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Everything up except USD and Crypto. Chart USD basket.

Carney speaks 11am, EU mon pol accounts 12:30, US CPI and jobs data 1:30pm

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Indices Gold Oil Crypto up, Bonds USD down. Chart Copper bottoming out.

China data 8am, EU indy prod 10am, US PPI 1:30pm.

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Indices up, USD flat. Bonds, Oil and Gold down, Crypto down. Chart Ether down 8%.

Japan bank holiday.

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Asian markets down Crypto down, Bonds up, USD flat, Oil and Gold up. Chart Bund.

UK average earnings 9:30, Ger econ senti 10:00, US retail sales 1:30pm. Lots of Fed speak throughout the day. Ger sentiment expected at a very depressed -20.9.

 

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Indices mixed USD down, Bonds up Oil up after yesterday's big drop, Gold down. Chart Microsoft down 1.4%.

CPI data for UK and EU, US housing starts, US oil inventories.

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Overnight Indices and USD down, Bonds  and Oil up, Gold down Cryptos up. Chart Caterpillar down 2.6%.

UK retail sales 9:30, US jobs data and Philly Fed 1:30pm.

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Overnight Indices up Bonds down, Oil up Gold pausing after recent breakout, Crypto down. Chart Gold.

Ger PPI 7:00, UK borrowing 9:30, US consumer sentiment 3:00pm.

 

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Starting out fairly flat, Asian markets down as bets come off for an aggressive rate cut next week. USD up Crypto up and Bonds down overnight. Chart USDJPY.

Not much on the calendar today or tomorrow, ECB rate decision Thursday and US GDP Friday.

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Overnight, Indices and USD up, Bonds and Gold down, Crypto down. Chart Gold.

Today, EU bank lending, UK Tory leadership contest, US housing.

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Overnight and Indices up. Gold, Oil up, Bonds, USD flat and Crypto down. Chart Barclays.

PMIs - Ger 8:30, EU 9:00, US 2:45pm.

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Overnight Indices Crypto Bonds Oil USD up, Gold down. Chart Cat down over 4% on downsized expectations from US shale indy also weighed on the Dow yesterday.

Ger business climate data 9:00, ECB rate decision 12:45 and presser 1:30, US durable goods 1:30.

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Overnight Indices mixed, USD and Bonds flat, Crypto down and Oil and Gold up.

Earnings Amazon miss, Alphabet beat. Chart Alphabet up 7.5% 

On the calendar and today it's all about US GDP 1:30pm.

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End of day Indices Bonds and USD up, Oil and BTC down. Chart US fang up 2%.

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Overnight indices down Oil down, USD, Bonds and Gold up. Chart Alphabet up nearly 10%.

Not much on today's calendar.

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Overnight Indices USD and Oil up, Bonds and Gold down. Chart GBPUSD.

Today Ger consumer conf and CPI, EU business climate, and US personal spending and consumer conf.

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Overnight Asian indices down, USD flat, Crypto up, Bonds and Oil up, Gold down. Chart Nasdaq.

Ger employment and retail sales, EU GDP and CPI, US ADP nfp, FOMC rate decision, mon pol statement and presser.

 

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Overnight and still lots of red, quite a feat to crash everything all at once except the USD of course which is flying high, hate to be Powell when he gets that phone call from Trump 😳

UK rate decision today, let's hope Carnage can kick up a s**tstorm of equal volatility. 

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After the Trump announcement Indices red but USD, Gold and Oil recoiling a bit after the surge. Chart China 300.

US NFP 1:30pm today.

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Overnight USD down. Oil down and Gold up, Cryptos down. Chart Bund takes a breather (not sure why there are no Friday candles on the Bund daily chart).

Not much on the calendar for today.

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Overnight USD up, Indices rebounding, Asian markets down, Oil down Gold up, Bonds mixed. Chart Caterpillar down 2.2%

GB ave earnings 9:30, Ger econ sentiment 10:00, US CPI 1:30pm.

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Overnight change and markets settling after the most recent Trump play, Gold holding up quite well chart.

Ger GDP, UK CPI, EU GDP.

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Overnight USD down, Indices trying to lift, Oil down Gold up, Bonds up chart Bund.

Lots of US data today at 1:30pm should be interesting.

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Overnight Indices and USD up Cryptos down, Oil up Gold down and Bonds take a breather. Chart 30 year Treasury Bond.

US housing data, plus the only high impact release today is the US Mich consumer sentiment at 3pm.

 

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  • Member Statistics

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  • Posts

    • Where can I find a list of the US ETFs which are tradable with IG? I can't receive market data for those via the API (same as for stocks), correct?
    • US Dollar - The World's Reserve Currency: The US Dollar as the world's reserve currency is an issue which causes mix reactions and thoughts. When the US Dollar  became the reserve currency there was no Euro or Chinese Renminbi. Since their introduction it has eaten into the US Dollar's world dominance and as a result has led to it declining from the 70%-80% range to the 60% range. If one remembers, the UK Pound Sterling, once was the world's reserve currency but it now only accounts for around 4% at the moment. So things can change and it is not a given that the US Dollar will remain the world's reserve currency forever. It will have to earn that right which it may well do.  The US Dollar’s share of global central bank reserves hit a 5-year low, according to the International Monetary Fund. Now is this the beginning of a significant change here? Is the US, the world superpower it once was? There is no doubt it is the mightiest country in the world at this moment in time in terms of economics but imagine if the US Dollar lost its reserve currency status. This would have a large impact on the economics within the US.  I do not envisage the US losing its status anytime soon but if things continue to get worse and other countries find ways to conduct international transactions / transfers / payments without the need to hold US Dollars, and an alternative arises then who knows. 
    • Going back to my FTSE analysis I see things as follows: 2 scenarios present themselves, other than fresh ATHs that is: 1) the move down to the turn on Thursday was a wave 1 (blue) off a larger scale wave 2 (purple) that should retrace, maybe in a complex fashion with a lot of whip saw price action maybe not, let's see; 2) the recent rally and drop to a new low was a 1-2 (red), which indicates a much stronger leg down is immanent. The #2 scenario would only be valid if price holds below the previous high (circa 7300).  I favour the #1 scenario. There was PMD on the 4H chart at wave 1 (blue), which suggests this is a turning point.  Also the 4H chart shows a 1-5 wave down to the 1 blue, which would be motive and suggests a trend change to the bearish side. There was strong NMD at wave 2 (Purple) which is consistent with a large scale retrace move. Just as with the US large caps, after the stop and turn up there was a sharp retrace drop to the Fib 76/78% zone before the current rally.  As the FTSE was in out of hours at the end of the week this market has not rallied as hard as the US markets.  Also we may yet see fresh ATHs on US large caps while the FTSE100 only puts in a counter trend rally. If we do see fresh ATHs on US large caps and only a retrace on FTSE and probably Dax and Nikkei as well then comparing these markets will be instructive for calling that top on US large caps.  We may, alternatively, see only a retrace on US large caps too if the top of the market in already in. Conclusion: we can anticipate a bullish period on all major indices BUT should guard against a quick reversal on FTSE 100 that would set up scenario #2.  Either way this market looks to have topped out so the coming months though to the Autumn will be critical to deciding things on all indices, and likely quite a few other markets. I am Long the FTSE 100, coincident with my Dow Longs and will swing this up for now but my bearish bias for the long term will keep we watchful for a break down of this rally and I will not be pyramiding this one, far too risky until things are resolved.
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