run multiple portfolios across ISA, SIPP and a GIA account mostly invested in shares, ETFs and smart portfolios.  There doesnt seem to be any sensible way of looking at historical P&L across my accounts or even on a per account basis.  Tracking this myself in a spready is dull dull dull. I know IG used to be a fairly bare bones brokerage, but is trying to market itself as an investment platform (c/f Cricket ads).  IG clearly have the required data and this is pretty core capability for an investment platform. Where is it?
    • Coffee Elliott Wave Analysis Coffee prices are beginning to turn lower after completing a key technical chart pattern. The commodity has been on a strong upward trajectory since October 2023, but a corrective decline now seems likely before the next leg of the rally resumes, continuing the bullish sequence from late 2023. This analysis explores the potential for a pullback and identifies key levels where the next move higher could emerge.   Long-Term Chart Analysis Coffee prices have historically traded within a wide range, with support levels between $40 and $55, and resistance levels ranging from $276 to $337. The current bullish cycle for coffee started back in May 2019, marking the beginning of a significant upward move. The first phase of this cycle peaked in February 2022, when coffee prices reached notable highs. A corrective second phase followed, ending with a bottom in January 2023. After this low, the third and ongoing phase of the bullish cycle began, and it is evolving as part of a larger corrective pattern within the broader Elliott Wave structure.   The third phase of the rally appears to be developing as a corrective wave, which is part of the larger impulse that started in 2019. With this in mind, the current price action suggests that further gains may come, but not before a significant pullback takes place.   Daily Chart Analysis On the daily chart, the third phase of the recovery completed its first leg, labeled wave (W), in April 2023. This was followed by a three-wave corrective structure, wave (X), which ended at 143.70 in October 2023, confirming support at that level. The subsequent rally represents wave (Y) of the primary degree wave W (circled), completing the bullish phase.   Wave (Y) of W (circled) appears to have formed an ending diagonal structure, signaling the exhaustion of the uptrend. With this structure potentially completed, a corrective pullback in wave X (circled) is expected. Given the sub-wave structure, this correction could take the form of a double zigzag, a complex corrective pattern that typically leads to further downside before the uptrend resumes.   H4 Chart Analysis On the H4 chart, wave (Y) of W (circled) has completed a diagonal pattern, indicating that the rally is running out of steam. The immediate decline that has followed can be identified as wave W of (W) of Y (circled), the first phase of the larger corrective structure. A bounce in wave X is anticipated, but it is expected to remain below the August 2024 high. Once this bounce is complete, another leg lower in wave Y of (W) is likely, completing the initial correction phase.   Thus, while the long-term trend remains bullish for coffee, the market appears to be in the midst of a bearish retracement that could extend lower over the coming weeks. This corrective phase will likely persist as long as the August 2024 high is not breached, offering traders an opportunity to reassess before the next major rally unfolds.   Technical Analyst : Sanmi Adeagbo Source : Tradinglounge.com get trial here!  
    • PANW Elliott Wave Analysis Trading Lounge Daily Chart, PaloAlto Networks Inc., (PANW) Daily Chart  PANW Elliott Wave Technical Analysis FUNCTION: Trend  MODE: Impulsive  STRUCTURE: Motive  POSITION: Minor 1 of (5).  DIRECTION: Upside into wave 1.   DETAILS: Looking for a resumption of the uptrend after what appears to be a three wave move into wave (4), as we currently stand between TL3 and 400$. PANW Elliott Wave Analysis Trading Lounge 1H Chart, PaloAlto Networks Inc., (PANW) 1H Chart  PANW Elliott Wave Technical Analysis FUNCTION: Trend  MODE: Impulsive  STRUCTURE: Motive  POSITION: Wave {iii} of 1.    DIRECTION: Bottom in wave {ii}.  DETAILS: We could also have bottomed in wave 2 already, instead of {ii}. Looking for upside into wave {iii} as we seem to have a clear three wave move into wave {ii}. In this latest Elliott Wave analysis for Palo Alto Networks Inc. (PANW), we utilize the Elliott Wave Theory to break down PANW's price movements. This analysis will provide traders with insights into potential market opportunities based on the current structure and trends. We'll examine both the daily and 1-hour charts for a clearer understanding of PANW's price trajectory.  * PANW Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – Daily Chart* The daily chart shows that Palo Alto Networks (PANW) is in an impulsive trend. The price is currently progressing within Minor wave 1 of Intermediate wave (5). After completing a corrective three-wave move in wave (4), PANW appears to be resuming its uptrend.  * PANW Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 1H Chart* The 1-hour chart indicates that PANW is progressing within wave {iii} of 1, a highly impulsive and dynamic phase. The analysis suggests that the stock has likely bottomed in wave {ii}, marking the end of a corrective phase. The structure shows a clear three-wave move into wave {ii}, adding confidence to the scenario that wave {iii} is now in play. Technical Analyst : Alessio Barretta Source : Tradinglounge.com get trial here!
×
×
  • Create New...
us