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Reminder Tier 1 data releases for GB, EU and US coming up on Thursday and Friday ...

 

 

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Today's Trade Balance numbers for March: GB minus 3.8 Bil. Germany plus 26 Bil.

 

Commentators talking more of a GB rate cut than hike though timing re; referendum confuses the picture.

Even BOE Carney (on BBC R4 Today yesterday) warned banks of the possibility of a rate cut.

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p03tl4y4

 

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I think Carney only cuts if other CBs cut.  This is currency war territory but can the BoE seriously be considering NIRP?  That really would be the end for me!  The end of economics as we know it...

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ECB cut in March. Talk of hikes is drying up all round, GB, EU, US. Japan continues to lead the way backwards. NIRP, how low can you go?

 

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NIRP = prepare for the big bear for me, may cause a short term pop but soon people will see that this is just all out of whack and growth is not coming.  Is this the end of Keynesian economics?  Hopefully it is the end of central bank (political appointees!) interference in what should be a free market...

 

 

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Unfortunately it seems to lead to the opposite, In Japan the BOJ, with it's negative interest rates and money printing/asset buying (bonds, equities), will soon own everything.

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And then we will have global communism!  The Donald should use that in his campaign!  A vote for the central banker loving establishment politics is a vote for global communism through the back door (so to speak!)

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GBP/USD at risk from GB Indy and Manu production data today 09:30 BST.

 

Indy Prod expected  -0.4% yoy.

Manu Prod expected  -1.9% yoy.

 

Anything outside expectations often cause GBP/USD spikes.

 

 

 

 

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