U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen (USDJPY) Forex Elliott Wave Technical Analysis
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By tradinglounge · Posted
Cocoa Elliott Wave Analysis After reaching an all-time high of 11,722 in April 2024, Cocoa prices have entered a corrective phase, with the market still within this consolidation period. Since May 2024, Cocoa has traded predominantly below the 10,000 mark, suggesting that the ongoing bearish correction could extend further. It is anticipated that this corrective cycle will continue below the August 2024 low, possibly dropping toward the 5,000 level or lower, before the long-term bullish trend resumes. On the daily chart, a double zigzag corrective pattern is becoming evident from the April high. The first leg of the correction, wave W, concluded on August 8th, with the current upward movement representing wave X. Once wave X completes, wave Y could follow, potentially pushing prices toward the 5,000 level or even lower. Unless Cocoa prices rebound significantly and approach the 11,000 level, the downside scenario remains the most probable, suggesting the correction is not yet complete. In the H4 chart, wave X appears to have finished forming its own double zigzag pattern. As prices approach the wave x (circled) low at 6,850, the likelihood of wave Y commencing increases. A break below this level would likely confirm the start of wave Y, followed by a breach of the 6,600 level, where wave W previously ended. In conclusion, Cocoa's corrective phase seems far from over, with the potential for further declines toward 5,000 or below. The market is still within a larger bearish cycle that began after the April 2024 peak. While a strong rebound could change the outlook, the price action suggests that the corrective structure will likely continue to play out. A break below 6,850 would be a key signal confirming the start of wave Y, accelerating the move toward the completion of this corrective phase. Technical Analyst : Sanmi Adeagbo Source : Tradinglounge.com get trial here! -
By tradinglounge · Posted
S&P/ASX 200 Elliott Wave Analysis Trading Lounge Day Chart S&P/ASX 200 Elliott Wave Technical Analysis FUNCTION: Bullish Trend MODE: Impulsive STRUCTURE: Gray Wave 3 POSITION: Orange Wave 3 DIRECTION NEXT LOWER DEGREES: Gray Wave 4 DETAILS: Gray wave 2 appears complete. Now gray wave 3 of orange wave 3 is in progress. Wave cancel invalidation level: 7,921.1. The S&P/ASX 200 Elliott Wave Analysis for the Day Chart suggests a bullish trend, indicating an upward movement in the market. The mode of this trend is impulsive, representing a strong and dynamic movement aligned with the trend. The structure currently analyzed is labeled as gray wave 3, under the Elliott Wave Theory framework. Regarding positioning, the market is within orange wave 3, indicating the broader impulsive trend is still ongoing. The next anticipated movement would be gray wave 4, typically marking a corrective phase after gray wave 3. However, gray wave 3 is still active, showing that the market's upward movement continues. The previous phase, gray wave 2, is considered complete, which sets up the gray wave 3 of orange wave 3 currently underway. In Elliott Wave terms, wave 3 is often the strongest and longest in a five-wave sequence, indicating strong bullish momentum propelling the market upward. There is a critical invalidation level at 7,921.1. If the market drops below this point, the current wave analysis would be deemed invalid, requiring a reassessment of the wave structure. This level is crucial for traders to monitor since staying above it supports the bullish outlook. Overall, the analysis indicates the bullish trend remains intact with further upside potential, though traders should be mindful of the invalidation level. The completion of gray wave 3 is expected before a significant correction, likely in the form of gray wave 4, occurs. S&P/ASX 200 Elliott Wave Analysis Trading Lounge Weekly Chart S&P/ASX 200 Elliott Wave Technical Analysis FUNCTION: Bullish Trend MODE: Impulsive STRUCTURE: Orange Wave 3 POSITION: Navy Blue Wave 3 DIRECTION NEXT LOWER DEGREES: Orange Wave 4 DETAILS: Orange wave 2 appears complete. Now orange wave 3 of 3 is in progress. Wave cancel invalidation level: 7,625.9. The S&P/ASX 200 Elliott Wave Analysis for the Weekly Chart highlights a bullish trend, indicating that the market is moving upward. The trend mode is impulsive, which suggests a strong directional movement. The structure currently analyzed is orange wave 3. In the context of the Elliott Wave framework, this position sits within a larger degree labeled as navy blue wave 3, continuing the broader bullish trend. Multiple smaller waves contribute to this overall market direction. The next expected phase is orange wave 4, which typically follows after orange wave 3. Wave 4 generally represents a corrective phase, but as of now, orange wave 3 is still ongoing, indicating further upside potential before any correction begins. The prior wave, orange wave 2, is considered complete, setting up the continuation of orange wave 3. This wave marks a crucial phase in the impulsive trend, reflecting the market's ongoing bullish momentum. A key invalidation level is set at 7,625.9. If the market falls below this point, the wave analysis would be invalidated, and the current wave structure would no longer apply. This level is critical for traders, as the market must stay above it to maintain the bullish outlook. Overall, the Elliott Wave analysis suggests a continuation of the bullish trend, with wave 3 still evolving. However, traders should watch the 7,625.9 level closely, as any drop below this point would invalidate the current wave count. Technical Analyst : Malik Awais Source : Traddinglounge.com get trial here! -
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