GeorgeIG

Equity markets provided further gains last year with global stocks returning 22.9% as the economic recovery continued. In this article, we reveal the most popular stocks in 2021 and investor sentiment on sectors is changing due to the current environment of rising interest rates. What were the most popular stocks in 2021? Last year was an overwhelmingly positive period for equity markets with many developed market stock indices reaching all-time highs as investors displayed confidence in the global economic recovery. Negative news seemed to mostly be shrugged off, the most pertinent being: historically high levels of inflation, new Covid-19 variants, and supply chain bottlenecks. Whereas the success of vaccination programmes, booming labour markets as well as monetary and fiscal stimulus to support the economy appeared to win investors over. Overall, U.S. equities rose by a remarkable +30% in 2021, while U.K. and European stocks returned +18.4% and +14.7% respectively. So, given the strong returns in the stock markets last year, what were the most popular equities amongst IG clients in 2021? The figure below maps the stocks that have been dealt the most last year, presented as a percentage of overall trades on share dealing, individual savings account (ISA) and self-invested personal pension (SIPP) accounts. Figure 1: Top twenty most popular equities in 2021 by number of trades Popularity of Electric Vehicles went beyond just Tesla Electric vehicle companies had a significant presence in the top twenty most traded equities last year due to their high growth potential and environmental, social and governance (ESG)-friendly characteristics, with sustainable investing reaching records highs according to Bloomberg*. Tesla (TSLA) was, of course, the most popular stock within the industry, accounting for 1.4% of total trades from IG investors in 2021, but NIO Inc (NIO) was not too far behind at 0.9% of trades. Furthermore, we saw a number of new listings within the electric vehicle space last year with the two most notable being Rivian Automotive (RIVN) and Lucid Group (LCID). Rivian was listed through a traditional IPO back in November 2021, raising an estimated $11.9 billion making it the largest listing last year and also the biggest IPO from a US firm since Facebook. On the other hand, Lucid elected to go public via a special purpose acquisition vehicle (SPAC) deal, under Churchill Capital Corp IV Ord which made up 0.5% of trades in 2021. Although, Lucid announced in December that it received a subpoena from the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to investigate its SPAC deal, shares of Lucid dropped as much as 19.5% after the news broke. Click here to read the full article

The 20/21 CTC statements have yet to be generated, we hope that these will be sent out to clients by the end of next week (you will receive an email from IG once they are available).

Hi @Patelmo786, we have a new pension partner confirmed and we are now waiting for the back-end IT work to be completed so that we can start onboarding new SIPP clients. We don't have a set ETA at the moment but I would estimate it to be within two months, although it could be longer.

Hello, I work in the IG Investments team and I'm glad to hear your pleased with your IG Smart Portfolio performance. We've also been extremely happy with how they've performed - our multi-asset portfolios have beaten their benchmarks by +7.1% over the last 12 months! IG Smart Portfolio SIPPs work in the same was as your GIA and ISA accounts, the only difference you should be aware of is that James Hay, who administer IG SIPPs, charge a yearly admin fee of £205. For your question on changing risk profile, there is no limit on how many times you adjust your risk profile. Also, we do not charge a transaction fee for doing this - the cost to you would be the difference in the Bid/Ask spread. Happy to answer any other questions you may have.

Unfortunately, we are experiencing login issues at the moment. You can keep up to date via our status page here: https://status.ig.com/

It started off with a vision to revolutionise British banking, intent on disrupting the stagnant high street banking industry by enhancing service levels and investing in state-of-the-art IT software. But now Metro Bank (MTRO) is in turmoil. Not only have five of the challenger bank’s founding directors left within the last year but the firm also pulled a £250 million bond sale citing ‘poor market conditions’, despite offering a yield of 7.5%. As a result, Metro Bank’s share price has tumbled -90% since floating at 2000 pence per share in 2016. The table below shows that Metro Bank’s share price has been the fifth most volatile amongst shares in the FTSE All-Share Index, which captures 98% of the UK’s market capitalisation. Figure 1. Top ten most volatile UK shares over the 360 days Equity 360-Day Volatility (%) 1. Indivior PLC (INDV) 140.795 2. Tullow Oil PLC (TLW) 123.499 3. Kier Group PLC (KIE) 104.882 4. Sirius Minerals PLC (SXX) 99.478 5. Metro Bank PLC (MTRO) 97.377 6. Intu Properties PLC (INTU) 92.466 7. Amigo Holdings PLC (AMGO) 86.754 8. NMC Health PLC (NMC) 81.446 9. Ted Baker PLC (TED) 80.78 10. Allied Minds PLC (ALM) 79.991 Source: Bloomberg, February 2020 If at first you don't succeed, try, try again Failing to secure funding in September last year was a huge blow to Metro Bank as it needed to raise finance to meet the Minimum Requirements for own funds and Eligible Liabilities (MREL) regulation by January 2020. MREL intends to ensure firms have the capacity to take on losses so that they can fail safely, removing the need for public funding. The bank went back to the market in October with an enhanced offer: that they would remove Vernon Hill, the chairman of Metro Bank, and a higher coupon of 9.5%. Metro Bank managed to secure the £350 million it required, but at a large cost. An accounting scandal revealed in January last year was another reason why bond investors demanded such a yield. Analysts have since raised their concerns about the constraints the business faces due to the bond terms at their third quarter results, to which David Arden, chief financial officer (CFO), responded: 'I fully accept that the cost was somewhat elevated, but I think it was the right thing to do for the long term of the bank.' A recipe for disaster: rising costs and subdued growth Whilst Metro Bank has satisfied MREL regulations, for now, there are still difficult times ahead with rising operating expenses, potential fines by two regulators and, as outlined previously, substantial costs to finance their recent debt issue. The lender is still under investigation from the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) over its reporting scandal in January last year whereby it miscalculated loans in risk terms, consequently overstating its capital ratios. As a result, investors have been warned that Metro Bank could potentially face financial penalties which could well be 'significant'. Adding to this, the bank is also being scrutinised by the Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) in a separate investigation. Operating costs that are higher than average in the industry is part and parcel of Metro’s business model. The bank’s core mission is to 'change the way Britain banks' by offering customers access to its branches (now 70 in total) seven days a week. It is this that creates a huge dilemma for Metro. Costs need to be reduced, even more so due to its recent bond issue, but equally the bank must stick to its promise that made customers switch over to them in the first place. In conjunction with this, the firm needs to grow in order to return to profitability which in itself is a significant challenge in the current low interest rate environment. To achieve growth Metro Bank will need to battle on two fronts, against the 'big four' on the high street and the influx of new wave digital banks online. The graph below illustrates the consequence of Metro’s strategy. It displays the cost to income ratio, a measure commonly used to compare banks, for Metro Bank and the FTSE All-share Banks Index (Ex-Metro). We can see that Metro’s higher operating cost base has consistently resulted in a greater cost to income ratio than the average of its peers. Having said this, Metro Bank has recognised the need to focus on cost efficiency and has managed to reduce this ratio in Q3 2019. Encouragingly, the improvement occurred despite adding three new stores during the quarter as well as developing further sites in Liverpool and Manchester – the firm is sticking to its core mission. Figure 2. Cost to Income Ratio: Metro Bank vs FTSE All-Share Banks (Ex-Metro) Source: Bloomberg, February 2020. Virgin Money and Close Brothers Group have been omitted from Index average due to insufficient data Potential for a short squeeze? The market is not optimistic that the challenger bank can turn its fortunes around. Currently, Metro Bank is the sixth most shorted stock in the UK of all short positions that have been disclosed under short selling regulations set out by the FCA, with Premier Oil PLC (PMO) topping the list(1). Note, the requirement to publicly disclose short holdings is when the position concerned equates to 0.5% of total shares outstanding. Still, this is a good indication as to how popular a share is to short. The combined position of the six funds that have reported a short position in Metro equates to -9.59% of total shares outstanding, after Voleon Capital Management recently registered its bet on the company share price to fall on 17 February 2020. It comes after well-known hedge funds Odey and ENA added to their short positions at the start of 2020, with both having had short exposure for over a year. Figure 3. Disclosed short positions in Metro Bank Fund Shares outstanding (%) Reported date 1. ENA Investment Capital LLP -3.22% 05/02/2020 2. Odey Asset Management LLP -2.62% 14/01/2020 3. Marshall Wace LLP -1.38% 29/01/2020 4. Connor Clark & Lunn Investment Management -1.22% 05/09/2019 5. Voleon Capital Management LP -0.62% 17/02/2020 6. Samlyn Capital LLC -0.53% 05/06/2019 Source: Bloomberg, February 2020 Metro Bank 2020 results preview Since listing in March 2016, we have seen a steady decline in the percentage of analysts whom have issued a buy recommendation. The chart below depicts this, as well as the sharp decline in Metro Bank’s share price. The most recent consensus indicates a twelve-month target price of 232.33 pence, calculated from fourteen different analysts. Its share price closed at 205.2 pence on 20 February 2020. Source: Bloomberg, IG, February 2020 Rumours have been circulating since last year, after its reporting miscalculation, that Metro Bank was considered as a takeover target for several large private equity firms. The Financial Times reported at least six takeover firms contemplated whether it would make economic sense to buyout the bank(2). One analyst at Metro’s Q3 results posed this question directly to the leadership team to which they didn’t give anything away but did outline 'should something occur, we will treat it with the right respect because that's the fiduciary duty of the board'. An update on plans to balance growth and cost efficiency will be communicated during its full year results on the 25th February 2020. You can invest in any of the shares mentioned in this article with IG from as little as £3, our newly reduced fee, on the IG share dealing platform. Open a share dealing account. You can open an IG account within a few minutes. Fund your account. Our minimum deposit is £250. Place your first trade. Open our platform and trade over 10,000 shares available through IG. 1. ShortTracker 2. Financial Times This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

Fallen around 2.8% today, down to 6772.5 now.

GAW announced record breaking half-year results this morning, here is a few key points: Big jump in profits to £58.6m up from £40.8m Revenue £145.6m, £125.2m previously Royalties receivable up to £10.7m for the half year, a 94.5% increase from the same period last year. Share price up around 7% since open (at the time of posting).

They do make a fair chunk of their operating profit through royalties, but the majority still comes from online/trade sales. Although, royalties is definitely a segment that is growing for them (something they are proud of). It accounted for £6.9m of operating profit in 2017, up to £10.4m now.

Games Workshop Group (GAW) has experienced incredible growth over the last few years. The share price for the wargame manufacturer rose by 101.5% in 2019. Games Workshop is a constituent of the FTSE 250, where it ranked fifth highest in terms of contribution to the index’s total return in 2019. You’d be wrong to think this was a one-off. In 2018 the company came in at eighth and was the second highest performer in the FTSE All-Share Index in 2017, generating a total return of 267.17%, beaten only by KAZ Minerals (KAZ). To illustrate the company’s extraordinary growth, look no further than the chart below. Figure 1: Games Workshop (GAW) market cap and share price Source: Bloomberg, January 2020 The meteoric rise in Games Workshop has coincided with growth in the gaming industry, which has been well documented over the last decade. We have seen Fortnite, a free-to-play online video game, post record sales of $1.8 billion in 2019 – the highest of any game in history.1 Record viewership numbers have followed, with 3.9 million peak viewers tuning into a League of Legends World Championship semi-final, 94% higher than last year’s tournament.2 Millennials really do love gaming. Whilst most of the growth in the gaming industry is attributed to online video games, the board gaming scene has experienced a recent resurgence and growth is expected to continue in the coming years. Arizton, an advisory and research firm, predicts the board games market will grow to £12 billion by 2023, from around £8 billion today.3 The market is forecasted to grow by +8% per year due to the growing audience of gamers and a trickle-down effect to sub-sectors such as board games. Also, as Games Workshop point out, people enjoy the social side of gaming together in-person, as opposed to playing behind a screen. You can invest in Games Workshop Group with IG from as little as £5 on the IG share dealing platform. 1. Open a share dealing account. You can open an IG account within a few minutes 2. Fund your account. Our minimum deposit is £250. 3. Place your first trade. Open our platform and trade over 10,000 shares available through IG. Solving the puzzle: what does the company do? Games Workshop is the largest hobby miniatures company in the world and was founded over 30 years ago. Its most successful brand is the iconic Warhammer product and it also holds the license for The Lord of the Rings Battle board game. With over 400 retail stores globally, it is a truly vertically integrated business as it controls the design, manufacturing and distribution of its product range. Although, the company is keen to outline that it is a manufacturer, not a retailer, with retail stores being used to engage with customers and introduce them to the hobby of painting, collecting and playing with the fantasy miniatures. Rachel Tongue, finance director at Games Workshop, has a tight grip on the financial health of the company. The group’s policy is to pay dividends entirely out of any ‘truly surplus cash’, not out of debt – which should be music to the ears of long-term shareholders. Moreover, the company has had no outstanding long or short-term debt since 2010. Lastly, to further demonstrate this, take a look at the below snippet from the company’s investor relations website: Guess Who: Games Workshop shareholders Institutional investors account for the majority of Games Workshop’s shareholders with investment advisory firms holding 74%, based on publicly reported data. A new addition to this list is Schroders who disclosed on 11 December 2019 that they had purchased 5.6% of the 32.7 million shares outstanding in Games Workshop. Interestingly, the former chairman of the group, Thomas Kirby, still owns 4% of the company. On 27 September 2018, Kirby spooked shareholders by issuing the sale of £20.3 million worth of Games Workshop shares – causing the share price to fall by 4.2% the following day. After the sale, Kirby was subject to a 180-day lockup period for his remaining holdings, which has now expired meaning we may see a reoccurrence sometime this year. Figure 2: Top 10 investors in Games Workshop shares Shareholders Shares owned as % of total outstanding Type of investor 1. JPMorgan Chase & Co 9.14% Investment Advisor 2. Schroders PLC 5.58% Investment Advisor 3. Standard Life Aberdeen PLC 5.54% Investment Advisor 4. BlackRock Inc 5.44% Investment Advisor 5. Vanguard Group Inc/The 4.05% Investment Advisor 6. Castlefield Investment Partners LL 3.97% Investment Advisor 7. Kirby Thomas H F 3.96% Former GAW Chairman 8. Soros Fund Management LLC 2.71% Hedge Fund 9. Dimensional Fund Advisors LP 2.60% Investment Advisor 10. Credit Suisse Group AG 2.59% Investment Advisor Source: Bloomberg, January 2020 The (Trivial) Pursuit of returns: what does 2020 have instore for Games Workshop? Edison Investment Research, the primary broker for Games Workshop, is one of only two firms who do so, with the other being Peel Hunt. Both will be keeping a close eye on the half-year results which will be published on 14 January 2020. The consensus amongst analysts, albeit an extremely small sample size, is that the upcoming year will be another positive one for the group. In its most recent research report posted at the start of November, Edison revised its share price valuation upwards by 10% to £51.76 after a strong five-month trading statement. Since then, the share price has exceeded Edison’s target price by 20.5% (as of 7 January). Looking at the previous four years, revenue and net income and have grown by a compound annual growth rate of 21.4% and 47.7%, respectively. In what will be an interesting next couple of years for the company, Kate Heseltine, an analyst at Edison, projects growth to continue into 2020 and in the following year, as indicated in the below graph. Figure 3: Games Workshop Net Income and Revenue (History & Forecasts) Source: Bloomberg, January, data from 2020 and 2021 are estimates 1. SuperData 2. Esports Charts 3. Arizton This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

Research finds that one of the main reasons everyday savers choose not to invest is because they believe wealth management is simply too expensive. We found that the total cost for a ready-made portfolio across other online wealth managers is around 1.1%1, with some charging over 1.8%2. High fees like these eat into your portfolio returns. In 2017, IG partnered with BlackRock to offer savers access to a low-cost wealth management service called IG Smart Portfolios. We recently reduced our management fee for IG Smart Portfolios, to help grow your investments faster. As the table below shows, the average annual total cost of owning one of our portfolios is just 0.72%, and even less if your portfolio value exceeds £50,000 as we cap our management fee at £250 per year. What is an IG Smart Portfolio? IG Smart Portfolios is a discretionary investment management service, which means that we make investment decisions on your behalf to help grow and protect your wealth over the long term. We have partnered with BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, who provide us with investment research which enables us to provide institutional-quality portfolios built to suit your risk appetite. IG's portfolio management team will monitor, manage and rebalance your portfolio to ensure you have the appropriate portfolio for your risk appetite. High fees erode your returns Our management fee is now just 0.5% on the first £50,000 and free thereafter - meaning the maximum management fee you pay each year is £250 per account. There are also other costs to consider before you invest, and we feel it is important to be transparent about these. We use exchange traded funds (ETFs) and the average annual cost for the ETFs we use in our portfolios is currently 0.15%. Also, there is the effect of the bid-ask market spread from when we buy and sell the ETFs used to build and rebalance your portfolio, which we estimate to be no more than 0.07% per year. Paying high fees over extended periods of time will hold back the growth of your investment pot due to a weaker compounding effect. For example, if you invested the same amount in a Smart Portfolio and also in a ready-made portfolio with a leading wealth provider which cost a total of 1.8% pear, assuming annual returns of 6% before fees, the chart below shows how much faster your portfolio could grow with IG over 30 years. Under these assumptions, at the higher cost provider your investments could grow to around £388,962. If you invested the same amount in an IG Smart Portfolio, your portfolio could have grown to £536,433 with the help of lower fees - a difference of £147,481. We are close to having a 3-year track record Since we launched our range of Smart Portfolios in 2017, our portfolio performance has been really encouraging. All of our four multi-asset portfolios have outperformed their respective benchmarks comfortably. Our Balanced portfolio, which currently invests 47% in equities, 49% in bonds and 4% in gold, has averaged +4.6% per year since February 2017, compared to +3.3% per year for its benchmark. The benchmarks we use for our multi-asset portfolios are the ARC Private Client Indices, which track net of fee performance of private client portfolios from wealth management firms such as Coutts, Schroders and Rathbones. You can see a full breakdown of our performance and the performance of the BlackRock models on which our portfolios are based upon here. The only Smart Portfolio that hasn't beaten its benchmark since we launched in 2017 is our Conservative portfolio, which is very risk-averse and invests solely in cash-like securities and bonds. This portfolio is benchmarked against the 3-month Libor rate +1%. Over the longer-term we are confident that this portfolio will deliver returns higher than its benchmark given that it takes on a larger amount of risk. Looking at performance over the last 12-months, our average outperformance against each benchmark was +2.3%. You can see our 12-month performance for each portfolio against its benchmark below: Data runs from 30 Nov 2018 to 30 Nov 2019, net of fees. How to open an account You can open an account in two ways; if you have an IG account already, simply go to MyIG and select ‘Add an account’, or to create a new account you’ll need to go to https://www.ig.com/uk/investments/smart-portfolios and click ‘Create live account’. You can also find out further information about the product on this page. If you have any questions about the product feel free to post them in the comments and I'll be happy to answer them. 1 Research by IG looking at annual management fees across online similar wealth managers 2 Leading wealth provider refers to Hargreaves Lansdown's Portfolio+

Do you have an interest in building long-term wealth through investing? Have you always wanted the chance to ask an expert a specific question about portfolio management, or find out more about IG's and BlackRock's trading strategy for our Smart Portfolios? We are giving you the opportunity to ask your questions directly to our Portfolio Managers here at IG. You can be part of a new article series here at IG called 'Ask the Portfolio Manager' by simply commenting your question below. What is this article all about? We are creating a new article series where the content is driven solely by your questions. Once we have collected your questions we will get them answered by one of our Portfolio Managers. We will then post the article on the IG Investments site and here on the IG Community also. You can ask us anything, but to give you some inspiration questions can be on: IG Smart Portfolios Investing strategies Macroeconomic events/news Product questions Questions on understanding a certain topic/strategy More general questions on IG or the Portfolio manager's themselves So, to get involved just post your question below - even if you don't have an account with IG you can create an account on the community and post a question! Who are IG's Portfolio Managers? Sam Dickens, Portfolio Manager, IG Smart Portfolios: Sam joined IG in 2014 and has worked as a portfolio manager for IG Smart Portfolios, our online wealth management platform, since its launch in February 2017. He has a degree in Economics and has previously worked at Capital Economics - a leading independent macroeconomic research company. He also holds the Investment Management Certificate qualification (IMC) and has passed CFA Level 1. George Bear, Assistant Portfolio Manager, IG Smart Portfolios: George joined IG on the graduate scheme in 2018 and has just recently joined the Smart Portfolio team as an Assistant Portfolio Manager. Prior to his recent move, George worked on the trading floor at IG, as a Sales Trader, and on our premium accounts relationship management team. He is a CFA Level 1 candidate and has a degree in Business with Economics.

Oil prices have surged as Trump aims to cut Iran's oil exports after the White House announced that waivers from countries buying oil from Iran would end in May, a decision made to slash revenue for the Iranian government. Brent crude futures are trading at $74.29 a barrel, up 0.3%, whilst WTI crude reached its highest level since October last year currently trading at $65.95 per barrel. Shares in the US were muted on Monday as the market braces for a busy week of corporate earnings, more than 140 S&P companies are expected to release earnings this week including; Twitter, Tesla, Coca Cola and Microsoft. The Nasdaq and the S&P posted marginal gains of 0.25% and 0.02% respectively. The Dow dropped by 0.33% lead by continued losses of troubled aircraft manufacturer Boeing which fell 1.3%. Asian equities had an overall mixed session as markets re-opened after the holidays, the Shanghai Composite fell 0.4% and the Hang Seng also feel 0.1%. On the positive side, the ASX jumped 0.8% whilst the Topix was up 0.3%. Looking at FX; the Yen was up 0.1% to 111.83 per dollar, sterling is currently trading at $1.2983.5 whilst the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index edged out a 0.1% gain. Gold remained unchanged at $1,274.1 per troy ounce. Struggling food company Kraft Heinz has announced CEO Bernardo Hees is stepping down in June and will be replaced by Miguel Patrico as the company seeks to reverse its woeful start to 2019. The incoming CEO faces an extremely difficult task to recover from losses and steer the company through an SEC investigation due to its accounting practices. Asian overnight: Crude oil’s surge on Monday powered energy stocks higher in Asia, although Chinese markets overall failed to clock up any gains. Japan and Australia both rose, up 0.3% and 0.8% respectively for the Topix and the ASX 200. The US plan to end sanctions waivers on Iranian oil exports has driven crude prices to new highs for the year, with energy indices rallying sharply in Asian trading. UK, US and Europe: Eurozone consumer confidence and US new home sales are on the macro calendar for today, but the main focus remains on US earnings, with today’s crop including eBay, Twitter, Verizon and Snap. A new record high for the Nasdaq 100 yesterday confirms the strength of the rally, with the Dow and S&P 500 not far behind. South Africa: Global equity markets are trading mostly firmer this morning, in what is day light of scheduled economic data. While trade optimism grows on a deal between the US and China being realised (in the near future), further sanctions on Iran by the US, is leading oil prices to new short term highs. Precious metal prices are mostly lower this morning, while base metal prices are mostly higher. The rand now trades firmly above the R14/$ mark. Tencent Holdings is flat in Asia, suggestive of a flat start for major holding company Naspers. The BHP Group is up 0.3% in Australia, suggestive of a slightly higher open for local diversified miners. Economic calendar - key events and forecast (times in GMT) Source: Daily FX Economic Calendar 3pm – eurozone consumer confidence (March, flash): index expected to rise to -7.1 from -7.2 Markets to watch: EUR crosses 3pm – US new home sales (March): expected to fall 6% MoM. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses Corporate News, Upgrades and Downgrades Samsung has announced that it will delay the launch of its folding phone after testing lead to some units breaking, its original launch date was on the 26th of April. British Land has agreed to sell 12 Sainsbury’s stores for £429 million to Realty Income Corporation. Barclays is clamping down on bonuses in its under performing investment bank division in a bid to cut-costs and improve returns. DNA upgraded to hold at Berenberg Petra Diamonds upgraded to buy at Berenberg Smurfit Kappa upgraded to neutral at Goldman Stora Enso upgraded to buy at Goldman BillerudKorsnas downgraded to sell at Goldman Fresnillo downgraded to market perform at BM IGTV featured video Information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

The Dow was up 0.11% as positive news from Boeing boosted the index, the Federal Aviation Administration said that the software update to the 737 Max aircraft is "operationally suitable". The S&P increased marginally by 0.05% whilst the Nasdaq gained 0.3%. Netflix shares have dropped 1% after its earnings report yesterday, after announcing a weaker than expected guidance for Q2 as well as its CMO, Kelly Bennett, announcing her retirement this year. Although, Q1 earnings per share were 76 cents beating analysts expectations of 57 cents and revenue came in at $4.52 billion. China announced that Q1 GDP grew by 6.4%, beating analyst expectations by .1% according to a recent Reuters poll. The positive data caused fluctuations in the Asian market, with the Shanghai Composite gaining 0.4% and the Topix 0.3%. The ASX dropped 0.4% whilst the Kospi remaining unchanged in what was a mixed session for Asian equities. US Crude futures advanced 1.78%, erasing the previous sessions losses, mirrored by Brent Crude futures which also jumped 1.27%. Gold edged 0.1% higher to $1,278.69 per troy ounce. Asian overnight: GDP data from China gave markets a lift overnight, as the Chinese economy grew 6.4%, ahead of the 6.3% forecasted by economists. Chinese equities have continued their strong performance, although the open in Europe is expected to be relatively flat. Netflix stock dropped after earnings were released yesterday, and a weak forecast for the second quarter saw the stock drop sharply. UK, US and Europe: UK CPI, eurozone inflation, the US and Canadian trade balances and oil inventories dominate the calendar today, while Morgan Stanley and Alcoa are expected to publish earnings. Oil prices hit a new high for the year yesterday, as expectations of stronger global demand outweigh the prospect of an increase in supply from OPEC and Russia. Economic calendar - key events and forecast (times in GMT) Source: Daily FX Economic Calendar 9.30am – UK CPI (March): prices to rise 1.8% YoY and 0.2% MoM, from 1.9% and 0.5% respectively. Core CPI to rise 1.9% YoY from 1.8%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses 10am – eurozone inflation (March):CPI to rise 0.3% MoM and 1.4% YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses 1.30pm – US trade balance (February): deficit to widen to $53.7 billion. Markets to watch: USD crosses 1.30pm – Canada CPI (March), trade balance (February): CPI to rise 1.4% YoY from 1.5%, and trade deficit to narrow C$3.5 billion. Markets to watch: CAD crosses 3.30pm – US EIA crude inventories (w/e 12 April): stockpiles to rise by 7.3 million barrels from 7.02 million a week earlier. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI Corporate News, Upgrades and Downgrades Bunzl reported a 4% rise in growth for Q1 at actual exchange rates, but the firm said that growth slowed in the quarter due to mixed economic and market conditions. Johnson & Johnson reported adjusted earnings in Q1 at $2.10 per share, beating expectations of $2.03. Sales also grew to $20.02bn compared to $20.01bn in the previous year. However, profits were down 14% due to increasing legal costs due to the company fighting lawsuits over its products Xarelto and Talc baby powder. BHP Group said that iron ore production for 2019 would be lower due to the impact of Cyclone Veronica last month, with a fall of 6-8 million tonnes expected. Segro has secured £21.2 million of new headline rent in Q1, but this was down from the £27.3 million of a year earlier. The vacancy rate as fallen to 4.4% since the end of December. Mediclinic said that it expects to report a fall in earnings of around 3.5% for the full year, due to a difficult environment for healthcare. Ackermans upgraded to buy at Kepler Cheuvreux Repsol Upgraded to Hold at Jefferies Brenntag upgraded to buy at Berenberg Demant upgraded to equal-weight at Morgan Stanley Caverion downgraded to reduce at Inderes GTT downgraded to hold at SocGen Nixu downgraded to reduce at Inderes Valmet downgraded to sell at Berenber IGTV featured video Information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

Uber has officially filed paperwork for the company's imminent IPO after observing rival Lyft's share price surge on opening only to fall below its IPO price later on. The ride-hailing company will be listed under the ticker "UBER" on the New York Stock Exchange. You can see how you can trade Uber's upcoming IPO on the IG website here. It was a muted day for US equities on Thursday as the major indices remained little changed ahead of JP Morgan and Wells Fargo earnings announcements later today. The S&P saw a slight decrease yesterday closing 2.62 points lower followed by the Dow which also fell marginally, down 16.5 points. The Nasdaq also fell 0.33%, or 25 points. Asian shares mirrored performance in the US as equities were relatively unchanged ahead of corporate earnings today. The biggest mover was the ASX index which rose 0.9% due to impending cost cuts at Australia's biggest bank. Both the Hang Seng and the Shanghai Composite dropped by 0.5% whereas the Topix marginally fell by 0.1%. Brent crude was up 0.28% to $71.03 per barrel whilst US crude increased 0.35% to $63.80. Gold remained unchanged at $1,292.50 per troy ounce. Asian overnight: Chinese trade data was the key event for Asian markets overnight, with exports rising 14.2% in March compared to a drop of almost a fifth in February. However the data also showed another sharp drop in imports, down 7.6%. Overall Asian markets were lower, but the ASX 200 managed a 0.7% gain. UK, US and Europe: Today sees the start of Q1 earnings season in the US, with JPMorgan kicking off the reporting period along with Wells Fargo. Earnings are expected to decline in the first quarter, the first annual decline since Q2 2016. Investors will be watching keenly for the banks’ views on the outlook for the coming months. Aside from this it is a quieter day, with just the preliminary Michigan confidence reading out later. South Africa: The Jse Allshare Index looks set to open marginally lower this morning following a soft close in US equity markets overnight and weaker Asian equities this morning. Chinese trade balance data showed dollar denominated exports rose by more than double that of consensus estimates, although imports were significantly lower than what expectations had predicted. It is an otherwise light day in terms of scheduled economic data. The dollar has renewed some short term strength to see the rand back above the R14/$ mark and and metal prices mostly lower. Tencent Holding trades marginally lower in Asia this morning suggestive of a similar start for major holding company Naspers. The BHP Group trades flat on the day in Australia, suggestive of a similar start for local diversified resource counters. Economic calendar - key events and forecast (times in GMT) Source: Daily FX Economic Calendar 3pm – US Michigan confidence index (April, preliminary): sentiment expected to edge down to 97 from 98.4. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses Corporate News, Upgrades and Downgrades Bonmarché has indicated to shareholders that Philip Day's takeover offer undervalues the company heavily and that further discussions are needed to "discuss the future plans for the business for the benefits of all stakeholders". Games Workshop expects pre-tax profits to come in ahead of last year, thanks to higher sales and royalties. Pre-tax profit for the full year is expected to be £90 million, compared to £74.5 million a year earlier. National Express has bought a 60% stake in US firm WeDriveU for $84.3 million. The firm transports 7 million passengers each year through its shuttle services to companies in Silicon Valley. Provident Financial said that it was ‘gravely concerned’ by the lack of response from Non-Standard Finance relating to the questions asked ten days ago by Provident regarding NSF’s bid. Eutelsat upgraded to buy at Berenberg Odfjell upgraded to buy at SEB Equities Tessi upgraded to hold at Kepler Cheuvreux ERG downgraded to add at AlphaValue Micro Focus Downgraded to Equal-weight at Barclays Topdanmark downgraded to sell at SEB Equitie IGTV featured video Information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

The Office of the United States Trade Representative has posted a list of goods that the US is considering to impose tariffs on from the EU, which includes aircraft, motorbikes, cheese and wine. The tariffs on some $11bn products from the EU is in response to the subsidies the bloc gives to Boeing's rival Airbus, which has caused "adverse effects to the Unites States". US equities had a mixed session on Monday coming of the back of a strong growth last week. Both the S&P and Nasdaq edged marginally higher, increasing by 0.1% and 0.2% respectively. However, the Dow dropped 0.26% led by a 5% decline in disaster-struck airline Boeing and a downgrade in General Electric by JP Morgan which caused a 5% decline. Hong Kong's Hang Seng and the Shanghai Composite both rose by 0.3% in what was a mixed session for Asian stocks. Japan's Topix fell off 0.2% whilst the ASX index saw little movement, advancing just 12 points. Theresa May is set to meet Emmanuel Macron and Angela Merkel today to hold Brexit talks on securing an extension to the 30th of June for Brexit. There will be an emergency EU summit on Wednesday whereby all EU members will vote on the proposed delay to Brexit. Oil prices reached new 2019 highs yesterday due to a rise in Libyan conflict. Brent crude futures rose 1.1% to $71.10 per barrel whilst US crude futures advances 2.1% to $64.40 per barrel. Gold futures edged 0.26% higher to close at $1303.3 per troy ounce. Asian overnight: A mixed affair overnight saw marginal gains in China and Hong Kong counteracted by weakness in Japan and Australia. Continued fighting in Libya sent crude higher once again, with Tripoli airport coming under attack. UK, US and Europe: Meanwhile the pound rose slightly, as markets look ahead to a series of key Brexit meetings. Today sees Theresa May meeting both Merkel and Macron ahead of tomorrow's key EU27 summit where they will consider the UK request for an extension to article 50 until the end of June. South Africa: In another calendar light of scheduled economic data, global equity markets trade mixed, with moves marginal today. In turn we are expecting a flat open on our local bourse this morning. Oil prices trade at yearly highs despite news of a sharp increase in the number of US oil rigs. Escalating tensions in Libya, a major OPEC oil producer is providing some of the cause for the recent rise in oil. Metal prices trade flat to marginally lower today. The rand remains firm, albeit slightly off its best levels of the last few weeks. Tencent is up 0.4% in Asia, suggestive of a positive start for major holding company Naspers. The BHP Group is up 0.3% in Australia, suggestive of a positive start for local resource counters. Economic calendar - key events and forecast (times in GMT) Source: Daily FX Economic Calendar U.S. banks begin to report Q1 earnings today, starting with Wells Fargo and JP Morgan. 8pm - Israeli election results are expected to start coming in Corporate News, Upgrades and Downgrades Sports Direct has increased its equity issuance offer for Debenhams to £200 million, while it continues to consider a formal takeover for the company at 5p per share. Anglo American said that the value of rough diamond sales at its De Beers unit had risen to $575 million in the third cycle of 2019, from $469 million. Australian casino giant Crown Resorts is considering a takeover bid for US gambling company Wynn as the company wrote in a statement "Crown confirms that it is in confidential discussions with Wynn regarding a potential change of control transaction following approaches to Crown by Wynn". The takeover is estimated to cost Crown $7.1bn. Train model maker Hornby has seen revenue fall for the year against last year due to "shortage of stock" the company said in it's trading update. Although, the company added that underlying margins have improved and overhead costs have reduced. Cancom upgraded to buy at Berenberg ProSieben upgraded to outperform at Macquarie Randstad upgraded to overweight at Morgan Stanley Go-Ahead downgraded to hold at HSBC Hays cut to equal-weight at Morgan Stanley Pennon downgraded to neutral at JPMorgan Severn Trent downgraded to neutral at JPMorga IGTV featured video Information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

Lyft, the most recent high profile IPO, shares have seen huge trading activity over the first two days of trading as over 41.5 million shares were traded, well over the 32.5 million offered in the IPO. However, the ride-hailing company saw it's shares slump 12% on its second day of trading down to $69.01, below the official IPO price of $72. The downturn comes after the stock rallied to a high of $88.60 on Friday. US equities surged on Monday due to strong manufacturing data as factory activity rose and construction spending hit 9-month high. The Dow was up 330 points, closing above 26,000 for the first time since February, followed by the Nasdaq which rose 1.3%. The S&P 500 mirrored the strong performance and increased by 1.2%. Asian shares have lost momentum after Monday's equity rally, Hong Kong's Hang Seng and the MSCI Asia Pacific Index were both flat. The ASX 200 jumped 0.4% whereas the Topix index fell 0.3%. Sterling depreciated 0.3% against the dollar to $1.3070 as MPs rejected all four Brexit proposals yesterday with Ken Clarke's customs union proposal narrowly missing a majority by 3 votes. Mrs May has scheduled a five hour cabinet meeting today to discuss the next steps for Brexit. Oil climbed to fresh 2019 highs due to the possibility of further sanctions on Iran, WTI futures rose 0.5% up to $61.89 per barrel whilst Brent crude also rose 0.5% to $69.33. Gold remained little changed at $1,288.36 per troy ounce. Asian overnight: A significantly calmer session overnight saw Asian markets tentatively gain ground, with the residual effect of weekend Chinese PMI gains continued to have an effect. The big overnight event came in Australia where the RBA decided to keep interest rates steady despite calls to cut amid a weakening housing markets and credit squeeze. Despite the fall in housing price, we saw an incredible 18.1% rise in building approvals for February; the highest since 2012. UK, US and Europe: Last night saw the UK parliament once again reject all options ahead of them, raising the likeliness that Theresa May will try to bring her plan back for yet another try. This morning we see the UK construction PMI released, coming off the back of yesterday’s impressive manufacturing figure. In the afternoon, keep an eye out for the US core durable goods figure. South Africa: Global equity markets look to be catching their breathe today after yesterday's strong gains. US Index futures are marginally lower while Asian indices are marginally higher this morning. The dollar is slightly firmer while precious and base metal prices trade mostly lower. The rand, although off its best levels remains firm after recent news that South Africa has managed to avert a credit rating downgrade (for now). Tencent Holdings is up 0.3% in Asia, suggestive of a similar start for major holding company Naspers. The BHP Group is flat in Australia suggetsive of a modest opening for local diversified resource counters. Economic calendar - key events and forecast (times in GMT) Source: Daily FX Economic Calendar 9.30am – UK construction PMI (March): expected to fall to 49.1 from 49.5. Markets to watch: GBP crosses 10am – eurozone unemployment rate (February): jobless rate to hold at 7.8%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses 1.30pm – US durable goods orders (February): orders expected to fall 1.2% MoM, but rise 0.2% MoM excluding transportation. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses Corporate News, Upgrades and Downgrades BHP Billiton said that it was reassessing its full-year output and cost guidance following the impact of Tropical Cyclone Veronica. The cyclone has reduced production by around 6-8 million tonnes. Galliford Try has signed an agreement with Homes England to build more than 850 houses across England. Ryanair said that passenger growth was 9% overall for March, to 10.9 million. The US safety authoritiyes are set to investigate Kia and Hyundai vehicles amid thousands of reports of "non-crash fires", which could see mass vehicle recalls. Boeing is set to apply a software upgrade to its disaster-struck 737 Max aircraft model in the next few weeks after initially informing airlines that the new software would be ready by the end of March. Struggling womenswear brand Bonmarché has been bought out by retail billionaire Philip Day in a deal worth £5.7m. Philip Day's holding company issued the following statement "Against the backdrop of the significant decline in Bonmarché's profitability, Spectre believes it is well positioned to provide advice, guidance and support to secure the long term future of the Bonmarché business, its stores and employees". Anglo American upgraded to buy at Deutsche Bank EasyJet upgraded to hold at Berenberg Vallourec upgraded to buy at SocGen Atos downgraded to sell at Berenberg RELX downgraded to add at AlphaValue Deutsche Post downgraded to neutral at Citi Engie downgraded to sector perform at RB IGTV featured video Information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

Shares in Asia fell more than 2% amid growing fears that a recession is on the horizon, Japan's Topix was impacted the most as the index dropped 2.5% at the close. The Hang Seng, ASX 200 and the Shanghai Composite followed and all fell by at least 1%. Numerous reports over the weekend suggested that senior ministers were plotting to oust Theresa May as doing so could enhance support of her Brexit deal, although this has been denied. Mrs May is set to meet cabinet ministers today to update them on her strategy for Brexit. Special Counsel Robert Mueller has concluded that Donald Trump did not collude with Russia during his 2016 Presidential campaign which lead to Trump tweeting "No Collusion, No Obstruction, Complete and Total Exoneration". Although, the summary by the Attorney General William Barr contradicts Trump's tweet as the findings were "inconclusive". Brent crude plummeted 0.7% from its previous close down to $66.56 per barrel whilst WTI futures slipped 0.9% to $58.52 due to the yield curve inverting, which can be seen as a strong signal that a recession is looming. Gold saw a 0.2% rise to $1,316.51. South Africa: Global equity markets are are trading lower this morning as fears of a global economic slowdown reemerge. US Index Futures are continuing Friday's decline and Asian Indices trade 1.5% to 2% lower on the day. The rand now trades back at its worst levels of the last few weeks. Gold is trading modestly higher, copper is significantly lower and Brent crude has given up around 0.5%. Tencent Holdings is down 3% in Asia, suggestive of a similar start for major holding company Naspers. BHP Group is down 1.3% in Australia, suggestive of a soft start for local resource counters. Economic calendar - key events and forecast (times in GMT) Source: Daily FX Economic Calendar Corporate News, Upgrades and Downgrades British satellite operator Inmarsat has been sold for $3.4bn to a private equity consortium. Uber is set to acquire Careem, a Dubai based rival taxi company, for a reported $3.1bn. Majestic Wine is closing down its stores and will re-brand themselves as Naked Wine, CEO Rowan Gormley explained "Naked Wines has the potential for strong sustainable growth, and we will deliver the best results for our shareholders". IGTV featured video Information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

The EU has indicated that Theresa May needs to get backing from parliament on her Brexit deal before they agree to delay the UK's withdrawal from the EU. The Prime Minister is heading to Brussels today for the European Council meeting to try to force an extension in order to avoid a no-deal scenario. US bank stocks traded lower yesterday after the Fed's announcement that there will be no rate hikes in 2019, Goldman was down 3.4% whilst BoA, J.P. Morgan Chase, Citigroup and Morgan Stanley all fell by 2% or more. In turn, both Dow and S&P traded lower whilst the Nasdaq edged 0.1% higher than its previous close. The Dollar was down against most major pairs due to the announcement, Bloomberg's Dollar Spot Index fell 0.5% to a six-week low. Asian equities closed higher, the MSCI Asia-ex Japan Index was up 0.45% whilst the Shanghai composite was up 0.72%. Gold traded 0.4% higher yesterday to $1,318.05 per troy ounce. Asian overnight: It was a mixed session in Asia, with falls in Australia offset by small rises in South Korea and Hong Kong, while Japan is closed for a public holiday. A dovish Fed provided an initial boost for US markets, but it was not enough to sustain the rally, and equities lost ground. It is expected that Steve Mnuchin and Robert Lighthizer will travel to China next week for further trade talks, but a lack of progress in these talks is beginning to weigh on markets. UK, US and Europe: After dovish turns from the ECB and the Fed, all eyes will be on the Bank of England, while a European Council meeting may discuss the UK’s request to extend Article 50. In addition we have UK retail sales, a Philly Fed reading and eurozone consumer confidence. Looking at Brexit, news broke yesterday that Macron will veto any delay to the Brexit process to avoid any further uncertainty, according to a French media report. If this is true, it puts the UK on the brink of a no-deal Brexit as Theresa May heads to Brussels today in a bid to desperately avoid this scenario. High profile Brexiteer Jacob Rees-Mogg was delighted to hear this news as he tweeted "If true, then Vive la France". Economic calendar - key events and forecast (times in GMT) Source: Daily FX Economic Calendar 9.30am – UK retail sales (February): sales to rise 0.2% MoM and 3.4% YoY. Markets to watch: GBP crosses 12pm – BoE meeting:policy expected to be left unchanged, but Brexit likely to dominate the discussion. Markets to watch: GBP crosses 12.30pm – US Philadelphia Fed index (March): expected to rise to 3.2 from -4.1. Markets to watch: USD crosses 3pm – eurozone consumer confidence (March):confidence to fall to -10.8 from -7.4. Markets to watch: EUR crosses 11.30pm – Japan CPI (February):CPI to be 0.4% YoY and core CPI to hold at0 .8% YoY. Markets to watch: JPY crosses Corporate News, Upgrades and Downgrades Halma said that it expected annual adjusted pre-tax profits to meet markets forecasts thanks to strong growth in its US and UK divisions. Next reported a 2.6% rise in total group sales for 2018, while group profit fell 0.4% to £722.9 million. The retailer said that it saw no effect so far from Brexit, and that a no deal Brexit would lead to reductions in prices if the indicative tariffs are brought in. Ted Baker said that group pre-ta profit for 2018 fell 26.1% to £50.9 million, while sales rose 4.2% to £461 million. Enquest will keep its focus on cutting debt, after earnings in 2018 more than doubled to $716.3 million. Bouygues upgraded to outperform at MainFirst EasyJet upgraded to neutral at MainFirst ING Groep raised to outperform at RBC Ryanair upgraded to outperform at MainFirs Bodycote downgraded to hold at Berenberg Compass downgraded to sell at Goldman Lookers downgraded to neutral at JPMorgan IAG downgraded to neutral at MainFirs IGTV featured video Information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

Theresa May has announced that she has secured "legally binding changes" to the withdrawal agreement ahead of the pivotal vote on her deal in the House of Commons this evening. Specifically, the changes mean that the Irish backstop would not "become permanent". The pound soared after the news broke rising to a high of $1.3290 before falling back down to its current level of $1.3208, still up over 2% from Monday's low. Boeing shares have fallen over 5% after the fatal plane crash in Ethiopia, which killed all 157 people on board. Multiple airlines have grounded Boeing's 737 MAX 8 aircraft as the disaster on Sunday was the second in five months involving the new Boeing aircraft. Strong gains within the US technology sector offset the decline in Boeing as the Dow closed 200 points higher. The Nasdaq also rose 2% followed by the S&P which gained 1.45%. Apple has announced an event for the 25th of March where it is widely anticipated that the company will announce a TV streaming and news subscription service to rival Netflix. The event invitation includes the caption "It's show time". Gold added 0.2% to $1,296 per ounce. Asian overnight: A bullish session overnight saw gains from Chinese, Japanese, and Hong Kong shares, with the Australian ASX 200 index trading marginally lower. Much of the positive sentiment came thanks to a strong US session, as the topic of US-China trade talks came back into play. With Chinese state TV reporting that vice-premier Liu He, Robert Lighthizer, and US trade representative and Steven Mnuchin spoke on the phone, there is hope that talks could soon resume. The pound is the currency to watch today... UK, US and Europe: However, it was Brexit that caused the most volatility overnight, with the pound gaining sharply off the back of a seemingly successful last-minute dash to Strasbourg by Theresa May. Legally binding amendments to the withdrawal agreement have raised hopes that her deal could be approved in today’s vote. While the vote is almost certain to be closer than last time, the day will be dominated by commentary across the political spectrum which should highlight what chance it really has. Thus, the pound is the currency to watch today, with UK GDP (monthly), manufacturing production, industrial production, and trade balance data all being released to heighten that focus. Also keep an eye out for US CPI inflation data released later in the day. South Africa: Our local bourse looks set to open firmer this morning following firmer US Index Futures and Asian equity markets. There has been suggestion of progress between the US and China in trade negotiations, and in turn markets grow optimistic of news to come. Markets have also been encouraged by Theresa May having adjusted the terms of a Brexit deal with the EU, which will be voted upon this evening by UK parliament. The dollar trades softer and commodities trade higher this morning. The rand has also managed to claw back some of its recent losses on the short term improved risk appetite. Tencent Holdings is up 1.4% in Asia, suggestive of a positive start for major holding company Naspers. BHP Group is up 1% in Australia, suggestive of a positive start for local resource counters. Economic calendar - key events and forecast (times in GMT) Source: Daily FX Economic Calendar UK Parliament votes on Withdrawal Agreement 9.30am – UK GDP (January): growth to rise 0.1% MoM, while the three-month average holds at 0.2%. Market to watch: GBP crosses 12.30pm – US CPI (February): inflation to be 1.6% YoY and 0.2% MoM, while core falls to 2.15 YoY and holds at 0.2% MoM. Market to watch: USD crosses 11.30pm - Australia Westpac consumer confidence: index expected to fall to 102.5 from 103.8. Market to watch: AUD crosses Corporate News, Upgrades and Downgrades Wood Group has won a ‘multi-million dollar’ construction contract from IR1 group relating to a biofuels facility in Oregon. Sirius Minerals said that it had been approached by a ‘major global financial institution’ with an alternative funding proposal. Other proposals continue to be pursued. Domino’s Pizza reported a 1.1% drop in pre-tax profit for 2018, to £93.4 million, while sales rose 9% to £1.26 billion. Weak growth in its international division hurt performance. Struggling retailer French Connection has said that it has begun"preliminary discussions with several interested parties" regarding the sale of the company. Befimmo upgraded to buy at ING Clarkson upgraded to overweight at JPMorgan Lloyds upgraded to neutral at Goldman P2P Global Investments upgraded to buy at Canaccord Antofagasta downgraded to sector perform at RBC Standard Life Aberdeen cut to underperform at RBC Munich Re downgraded to hold at Bankhaus Lampe Standard Chartered downgraded to reduce at AlphaValu IGTV featured video Information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

Reports over the weekend have indicated that the US and China are in the later stages of trade talk discussions in a deal which could see tariffs and sanctions lifted on both sides. Donald Trump tweeted over the weekend asking China to remove all tariffs on agricultural products and that trade talks are "moving along nicely". Asian equity markets reacted positively to the trade talk progress; the Nikkei rose 1%, whilst the Shanghai Composite increased by 2.5% and the Hang Seng jumped 1.2%. Theresa May has announced a £1.6bn fund for pro-Brexit constituencies which would be used to boost economic activity in these areas, although some believe she is doing this purely to "bribe MPs" in voting for her withdrawal agreement. WTI Oil rose 0.3% to $55.96 per barrel due to signs of slowing US production and OPEC continuing their cutbacks. Gold increased by 0.1% to $1295 per ounce. Ted Baker CEO Ray Kelvin has resigned from the company, which he founded in 1988, with immediate effect due to allegations of inappropriate behavior. The news adds to the turbulent couple of weeks for the retailer as the company issued a profit warning last week. Asian overnight: A positive start to the week has seen Asian markets push higher ahead of a crucial week of economic data. Optimism over a potential US-China trade deal continue to add fuel to the fire for bulls, with a mooted summit between Xi Jinping and Donald Trump on 27 March raising the prospect of a final deal. Looking ahead, a somewhat slow start to a busy week sees the UK construction PMI dominate. With the survey falling sharply towards contraction territory (50.6), all eyes will be focused on whether we see a continuation of that weakness seen last month. UK, US and Europe: Mrs May has come under-fire over her new £1.6bn 'Stronger Towns Fund', which she says will create jobs and boost economic activity in pro-Brexit towns. The PM outlined that "communities across the country voted for Brexit as an expression of their desire to see change - that must be a change for the better, with more opportunity and greater control". Although, some people have suggested that this is a "desperate measure to buy votes" in order to push her withdrawal agreement over the line as it has been announced just days before MPs are scheduled to vote on her Brexit deal. South Africa: Global equity markets continue to trade higher on optimism that the US and China could be nearing a trade deal. While the dollar has softened a bit this morning it comes off the back of significant strength on Friday after the US posted better than expected GDP data. Gold trades back below the $1300/oz mark in part due to the stronger dollar and reduced safe haven demand for the precious metal on improving trade relations (with China). The rand is back above the R14/$ mark. Tencent Holdings is up 3.3% in Asia suggestive of a strong start for Naspers. The BHP Group is up 1.2% higher in Australia suggestive of a positive start for local resource counters. Economic calendar - key events and forecast (times in GMT) Source: Daily FX Economic Calendar 9.30am – UK construction PMI (February): forecast to fall to 50.1 from 50.6. Markets to watch: GBP crosses Corporate News, Upgrades and Downgrades Senior has reported a 17% rise in annual profit, with pre-tax profit hitting £61.3 million. Revenue rose 5.7% to £1.08 billion. British American Tobacco said it was ‘extremely disappointed’ that the Quebec court of appeal had not overturned a decision against its Canadian subsidiary. 888 has bought BetBright’s sports betting platform for £15 million. Aviva has announced Maurice Tulloch as its new CEO this morning, Mr. Tulloch has been at the company since 1992 and takes over from Mark Wilson. Ageas upgraded to hold at HSBC Carlsberg upgraded to outperform at RBC Sievi Capital upgraded to accumulate at Inderes Evolution Gaming raised to buy at Kepler Cheuvreux Acciona downgraded to neutral at Citi Centamin downgraded to neutral at CI Capital Heineken downgraded to sector perform at RBC Victrex downgraded to sell at Cit IGTV featured video Information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

Marks & Spencer and Ocado have officially confirmed a deal whereby M&S will buy a 50% share of Ocado's retail business in a £750m home delivery deal, a huge transformational step for the iconic retailer. M&S will finance the deal by offering a £600m rights issue to shareholders and cutting dividend payouts by 40%. President Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong-Un are set to meet today in an attempt to end North Korea's nuclear program in exchange for a relief in sanctions by the US. Ahead of the Trump-Kim meeting stocks in Asia generally increased, the Hang Seng rose 0.48% followed by a 0.44% gain with the Nikkei. The Chinese markets mirrored these gains as the Shanghai composite increased 0.8% and the Shenzhen composite by 0.4%. US Index futures edged lower after the CME Globex markets stopped trading due to a technical issue with the exchange, the Dow dipped by around 29 points followed by small decreases with the S&P and Nasdaq. Theresa May promised MPs a vote to delay Brexit if her withdrawal agreement fails to get through Parliament on the 12th of March. MPs will have the chance to vote on two separate votes, one being to support a no-deal Brexit and the other to extend the deadline beyond the 29th of March. Sterling dipped slightly to $1.3251, down 0.1%, coming of the back of Tuesday's rally. Gold dropped to 0.1% to $1,327.4 per ounce. Asian overnight: The bulls were back in the driving seat overnight, with gains across the board coming in the wake of Fed chair Powell’s reiteration of a ‘patient’ stance. We are also seeing continued optimism surrounding US-China talks, with Trump’s two-day meeting with Kim Jong-Un providing further hopes of regional stabilisation. Meanwhile, the New Zealand trade balance took another negative turn, falling sharply back into deficit after a mere single month of surplus. UK, US and Europe: Looking ahead, an appearance from Bundesbank President Weidmann provides the one point of interest in an otherwise quiet eurozone session. In the UK, Brexit is back on the agenda, with a series of amendments being voted on which could shape the process for leaving the EU. However, with Theresa May already setting out a new sequence of events to allow for a potential extension, these are largely a formality. Also keep an eye out for Canadian CPI, alongside US trade balance, factory orders and crude inventories. Finally, with Jerome Powell returning for a second day of testimony in Washington, watch out for potential dollar volatility. South Africa: Global markets are trading mixed with US index futures modestly lower, while Asian equity markets trade marginally firmer on the day. In turn, our local bourse is expected to open flat to slightly higher this morning. Precious metal prices remain firm (platinum in particular) trading near short term highs, while base metals trade mixed with copper up and iron ore down on the day. The rand has managed to firm against the majors. There is little in the way of high impact data scheduled for release today, although markets will look to the continued testimony of Fed Chairman, Jerome Powell this afternoon for directional guidance. Tencent is down 0.5% in Asia, suggestive of a softer start for major holding company Naspers. The BHP Group is up 0.4% in Australia, suggestive of a positive start for local diversified resource counters. Economic calendar - key events and forecast (times in GMT) Source: Daily FX Economic Calendar 10am – eurozone business confidence (February): forecast to rise to 0.75 from 0.69. Market to watch: EUR crosses 1.30pm – Canada CPI (January): prices expected to rise 1.7% YoY. Market to watch: CAD crosses 3pm – US pending home sales (January): sales expected to fall 1.9% MoM and 11% YoY. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses 3.30pm – US EIA crude inventories (w/e 22 February): stockpiles rose by 3.7 million barrels last week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI Corporate News, Upgrades and Downgrades Marks & Spencer will launch a rights issue and cut its dividend in order to pay for a joint venture with Ocado. M&S will pay Ocado £750 million for its half of the venture, with a £600 million rights issue and a 40% cut to the dividend. Rio Tinto said that net earnings rose 56% to $13.64 billion for 2018, while underlying earnings rose 2% to $8.81 billion. ITV said that 2018 pre-tax profit was up 13% to £567 million, while revenue was up 3% to £3.77 billion. Advertising revenue was weak, but growth in online activities offset this. Taylor Wimpey reported an 18% rise in pre-tax profit, to £810.7 million, for 2018 while the number of completions rose and margins grew. The firm said it had a made a positive start to 2019. Freenet upgraded to hold at Berenberg Total upgraded to outperform at RBC Viscofan upgraded to hold at Santander Air France-KLM cut to equal-weight at Morgan Stanley Metro Bank downgraded to market perform at KBW Tullow downgraded to hold at Jefferies Shell downgraded to sector perform at RB IGTV featured video Information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

Despite announcing a loss of 4 cents per share Snap shares soared in after-hours trading as the social media giant beat analysts expectations, the general consensus was that the company would report a net loss of 8 cents per share in Q4. Disney also beat expectations aided by the launch of its streaming service ESPN+ and sales increases in its theme park businesses, earning per share came in at $1.84 vs $1.55 expected. The Dow rose by 172 points, followed by a 0.47% increase in the S&P fueled by gains in the communication services and technology sector. The Nasdaq also saw a gain of 0.7% and closed at 7,402. President Trump announced on Tuesday that he will meet with Kim Jong Un in Vietnam at the end of February. Although progress has been made, the president believes a lot of work still needs to be done. Overall, we saw a largely subdued session in the Asian market due to the Lunar New Year holidays, with the exception of moves in the Australian markets. The Australian dollar fell by almost 1.3% against USD as the Reserve Bank of Australia said that rates could fall if unemployment increases and inflation stays too low. Gold slipped to $1,314.30 per ounce, a 0.1% drop from its previous close. If I had not been elected President of the United States, we would right now, in my opinion, be in a major war with North Korea Asian overnight: A somewhat subdued session overnight saw marginal gains in the ASX 200 and the Nikkei, while the Topix lost ground. Chinese and Hong Kong markets remained closed for the Lunar bank holidays. The Australian dollar was the big mover overnight, after the RBA governor Lowe signaled that the next move could be to cut rates rather than raise them. Meanwhile, Donald Trump’s state of the union address provided little of note for markets, with the President focusing on further promises to build a wall rather than laying out solutions to the impasse in US-China trade negotiations. UK, US and Europe: Trump addressed Congress during his second State of the Union on Tuesday night, announcing that he will meet the North Korean leader between the 27th - 28th of February. The two leaders met last year in Singapore which, according to Trump, was a huge success as he claimed that North Korea's nuclear weapons were no longer a threat to the US. In his address he acknowledge that there is still a lot of progress that needs to be made between the two countries, but claimed that "If I had not been elected President of the United States, we would right now, in my opinion, be in a major war with North Korea". Looking ahead, the early release of German factory orders represents the sum total of a quiet European session. Meanwhile, US trade balance, alongside US crude inventories provide the only major releases to watch out for in the afternoon. South Africa: US Index futures are pointing to a flat start to the day. The Shanghai Composite and Hang Seng Index are closed this morning on account of Lunar Holidays being celebrated within the region. With market moves minimal this morning there appears to be little in the way of scheduled news data to guide markets for the rest of the day. Commodity prices are relatively unchanged this morning and the rand trades at similar levels to where it closed yesterday. The BHP Group is up 1.67% higher in Australia suggestive of a positive start for local miners. Economic calendar - key events and forecast (times in GMT) Source: Daily FX Economic Calendar 1.30pm – US trade balance (November), GDP growth (Q4 preliminary): trade deficit to narrow to $54 billion from $55.5 billion, and GDP expected to grow by 2.6% QoQ, from 3.4%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses 3pm – Canada Ivey PMI (January): previous reading 59.7. Market to watch: CAD crosses 3.30pm – US EIA crude inventories (w/e 1 February): stockpiles rose by 919,000 a week earlier. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI Corporate News, Upgrades and Downgrades Apple has announced its retail chief, Angela Ahrendts, is set to leave the company in April citing "new personal and professional pursuits" as the reasoning behind her move away from the tech giant. Toyota cuts it net income outlook for 2019 due to "changes in US taxation rules" and "losses from equity sales". Severn Trent still expects to report full-year performance in line with forecasts, with its biggest capital spending plan in a decade on track. Redrow said that pre-tax profit rose 5% to £185 million for the first half, while revenue rose 9% to £907 million. The dividend was raised by 11%, to 10p per share, while a cash payment of 30p per share will also be paid. Victrex suffered an 18% fall in first quarter revenue, due to weakness in the automotive and consumer electronics markets. The firm said that it had seen some improvement in January and February. Profits at Daimler, the owner of Mercedes-Benz, decreased by nearly a third last year as earnings came in at €7.6bn down from €10.6bn previously. Interserve has announced this morning that they have reached a deal with creditors to cut its debt by issuing new shares through a rights issue, indicating that it will reduce liabilities by around £325m Alstria Office upgraded to buy at Kempen BP upgraded to buy at DZ Bank National Grid upgraded to outperform at RBC Paddy Power upgraded to hold at HSBC EON downgraded to underperform at Jefferies LVMH downgraded to hold at Jefferies Royal Mail downgraded to sell at SocGen TUI downgraded to hold at HSBC IGTV featured video Information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

Coffee giant Starbucks announced that same-stores sales grew by 4% in its home US market, with overall revenue also beating expectations. Speaking about the results, CEO Kevin Johnson said that "Our streamline efforts over the past six quarters are paying off by allowing us to bring more focus and discipline to our three strategic priorities". Talks are continuing in the US as the Senate tries to reach an agreement to end the government shutdown, which is now in its 34th day. The White house is pushing for "large down payments" for Trump's wall, however the Senate has already rejected two proposals as a deal including wall money "is not a reasonable agreement between senators". CEO of Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, has warned that investment into the UK could take a hit due to a hard Brexit as he told the BBC that Goldman has stopped hiring in the UK over the last two years. Westminster is due to vote on the withdrawal agreement from the EU again next week. Asian equities rose due to a rally in the technology sector, despite the continued uncertainty over US-China trade talks. The Hang Seng increased by 1.3%, followed by a 1% rise in both the MSCI Asia Pacific Index and Japan's Topix. Brent crude futures jumped 1.2% to $61.80 followed by WTI crude which rose by 1.3% to $53.82 per barrel, as the US indicates that they may impose sanctions on Venezuela's oil exports due to the continued political turmoil within the country. Gold remained steady at $1,282.08 per ounce. UK, US and Europe: Airbus issued a warning yesterday over Brexit, the company indicated that they may shift future wing-building out of the Britain if the UK end up in a no-deal scenario. As stated above, Goldman Sachs support the view of Airbus both of whom employ a considerable number of people in the UK, with the aerospace group employing around 14,000 people alone. Despite the doom and gloom the pound is up around 1.8% since Monday, due to investors speculating that the UK will likely avoid a hard Brexit. Despite the doom and gloom the pound is up around 1.8% since Monday US markets continue to flounder, having essentially gone nowhere all week, as trade concerns remain at the forefront of investors' minds. One bright spot was the semiconductor index, which rose 5.7%, enjoying its best day since 26 December. Markets are still unable to establish a clear direction, although the lack of any renewed sell-off similar to what we saw in December is helping to calm nerves. The German IFO index is the one event of note today, with the week otherwise set to end on a quiet note. There seems no end in sight to the US government shutdown, with Monday's scheduled barrage of US data unlikely to take place unless a resolution is found over the weekend. South Africa: We expect a positive start to equity markets this morning as US Index Futures trade firmer, led by the Nasdaq, while Asian markets trade firmer led by the tech sector as well. Comments that US President Donald Trump is optimistic about the current trade negotiations have helped lift sentiment in the near term. However the US secretary of Commerce is less optimistic and has commented that US and China remain far away from reaching a trade deal. The US dollar has since weakened against a broad basket of currencies. In turn we see the rand gaining ground to trade at its best levels of the week. Tencent Holdings is up 3.27% in Asia suggestive of a strong start for major holding company Naspers. BHP Group is up 1.3% higher in Australia suggestive of a positive start for local resource counters. Economic calendar - key events and forecast (times in GMT) Source: Daily FX Economic Calendar 9am – German Ifo business climate index (January): expected to rise to 101.5, from 101. Market to watch: EUR crosses Corporate News, Upgrades and Downgrades Vodafone reported a 6.8% drop in revenue for the final three months of 2018, to €11 billion, but annual underlying organic adjusted earnings growth is still expected to be around 3%. AG Barr said that it expected full-year revenue to be up 5% over the year, thanks to strong performance across all brands. Indivior said that a US court had granted a temporary restraining order to prevent rival Alvogen from launching copycat drugs for its opioid addiction treatments. Deutsche Boerse Upgraded to Hold at Bankhaus Lampe Iberdrola Upgraded to Buy at HSBC NCC Upgraded to Buy at Citi AstraZeneca Upgraded to Buy at Shore Capita Swiss Life Downgraded to Neutral at MainFirst Intu Downgraded to Sell at Goldman Adecco Downgraded to Reduce at Oddo Fevertree Drinks Cut to Hold at Jefferie IGTV featured video Information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

Theresa May's government holds onto power, winning a no-confidence vote in parliament last night by 325 votes to 306. The Prime Minister has now set out to reach a cross-party solution for Brexit, although this will be extremely difficult as the PM was snubbed by the leader of the opposition last night saying that she is in charge of a "zombie government". Sterling remained steady as the currency traded around the 1.2875 mark against the dollar after, as expected, Mrs May's government won the vote of no-confidence. US equities closed higher on Wednesday after strong quarterly earnings by Bank of America and Goldman. The S&P 500 rose by 0.2% whilst the Dow increased by 140 points, both driven by the financial sector. The Nasdaq followed and increased by 0.15%. Stock markets in Asia were mixed as concerns continue over rising tensions between the US and China. Japan's Topix gained 0.4% at the close, followed by the MSCI Asia Pacific Index which added 0.1%. On the other side of this, the Shanghai Composite and the Hang Seng both slid by 0.1%. Oil slipped 0.5% down to near $52 per barrel as the US reach record output levels, counter-acting the signs of shrinking supply by OPEC+. Gold traded slightly lower at $1,291.65 per ounce. UK, US and Europe: Calls from the opposition and some leading Brexiteers for the Prime Minister to resign seems to have fallen on deaf ears. Last night, Theresa May's government survived a vote of no confidence tabled by Jeremy Corbyn, winning the vote by 325 to 306. It's unclear what is going to happen next in these extraordinary circumstances. Mrs May will seek further concessions from the EU in an attempt to get her 'Plan B' deal through the House of Commons, which the PM must layout to parliament next week. Looking ahead, earnings season continues with Netflix, Morgan Stanley and Taiwan Semiconductor posting results later today. It's unclear what is going to happen next in these extraordinary circumstances... South Africa: Last night saw US markets trading in positive territory led by gains within the banking sector after The Bank Of America reported better than expected earnings. Asian markets and US Index futures are however trading lower this morning tempering the previous days gains somewhat. Last night saw British Prime Minister Theresa May surviving a vote of no confidence in parliament, helping restore some stability in the British Pound. Oil and precious metal prices are trading modestly lower this morning, while base metals are trading positive on the day. Tencent Holdings is up 0.8% in Australia, suggestive of a similar start for major holding company Naspers. BHP Billiton is down 0.2% in Australia suggestive of a slightly weaker start for locally listed diversified resource counters. The South African Reserve Bank (SARB) concludes its monetary policy meeting today where no change in lending rates is the expected outcome. Economic calendar - key events and forecast (times in GMT) Source: Daily FX Economic Calendar Corporate News, Upgrades and Downgrades Primark announce this morning that like-for-like sales fell in the 16 weeks to the 5th of January caused by reduced footfall during November, according to the retailer. Fiserv is set to acquire payment processor First Data in a deal worth $22 billion in one of the largest deals we have seen in the financial technology industry. Bank of America shares soared by 7% yesterday after quarterly profit reached a record level of $7.3 billion. Goldman Sachs also beat expectations yesterday as earnings per share reached $6.05, beating estimates of $4.53, and posting revenue of $8.08 billion for the quarter. In a statement, CEO David Solomon said "We are pleased with our performance for the year, achieving strong top and bottom line results despite a challenging backdrop for our market-making businesses in the second half". Asset manager firm BlackRock profits fell short of expectations as the company's assets under management has fallen 5% over the last 12 months down to $5.98 trillion. IGTV featured video Information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.