121

I like your thinking on this subject. All I know is that policy changes or disagreements between powerful forces can magnify normal cyclical trends. My MACD isn't really tradable as it plays out over a long period of time - probably of more value to an economist. I think it also worked for the Dotcom crash. interesting reports I picked up recently:- John Kicklighter posted on his twitter account yesterday he is a chief streategist at dailyFX.com owned by IG: "Since the $SPX's run above its 200DMA was unceremoniously called to an end, here's the Dow's - 444 trading days. Longest since June 1987" (he shows a chart) also "Peter Schiff Warns 'Deep State' Unafraid To Crash The Market On Trump's Watch" reported by zerohedge.com 4/4/2018 and many other sites. I've also heard said "What trade war more like trade squabble".

This MACD idea was just something I stumbled upon in my research and looked interesting. I have not tested it going back decades. It just appeared something useful for the present 10-15 years. Whenever I see a cross, I just think hope the G's will be able to deal with it. Of course there is no guarantee this trend pattern will repeat, but there are a lot of fundamentals at play out there at the moment which could make things repeat again like before. I don't think my Bollinger Band ideas come in useful here. I tried 800 instead of 20 but think they just add confusion. I like playing around a lot with averages 800, 500, and 34 and that's how I discovered this trend pattern.

Always brilliant commentary . I've been a way a while doing other stuff but had to come back with this observation of the Nikkei 225 which I've been tracking for years. Long timeframe but worth noting. Hopefully worse case scenario can be averted.

Will need G support to avert.

Have just added in a trend line from my 4 hour chart to the 2 hour chart just in case I need to switch because to a key Bollinger point for me just below $10,100 on the 2 hour chart is looking vulnerable. Otherwise no worries.

Based on previous pattern market will hold at MA area or head back down towards lower Bollinger Band - Support area. No worries. Upward trend line still intact.

11:55 am Saturday 17/02/2018 Looks like based on last years support and resistance arrows if the market now consolidates nicely over $10,600 it should go higher other wise next stop down will be the 20 MA and then failing that then it will be back below $10,000 and as low as $9,400. Enjoy ! Bitcoin heading up - just broke $11,000 up from nice consolidation over $10,600 as predicted

End of Feb $13,000 min looks more reasonable

No way will it reach $22,000 end of Feb

A little more spice

Bitcoin looking spicy!

You may like. May be helpful (or not). Enjoy !

You may like. Spot the similarities and differences. May help (or not). Enjoy !

When you start to theorize about writing an algorithm and creating stats how can you miss fractals?