Jump to content

Caseynotes

Community Member
  • Posts

    13,207
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    556

Posts posted by Caseynotes

  1. 1 hour ago, dmedin said:

    Isn't it just the same as using TA to trade anything else?

    Pairs (FX) are something of a 2-headed beast and so different to other markets but it's the very low volatility that leads you to be crawling around on your hands and knees trying to pick up pennies. Nothing ever seems to take off but rather sparks and then just fizzles out.

  2. 2 minutes ago, Martino115 said:

    Sure there are professional traders out there mostly trading other peoples money, which in itself is very different to the retail guy..

    yes that's true though they all had to start somewhere. I think myself FX and crypto is more difficult to trade than stocks, indices and commods and yet FX and crypto are the gateway into trading for the majority. FX I think is particularity difficult when volatility is at extreme lows. 

    • Like 1
  3.  

    13 minutes ago, dmedin said:

    radically changing my tactics before I sink for good.  😺🐮

    good, go back to basics. Decide on near term direction, look for a reasonable pullback set up to reverse back and continue with trend and enter with a simple bracket order of a tight stop loss and reasonable target and just keep chipping away.

    image.png.6c608dd7a26eb5dbda4034976f870c33.png

    • Great! 1
  4. On 04/12/2019 at 13:18, DSchenk said:

    Btw, Ross did yesterday make his money on DRIO, the leading gapper. We can't trade this on IG, is this all a **** **** crappy conspiracy against us, IG????

    If I remember correctly on IG US stocks need a min market cap of $250M to be included on the leveraged platform, if a stock falls below that then new trades are  disallowed but it stays on the platform until all those with running trades exit. Other reasons not to take bets may be that IG has reached it's risk/hedge limit on a stock.

    Worth repeating that a broker is not there just to automatically take the other side of your trade, that's a bookie. A broker matches buyers and sellers.

    • Like 1
  5. Overnight Indices up, Bonds, Oil and Gold down. See Ger indy production (m/m) just came in at minus 1.7% instead of the plus 0.1% expected but Dax doesn't seem to care, it knows it's future is tied up with the US data.

    US NFP day today at 1:30pm and 180k expected, don't forget the ADP nfp on Wednesday came in at a big miss of only 67k v 137 expected.

    image.thumb.png.086349102248851f6a479248a60e21f7.png

    image.thumb.png.d253ec6805035f9e30b572954cae9098.png

  6. 1 hour ago, dmedin said:

    Looks like DJIA is about to do another big ploppy doo-doo :(

    286925916_WallStreet_20191205_09_28.thumb.png.a8114ea75bfe5e290238162b18965895.png

    Looks like schmoks like.

    So at the start of the day look at yesterday's daily candle, it can only be either a bull or bear or a pause candle. Assume today's candle will be the same (bull or bear, forget pause), so expect a continuation candle.

    Watch the daily pivot throughout the day, he who controls the pivot controls intra-day direction. So if yesterday's daily candle was a bull then so long as today's price action remains above the pivot then expect continuation upward.

    image.thumb.png.623d5f20afe2d355897569ec13c6cbce.png

     

    • Great! 1
  7. Just now, dmedin said:

    I agree, and I think the idea of trading for a 'living' is (and probably has always been) impossible for a 'retail' client.  Simply not losing your money puts you in the top 5 percent ...

    but you see that 'what' you trade is going to really affect outcomes if you are retail operating with low size . FX is the traditional entry (or was until crypto) but neither is necessarily the 'right' asset to trade. Low volatility is fine for investing but death to trading.

    • Like 1
  8. 2 minutes ago, dmedin said:

    EUR vs USD has been moving down for over a year.  As Chris Beauchamp says, 'Sell the rallies.'  We're all experts with hindsight :)

    realistically it's been moving sideways all year but the question is though with a 14 period daily ATR of just 35 points what sort of size would you need to trade this to actually make a living. Compared to Dax for example which is also historically low at just 135 points.

  9. 5 minutes ago, dmedin said:

    Frankly I'm surprised that anyone could make a 'living' from it in the first place.

    95% failure rate, but out of the remaining 5% how many are making a 'living' as opposed to just making a net profit?

    To make money trading price has to move in any direction other than sideways, as the price chart shows eurusd has just been moving sideways for a long time as the implied vol chart confirms.

    When I say traders I mean traders rather than the hopers, dreamers and fantasists who make up the large percentage of failures you are referring to 😥

×
×
  • Create New...
us