Jump to content

Indices


Recommended Posts

6 minutes ago, cheviot said:

US stocks. 

On 12 October the Fed announced...not QE...an expansion of the Fed s balance sheet pumping $60 billion into the short end.  On that day stocks started to move higher and have nt looked back since,,,,,Last night the Fed announced that they will be reducing  'not QE'  funding op's .  Dow drops 100 points into the close....

The Fed is effectively funding the surge in US stocks....that is why there is a disconnect between INDexes levels and fundamentals.  

The Great Depression was caused by tight monetary policy.  Workers and machinery stood idle doing nothing because there was apparently no money.  A complete contradiction that almost led to the death of capitalism.  Is that a better situation?

Edited by dmedin
Link to comment
Quote

But some investors said they were dialling down bets on equities amid the uncertainty over what economic toll the coronavirus would take.

“We have actually taken some money out of equities this week,” said Rory McPherson, head of investment strategy at Psigma Investment Management, adding that it was temporarily holding cash instead.

https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-global-markets/european-shares-hit-record-even-as-coronavirus-shows-no-signs-of-peaking-idUKKBN20804D

 

And the longer they keep 'cash' the longer they will get below-inflation or negative returns ...

Stop hoarding cash is the message ...  it causes unemployment and social unrest ... spend it or lose it 😉

 

Edited by dmedin
Link to comment

So if I closed this position right now I would get £2.85 plus my deposit back.  I've paid a spread and that's it.  But if there were huge overnight swings, and I held a longer-term option, I still be in the game and not waking up to losses and the prospect of having to open a new trade.

1963946284_DailyWallStreet29500CALL_20200214_12_57.thumb.png.335525a59b6bd2f3526f35d6ddced6ea.png

 

 

Edited by dmedin
Link to comment
26 minutes ago, dmedin said:

So if I closed this position right now I would get £2.85 plus my deposit back.  I've paid a spread and that's it.  But if there were huge overnight swings, and I held a longer-term option, I still be in the game and not waking up to losses and the prospect of having to open a new trade.

1963946284_DailyWallStreet29500CALL_20200214_12_57.thumb.png.335525a59b6bd2f3526f35d6ddced6ea.png

 

 

If you hold an option that still has time left you are still in the game..

  • Great! 1
Link to comment

The drop of Nasdaq (maybe Dow also) is unlikely today. I still think it will close higher near closing time leaving the potential drop early next week if it happens. The volatility is expected to increase.

 

Probably not wise for those to leave open positions going long.

Edited by HPbrand
  • Like 1
Link to comment
5 minutes ago, dmedin said:

This now meets my conditions for going short.  But under the conditions (Friday, closing soon and Monday holiday) I may hold off.  As for FTSE I am going to let it run for another hour to see if it will slip below S1.

Might be a little too late even for a scalp on Dow especially as it's got a couple of serious support levels just below and there certainly is no headlong rush for the door pre long weekend.

image.thumb.png.7ded189b94a64e2e88fe1765ec5b241a.png

  • Like 1
Link to comment

Join the conversation

You are posting as a guest. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • General Statistics

    • Total Topics
      15,697
    • Total Posts
      75,109
    • Total Members
      63,134
    • Most Online
      7,522
      10/06/21 10:53

    Newest Member
    DoC107
    Joined 01/08/21 21:05
  • Posts

    • Many months ago in the old renamed 'covid and the economy' thread I posted a piece from Virologist Dr. Geert Vanden Bossche (DMV, PhD) who said that virology 101 states you never start a mass vaccination programme in the middle of a pandemic because of the high risk of Antibody-Dependent Enhancement (ADE). In a new paper he says the threat is that mass vaccination at a time of high infectious pressure causes the virus to mutate within the vaccinated into variants of concern (VoCs) and eventually super variants, that due to ADE and viral immune escape, can lead to surges of infections and mass deaths.  Furthermore, the vaccinated are in greater danger of infection and death because their natural immune systems are suppressed by the Covid-19 vaccines. Collectively, the vaccinated are a threat to both the vaccinated and the unvaccinated alike. Why the ongoing mass vaccination experiment drives a rapid evolutionary response of SARS-CoV-2 (geertvandenbossche.org)   Meanwhile, Facts that don't fit the narrative will not be tolerated.The Govt will be your only source of 'truth'.''Sky News Australia SUSPENDED from YouTube''.YouTube has reportedly banned Sky News in Australia from posting to their 1.85M followers for allegedly breaching the platforms Covid misinformation policy. BREAKING: Sky News Australia SUSPENDED from YouTube - Rebel News   And Facebook Covid vaccine Fact-Checkers are funded by vaccine companies. I suppose this is to ensure that people only get to see the 'right' facts.        
    • The new CDC Massachusetts study is drawing a lot of attention. The CDC is using it to promote mutant risk but there is a lot more to the story. - 74% of 882 people infected with coronavirus in the US outbreak were fully immunised but only 50% of US are fully vaxed suggests the vaccines are making people more susceptible to infection (which indicates vaccine ADE). - The viral load was found to be the same for the vaccinated and non-vaxed alike which would suggest the vaccine was not offering any protection at all (which indicates vaccine ADE). - Most of the 74% were symptomatic, such a high ratio of symptomatic/unsymptomatic for the delta variant would suggest the vaccine was compromising the immune system making symptoms worse (which indicates vaccine ADE).   Meanwhile, a CDC Internal Document: “Universal masking is essential to reduce transmission of the Delta variant” This is nonsense, masks can only stop droplet borne virus not virus as aerosol. An infected person will breath out 50,000 with each breath and they float on air, travel much more than 2 meters, and around perspex screens, and through the weave of a mask. UK lifts mask mandates at the peak of new cases ... and immediately the curve collapses.   .  
    • Main stream media are waking up to the fact all is not right concerning the vaccines. The fully vaxxed are the majority of new cases. No one is as yet coming out and saying vaccine ADE but all the indications are pointing that way. So far all the blame is being heaped solely on mutants but that can't be the whole story. Vaccine ADE enhances the virus while compromising the immune system. CNN @CNN ''Vaccination alone won't stop the rise of variants and in fact could push the evolution of strains that evade their protection, researchers warned.''  Vaccination is not enough by itself to stop the spread of variants, study finds - CNN    'Study finds 74% of outbreak sufferers were fully vaccinated'. (US is only 50% vaxed) Outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 Infections, Including COVID-19 Vaccine Breakthrough Infections, Associated with Large Public Gatherings — Barnstable County, Massachusetts, July 2021 | MMWR (cdc.gov) ('Breakthrough infections'' is a term meaning infections in vaccinated people)   CNBC @CNBC 'CDC says 74% of people infected in Massachusetts Covid outbreak were fully vaccinated.' JUST IN - 'More than 110,000 breakthrough cases in the US' (Bloomberg)   And from SAGE yesterday evening; ''JUST IN - SAGE, the UK's health "expert panel," warns next Covid "super mutant variant" could kill up to one in three people, and the "vaccine roll-out may even speed up mutant strain's emergence." (Daily Mail) The last half of that headline is a clear indication they at least suspect vaccine ADE. SAGE: Next Covid variant could kill one in three people | Daily Mail Online   Safe vaccines, the ones that completed their long term trials before roll out don't cause 'super mutants'. We are starting to see why Dr Robert Malone was calling for the vax programme to be stopped immediately in the video posted above.   Pfizer now saying vaccines will not be enough so as well as perpetual booster jabs they are developing oral antivirals. (oh - like Ivermectin you mean - can't use that, it only cost a few cents) Pfizer Inc.  @pfizer  Alongside vaccines, success against #COVID19 will likely require #antiviral treatments for those who contract the virus. We’ve started a Phase 2/3 trial to evaluate a potential oral therapy that will enroll over 2,000 participants infected with SARS-CoV-2:   So the vaccines don't actually work then except to incapacitate your immune system and create super mutants.   And in another new twist Social Media are quietly starting to remove the warnings they habitually place on posts that might, even slightly, be construed as anti-vax. 🤔   .edit bad pic crop.  
×
×
  • Create New...