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Posted (edited)

I decided to short JD Sports for the following reasons:

1) Long and overextended bull run with declining RSI peaks

2) Increased volume on second failed attempt to break high of 649 - buying pressure exhausted?

3) Increasing volume on descent

4) 10 day SMA below 50 day SMA and the curve of 50 SMA is flattening

5) Candlestick patterns - can see what looks like an inverted green hammer around June 6th and another hammer near 24th

6) Break of up trend line

I am fairly sure the price won't break 649 but I set my stop a bit lower because of the risk/reward ratio.  If it breaks my stop I would take the loss, wait to see if it breaks 649 and if it fails a third time I would go short again.

Pleasingly, PRT confirms the support and resistance lines I had drawn myself previously on the HTML5 version.  :D

 

JD-Daily.thumb.png.f8832549b4f7973814ad5339e98861d2.png

Edited by dmedin
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From my experience with the RSI indicator, once it gets back down to that 30's mark, it tends to then swing back up.

The high volume sell off in that last volume stick and the price drop in the candle could indicate a move to a short position, personally i use the Parabolic SAR with the Macd as my indicators, havent done too much with the Fib charts.

The problem i see with drawing your own lines on the chart is that you can make them any where you want to fit your narrative, which can screw your chart to suit your mind, not your trading plan, so i would be very careful with that.

with out my normal indicators, im going to say its over sold from the RSI and it will move up not down, but i hope for your sake im wrong.

Be interesting to see where it goes, hope u update it later.

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Posted (edited)

@davidbrister

I will.  For better or for worse :D

I suppose I am fitting things into my narrative because I have a strong gut feeling that it's way overbought.  Anyway, JD Sports also have U.S. business and it will suffer a bit from the current appreciation of GBP vs USD.

 

Edited by dmedin

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Anyway, redrawing triangles/lines isn't so bad.  Just keep redrawing them until you get a valid breakout.  :D

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Yikes 😮 Lots of buying pressure today!  Let's hope it dries up :D

JD-1-hour.thumb.png.b4af3488108895a2acc08119a50c8a71.png

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@dmedin

That spike looks like a stop hunt, there will be a lot of stops around 600 to 605. Watch-out for a bounce  before it breaks support but a stop hunt can be a signal for the next leg down. 👿

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11 minutes ago, Foxy said:

@dmedin

That spike looks like a stop hunt, there will be a lot of stops around 600 to 605. Watch-out for a bounce  before it breaks support but a stop hunt can be a signal for the next leg down. 👿

@dmedin

Maybe I should point out, if it's not a stop hunt it may signal a reversal so be sure to watch for that bounce don't be afraid to close out if you don't like what you see. 👿 

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Posted (edited)

Someone bought 50,000 shares on the market open (just under £300,000 worth), wonder what they know that we don't?

image.png.f2bf9e5d48df2c202f6a0f6d3cce9241.png

Edited by Caseynotes
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@ Caseynotes

Where do you get that info from :)

 

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They must know the big institutional orders are placed hence price will shoot

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Looks like we are building up for a second assault on 602 - 603.  🙈

 

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Posted (edited)
18 minutes ago, dmedin said:

Looks like we are building up for a second assault on 602 - 603.  🙈

 

@dmedin

The point of this chart is simple you sell highs in the Red/Pink and you buy lows in the Blue. Because you entered so late you will have to decide if you want to hold but it's still a sell the high type of market for now.

JD-1-hour.png

Edited by Foxy
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@Foxy

Yes, I'm still holding on for dear life.  :D

(Also still holding on to Ocado.)

 

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1 hour ago, dmedin said:

@Foxy

Yes, I'm still holding on for dear life.  :D

(Also still holding on to Ocado.)

 

@dmedin

Chart for Ocado!!

OCDO-1-hour.png

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Posted (edited)

It's looking okay today for JD Sports short.  Got a ways to go but on the right path!  Would like to find a way to remove the open order overlay when taking pics of my chart.  Just for modesty's sake.  :D

Edited by dmedin

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7 minutes ago, dmedin said:

It's looking okay today for JD Sports short.  Got a ways to go but on the right path!  Would like to find a way to remove the open order overlay when taking pics of my chart.  Just for modesty's sake.  :D

Can't remember but does it not automatically cut out the personal data stuff on chart Save? see below;

image.png.ae3120b4726d96dbc8f9dffc0d9eab69.png

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1 hour ago, Caseynotes said:

Can't remember but does it not automatically cut out the personal data stuff on chart Save? see below;

image.png.ae3120b4726d96dbc8f9dffc0d9eab69.png

 

Yeah even when I use the 'Save' option it doesn't remove my order stops/limits and running profit total on the left-hand side.  Can't seem to find a way to turn it off!

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14 minutes ago, dmedin said:

 

Yeah even when I use the 'Save' option it doesn't remove my order stops/limits and running profit total on the left-hand side.  Can't seem to find a way to turn it off!

I think if you collapse the quick user interface it also takes away the trade info, see below;

image.png.1d1fd5611c27a19aed1a1a19d78269a1.png

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6 hours ago, dmedin said:

It's looking okay today for JD Sports short.  Got a ways to go but on the right path!  Would like to find a way to remove the open order overlay when taking pics of my chart.  Just for modesty's sake.  :D

@dmedin

Yep & Ocado is moving in the right direction. I guess the smarty pants with £300,000 of JD wished he knew what you knew now. Ha Ha Feels good to be right. Like I said yesterday don't beet yourself up to quickly just follow the charts your not doing so badly. 

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@dmedin

Thought this may feel good, if you haven't worked it out. 50,000 shares of JD = £500pp @ 580 he was down 17.8 points almost £9000.00

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19 hours ago, Caseynotes said:

I think if you collapse the quick user interface it also takes away the trade info, see below;

image.png.1d1fd5611c27a19aed1a1a19d78269a1.png

 

Yep.  There is an extra option to enable first though :)

Here:

prt.jpg.a47f00fa81d228da11f5b1827aade80a.jpg

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Yes, I think it is on course for a correction!  Like Ocado it may turn out to be a good long as soon as it has finished correcting.  :D

JD-Daily.thumb.png.8e1a255481ccdea56bd5c9d4c2968a95.png

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There's still quite a bit of buying interest in this stock, could be that we have a 'shallow correction' followed by another lift-off!  😱

JD-Daily.thumb.png.47b86203f91acba92d2ac174c512fc1a.png

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Posted (edited)

It looks like it's trading in a range, but a range that is 'one leg lower' than the previous range, which was 602 - 640 or so.  Now it looks like it will trade a range of 569 - 600.

Edited by dmedin

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16 hours ago, dmedin said:

So far, so good.

JD-Daily.thumb.png.b6776d2ff2a283f75635993087f82dd7.png

How did you get the Bull/Bear volume indicator you are using?

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1 minute ago, FFS_Daytrader said:

How did you get the Bull/Bear volume indicator you are using?

See this thread;

 

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