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Everything up except USD and Crypto. Chart USD basket.

Carney speaks 11am, EU mon pol accounts 12:30, US CPI and jobs data 1:30pm

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Indices Gold Oil Crypto up, Bonds USD down. Chart Copper bottoming out.

China data 8am, EU indy prod 10am, US PPI 1:30pm.

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Indices up, USD flat. Bonds, Oil and Gold down, Crypto down. Chart Ether down 8%.

Japan bank holiday.

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Asian markets down Crypto down, Bonds up, USD flat, Oil and Gold up. Chart Bund.

UK average earnings 9:30, Ger econ senti 10:00, US retail sales 1:30pm. Lots of Fed speak throughout the day. Ger sentiment expected at a very depressed -20.9.

 

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Indices mixed USD down, Bonds up Oil up after yesterday's big drop, Gold down. Chart Microsoft down 1.4%.

CPI data for UK and EU, US housing starts, US oil inventories.

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Overnight Indices and USD down, Bonds  and Oil up, Gold down Cryptos up. Chart Caterpillar down 2.6%.

UK retail sales 9:30, US jobs data and Philly Fed 1:30pm.

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Overnight Indices up Bonds down, Oil up Gold pausing after recent breakout, Crypto down. Chart Gold.

Ger PPI 7:00, UK borrowing 9:30, US consumer sentiment 3:00pm.

 

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Starting out fairly flat, Asian markets down as bets come off for an aggressive rate cut next week. USD up Crypto up and Bonds down overnight. Chart USDJPY.

Not much on the calendar today or tomorrow, ECB rate decision Thursday and US GDP Friday.

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Overnight, Indices and USD up, Bonds and Gold down, Crypto down. Chart Gold.

Today, EU bank lending, UK Tory leadership contest, US housing.

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Overnight and Indices up. Gold, Oil up, Bonds, USD flat and Crypto down. Chart Barclays.

PMIs - Ger 8:30, EU 9:00, US 2:45pm.

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Overnight Indices Crypto Bonds Oil USD up, Gold down. Chart Cat down over 4% on downsized expectations from US shale indy also weighed on the Dow yesterday.

Ger business climate data 9:00, ECB rate decision 12:45 and presser 1:30, US durable goods 1:30.

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Overnight Indices mixed, USD and Bonds flat, Crypto down and Oil and Gold up.

Earnings Amazon miss, Alphabet beat. Chart Alphabet up 7.5% 

On the calendar and today it's all about US GDP 1:30pm.

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End of day Indices Bonds and USD up, Oil and BTC down. Chart US fang up 2%.

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Overnight indices down Oil down, USD, Bonds and Gold up. Chart Alphabet up nearly 10%.

Not much on today's calendar.

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Overnight Indices USD and Oil up, Bonds and Gold down. Chart GBPUSD.

Today Ger consumer conf and CPI, EU business climate, and US personal spending and consumer conf.

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Overnight Asian indices down, USD flat, Crypto up, Bonds and Oil up, Gold down. Chart Nasdaq.

Ger employment and retail sales, EU GDP and CPI, US ADP nfp, FOMC rate decision, mon pol statement and presser.

 

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Overnight and still lots of red, quite a feat to crash everything all at once except the USD of course which is flying high, hate to be Powell when he gets that phone call from Trump 😳

UK rate decision today, let's hope Carnage can kick up a s**tstorm of equal volatility. 

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After the Trump announcement Indices red but USD, Gold and Oil recoiling a bit after the surge. Chart China 300.

US NFP 1:30pm today.

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Overnight USD down. Oil down and Gold up, Cryptos down. Chart Bund takes a breather (not sure why there are no Friday candles on the Bund daily chart).

Not much on the calendar for today.

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Overnight USD up, Indices rebounding, Asian markets down, Oil down Gold up, Bonds mixed. Chart Caterpillar down 2.2%

GB ave earnings 9:30, Ger econ sentiment 10:00, US CPI 1:30pm.

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Overnight change and markets settling after the most recent Trump play, Gold holding up quite well chart.

Ger GDP, UK CPI, EU GDP.

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Overnight USD down, Indices trying to lift, Oil down Gold up, Bonds up chart Bund.

Lots of US data today at 1:30pm should be interesting.

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Overnight Indices and USD up Cryptos down, Oil up Gold down and Bonds take a breather. Chart 30 year Treasury Bond.

US housing data, plus the only high impact release today is the US Mich consumer sentiment at 3pm.

 

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Indices continue to bounce back as Bonds retreat, USD and Oil up, Gold down. Chart US 30 Year Treasury.

No high impact news today, EU CPI at 10:00.

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Overnight Indices Oil up, USD down, Crypto up, Bonds and Gold up. Chart DXY weekly.

Nil high impact data releases today.

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Overnight Indices up Bonds down, USD up Crypto down. Chart BTC weekly.

High impact today is Canadian CPI at 1:30pm and the minutes release of the last FOMC mtg 7:00pm.

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Looking Risk Neutral this morning, Indices mixed, USD down Bonds flat, Oil and Gold down.

Chart US 10 y Treasury.

High impact releases today Ger PMI, EU PMI. Start of the 3 day Jackson Hole symposium, news leaks throughout and can be market moving affecting positions over the weekend plus UK bank holiday Monday.

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Bonds are having quite a sizable down day so far, Indices and Oil up, USD flat.

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    • With the breakout of GBPUSD (would like to see a daily close above support there and ideally a breakout through the daily channel line) and EURUSD making up its mind about whether to breakout or not I look at the third pair in the Triad for clues.  My thesis is that when both of these markets rally it will be on USD weakness rather than intrinsic strength in either one BUT as GBP has been more depressed of later and with so much negativity around about GBP vs EUR the spring back relief rally will be stronger on GBP.  If right we should see EURGBP turn and drop fast and hard and continue to do so for at least as long as the primary pairs rally lasts. And that is what we have seen so far with what looks like an exhaustion overshoot of my daily chart channel line and drop back inside.  A drop away from this area is confirmatory of an exhaustion spike, and that is what we got.  There followed a small 1-2 retrace, relief rally, which retested the channel line but failed to break back though, and another small 1-2 before a short term channel (1H chart) break and failed retest and then we were off to the races. Recently there has been a consolidation in what could be a small pennant of another 1-2, probably the latter and then a fast break down from this formation to where we are now, testing the lower daily chart channel.  If I am right about a period of USD weakness then I would expect EUR to join the party soon and so we may see a relief rally off the daily channel lower line before a confirmed break. Worth watching the Triad to see how things progress over the coming days and during the Jackson hole panto.
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