Jump to content

Inflation or Deflation?

Recommended Posts

I've read a lot of different commentators who have a view on whether we will sink into deflation (maybe depression) or that central bankers will have their way and drive massive inflation.  Despite the best attempts of the CBs, QE, ZIRP and now NIRP inflation remains stubbornly low.  Perhaps they should set aside their economic text books and take a look at the real world where people simply are not being paid enough to afford to buy things and have, belatedly, cut their plastic with household debt falling (government and corporate debt remains sky high though...).  House prices in London are more than a useful case study.  The social impact of the lack of affordable of housing is already coming to the fore in the rhetoric of the mayoral campaign and UK wide government policy is shifting away from the current home owner to the people who can't get on the ladder.


Next issues sales warning and Sainsbury's cites falling food prices as the main driver in continued deteriorating profits as price wars continue.  This is not just normal competition, people who would never have dreamed of shopping in Aldi or Lidl are doing so now because they simply do not want to pay.  Falling commodity prices (assuming that has not run its course, and I don't think so) are a big factor on the headline inflation numbers but the inflation we all experience is not here but in retail.  Has anyone else noticed retailers offering many more deals and discount incentives of late?  I have!  And that didn't really happen during the credit crunch, sure we had massive seasonal sales but not non sale time incentives.  Deflation is my bet and it is already happening.  Cue housing price crash and we have it nailed on...  For the financial markets this spells BEAR!

Link to comment


This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • General Statistics

    • Total Topics
    • Total Posts
    • Total Members
    • Most Online
      10/06/21 10:53

    Newest Member
    Joined 23/03/23 22:43
  • Posts

    • In general, I will start with the fact that I was looking for a cube would be possible to invest money to multiply Some bets, stock exchanges didn't really work for me. I decided to look for something really worthwhile. In general I got to cryptocurrency, studied it for a while and tried to get into it. Then I got interested in all sorts of nft, metaverse, and so on And then I found a quite interesting and fresh project It's called Sabai Ecoverse. There, and you can earn from zero, and multiply the capital. In general, I just started to get into it. Can you also look at and say your opinion, please
    • Markets Digest the Possibility of a Fed Pause and BoE Hikes 25 bps. The Thursday  Market Outlook with Richard Snow gives a report on the latest changes in the financial markets, providing timely fundamental, economic and technical analysis and a close examination of promising chart formations with live currency quotes which you can look forward to.    
    • The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) issued a so-called Wells notice on Coinbase which saw the stock down heavily after-hours last night on Wall Street.    Jeremy Naylor | Analyst, London | Publication date: Thursday 23 March 2023  This is a document indicating that the SEC is preparing to act against some parts of the business. IGTV’s Jeremy Naylor explains that as the story develops, and more is heard, traders will be able to make a better judgment. Coinbase shares plunge The crypto exchange Coinbase fell more than 22% yesterday late in the session, all-sessions on the IG platform, it trades outside of hours, and it was this trading that represented a big drop in the share price. Share price chart Let's take a look at what happened because it explains the situation quite well. We have subsequently this morning seen a little bit of a rebound, but that 22% drop came after the company was issued a so-called Wells notice by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The Wells notice is often one of the final steps before the SEC formally issues charges against the business, generally laying out the framework for what happens next. So we've got this drop that came through last night. We've subsequently seen a little bit of a rise on the session. CNBC said last night that based on discussions with the staff that potentially enforcement actions would relate to aspects of the company's spot market staking service, Coinbase Earn, Coinbase Prime and also the Coinbase Wallet business. Now the SEC is on high alert in the crypto industry in the wake of the failure of FTX. The recent gains we've seen in Coinbase have really all been about what's been happening with Bitcoin. Bitcoin has risen a whopping 47 and three quarter percent from the lows we had back on the 10th of March, all the way up to the highs we saw on Wednesday, yesterday, mid-session before the pullback. It's acting a little bit like a safe haven in the world of the markets. But Coinbase reflected this to some degree. But that knock yesterday was a really big pullback. But the investors are regrouping around the business and see this stock now up all-sessions, up 7% today. Where it'll open remains to be seen, but I suspect we could well see a little bit of a drop at the start later on today on Wall Street.
  • Create New...