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Recession Obsession

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Yield curve signalling lower recession risk;

image.png.cfcaa943212b9e58bbaaf55c5763c63d.png

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'The only thing we have to fear is fear itself!' - well that and huge blazing fires, climate change, and a few other things :P

 

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5 minutes ago, dmedin said:

'The only thing we have to fear is fear itself!' - well that and huge blazing fires, climate change, and a few other things :P

 

"In 2019, "820 natural catastrophes caused overall losses of US$ 150bn, which is broadly in line with the inflation-adjusted average of the past 30 years."

https://www.munichre.com/en/company/media-relations/media-information-and-corporate-news/media-information/2020/causing-billions-in-losses-dominate-nat-cat-picture-2019.html

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Recession probabilities coming down for Ger, France, UK and Spain.

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Housing starts booming in the US, today's data and graph;

image.png.3c300599a7a0530416b38b1b93d0aa89.png

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    • Is that a trick question..? I'm trying to have a broad picture.  And to consider (and develop an understanding of) as many influences on prices as I can.
    • And just so you can 'get where I'm coming from' for the last 6 months here is a data set from Asia I posted way back in February (Daily Dashboard thread). Looks pretty similar doesn't it and certainly a million miles from Ferguson's model predicting hundreds of thousands of deaths.
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