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Everything posted by Zero

  1. Nothing like the brink of WWIII to put a bid under the market... Hmm.
  2. But - the open was a bit higher than the Sat. Close. The Dow futures were up 232 at one stage, settled to be up 180, and now 165 (10:05am GMT+10). IG were pretty good - pricing their ASX 24 hour at 5832 bid, which relaxed a touch yet the SPI opened at 5835 - so they were pretty much on the money.
  3. In the spirit of military operations, I have posted my pre-market-open anticipation on twitter (can't say where, house rules) - Sun Tzu's algo is on the job this week...
  4. The ASX200 opens at 10am and closes at 4:00pm GMT+10 (Sydney). The SPI opens at 9:50am and closes at 4:30pm. It re-opens at 5:10pm and closes at 7am the next day. IG's ASX200 is 24hours. Will be interesting - thanks for the demo.
  5. You'll have to back up your claims with real money - and to compare apples with apples - just post a week's worth, and before the market opens, post a plan for the day so others can benefit. I have just posted a week's worth of trades. An average week. I can add up the total profit if you want - the problem is that in real money, the liquidity matters. Yet I have a track record. But I can't post future trades for a reason I can disclose on here. Ask caseynotes if you think I am making it up. Regardless, I would never, out of principle, trade at the behest of others to prove m
  6. You may be right - I say IG because I don't know either way. YET - I have a sneaking suspicion one way... Today at 3pm there was another mis-pricing. The range binary in the money was cheaper than that out of the money. And on close that cheaper (41 v 45, XJO +19.00 but the 10-20 range cheaper than the 20-30) binary would have expired in profit. Clients or the dealing desk - doesn't matter, but it is an interesting question.
  7. There are a few reasons, one being that I trade in a discretionary manner. My trading system is not easily automated. It is putting together a lot of things - like the whole being greater than the sum of the parts. Another philosophical bent to the day's discussion. I normally don't sit in front of the computer anyway. Especially with binaries you can spend far less time in front of the screen. I did in the past to get up to speed of course - experience counts!
  8. 5829.10. Nothing like a close-of-day binary for an adrenaline rush. The SPI was dragged higher after 4pm and I was thinking my tip to end the week would have cost anyone who cares $$. Then, in the last 20seconds someone with a bit of muscle just hit the bid down down down. Thank you whoever you were. The binary sold for 53-55 after my post went to zero (selling you want it to go to zero for most - the old tunnel binary was the reverse - those were the days....). A tidy profit ($550 per contract) for a nothing day to end the week. IG would be a bit miffed - but I did warn them I guess.
  9. The shortness of my predicted flow seemed to be oddly correlated with the slowness of the day. Someone switched the boring to 11. While algos are very beatable, they are unbeatable when it comes to boring. Today the market ranged. In slow-mo too. Fortunately for me I wasn't interested, with a sense it was going to be a quiet day. The open mucked around, had a brief moment of craziness up about 14 to the high, then settled itself back down, fading 15, then back up 10 say into 1pm. That defined the range for the rest of the day, the afternoon continuing to fade then have a quick 7pt rally
  10. I agree 100% - yet you've done yourself out of business. Might want to edit that post... or keep it on the DL. Makes me wonder if you know more than your whacky posts sometimes suggest. :smileywink:
  11. Au moment, 1:36pm AEST (GMT+10) Gold is up $5.00, Bitcoin $130.00 and Ether $25 : about 3.3%, 1.68% and 5% gains respectively. No news, rumours of war, and if anything the $AUD the stronger FX mover, 200pips (that I can see). Store of value v short term war insurance - might be more than one discussion here. Sharia schmaria - but it isn't backed by debt I guess.... Until it no longer becomes what it started to be.
  12. Actually, to be a bit philosophical, the most uncertain you can be is 50-50. Pure randomness. I can give you that with a single coin, heads or tails. 333 v 1.
  13. Today a ranging day, slight relax rally to a range, steady close. A day for the old platform...
  14. Hi I don't think it will have an impact over the next few trading sessions. It might have an impact in the next 3months for longer-term investors, and either way you'd have to be trading pretty good size for it to have an impact. However the ASX and the $AUD may move in a correlated fashion - if it drops a cent or two in a day, then the SPI may get some (offshore) buyers getting more for their $AUD. But I've seen both - $AUD strength with ASX strength, and vice versa. It is a lame answer but it normally is true - it depends... Depends on how you trade too. I remember once the $AUD
  15. As suggested at about 1pm, the afternoon was a bit of a snooze. The market ranged higher, and held steady into close. Now IG were way off today and it would have been lucrative (someone tell me they traded it....!) - IG were mispricing the ladder (daily) binary (again). The 5815 ladder was 30-36 at 3:41pm and the XJO was 5814.30. That is ridiculously cheap - buy!! The SPI ranged under 5815 for the next 20, and so the ladder binary was pricing between 21 and 43 pts for a buy. At 3:44pm buy at 42.9, at 3:48pm buy at 33. Last minute of the day probably close to 26 buy - the XJO at 5814.
  16. I don't see Bitcoin as a safe-haven as eventually, it will be superseded. Better computers, better algorithms - it becomes worthless. It is no better than a fiat currency in my opinion, only perhaps more practical.
  17. An active morning - which seems pointless... Just had a check on something and now it is not pointless at all, but a bit spooky.... We sold down a little on open, to a controlled level, then rallied hard. A 40pt rally which is respectable. The Dow was up about 70 at the time. Then we fell right back to ground zero. 40pt fall. Which is why I said it seemed pointless. Yet along the way there was steady buying. Ranged into 1pm, with some selling pressure into 1pm. I had just found out then that there were fewer binaries on offer than with the old platform. I had to find the 1pm sect
  18. What's the percentage return on buy 21 sell 100? Bettering Monday's profits: IG were making some poor prices into the close (well good if you were trading them), with that binary I was watching a buy at 21 just before the lock-out. Was also a 34 buy a touch earlier. I was watching it at 3:30pm, half an hour earlier, and it was a cheap buy at 43 then. That was a steal in my opinion - the XJO was 5828.60, down 28.40 and the 5830 ladder a buy at 45. So out of the money at 45 yet in the money (down 20-30 range binary, XJO at -28) binary at 43 buy! Of course slightly different risk factors, b
  19. Today we just weren't interested - compared to yesterday - yet not much has changed. Overnight we came off a touch, despite the stronger lead (US up 428 v futures during our session about 340) and then on open this morning we sold off about 25pts. Rallied with decent buying, but then relaxed back lower, recovered some over lunch into 1pm - still buying too. Then we meandered, the Dow futures staying about -80 most of the AM/lunch, and the Nikkei not doing much either. About 2:30pm the buyers were wanting cheaper prices, so the algo's obliged, a chance to offload some accumulated contracts
  20. Thanks! That's interesting. Would explain the upbeat mood, yet I would still expect more volatility ahead. This is political and so a bit random. Markets kept their range right into the close. No new highs despite the strong buying all day. Content to range, the XJO offering nothing from my earlier post (well, there might have been a 20min binary but I forgot to check). IG had priced the range and so kept themselves out of trouble. Oddly, today the correlation between the cash and the futures was steady and as it should have been all day - then at 4:10pm binary expiry, widened. So
  21. Hmm, things have gone a bit nuts today. Suddenly bid is the word - with no reason given (or needed). My AM expectations were a tad conservative - while I expected some weakness to reverse then range higher, it would have been more accurate to say trend (or trend strongly) higher. That's where predicting flow/sentiment is a bit lacking - the intensity of the moves. You still would have been safe with any binary or trade with the suggestions, but there was more on the table. The market rallied a good 60pts before taking a breath, then had another 10pts in it to round out 1pm. Constant bu
  22. The downward momentum from the late stages of the US session seems to be continuing post close. Futures down about 50, IG having the SPI down about 8 already. I expect a small rise to weaken, reverse then range higher. Post 1pm similar, with a ranging close negative bias. Probably a day where I'll make adjustments on the run. Well, that's everyday I guess.
  23. Erratic day, with two surges the main moves of the day. The early selling was a bit half-hearted, less than I expect but there all the same. Then suddenly it was as if someone accidently got a double-shot for their morning coffee, as the market surged to a high, about 25pts in minutes (10:45am). Fell right back as if they knew they were too keen, however the Dow had also surged to 140. Ranged, staying mostly at the bottom of the range (bottom third) till about 12:45, when it surged back to the high. I had just nailed an "up/down" binary - buying the up for 51. The XJO was down 0.10 then -
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