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121

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Everything posted by 121

  1. Nikkei 225 Daily Bets on daily close - based on how easy it's been to predict close within 2 min. of open today the market opened up c.192 points and my algorithms tell me the market will close up. Also helps that on days when the market opened up my algorithms made fewer mistakes. Also helps that since Sept. 1 all the eight days that have followed a close above 110 have closed the next day up. Also helps that of the nineteen days out of 57 when the market opened up or down over 110 points since Sept. 1 only once did it not close in the same direction (see my stat postings). Also helps that for the past 17 months the first day of the month has always been an up day for the NIKKEI 225. Enjoy !
  2. There are 758 cryptocurrencies with average daily transaction volumes under $10,000. Only 88 of them have an average volume above $1 million. Bitcoin leads the way with about $2 billion in daily transaction volume. 472 of the 1,213 cryptocurrencies just started trading this year but only 20 of the currencies are actually being used for something other than trading. The rest are purely speculative trading instruments. Some of these cryptocurrencies may fall out of fashion and turn to junk maybe therein lies the current risk? Then again Big boys are only just moving in and a positive factor for the price, or maybe just moving in ahead of an expected crash and planning to use it to build a new world order!!! Enjoy !!!
  3. Off the peg stat books and websites you may like / equityclock.com / jeffhirsch.tumblr.com (stock traders almanac) / stockmarketalmanac.co.uk. Obviously the best traders keep their proprietary/custom made stats to themselves.
  4. Trading is a multidisciplinary game I don't think the best could win or survive long term using purely technical analysis if they didn't first do their homework and create a book of stats that give them the edge. Think about it, If anybody is trying to create and sell something commercial that works they have got to prove it with stats.
  5. Nikkei 225 Daily Bets on daily close - Interesting advance statistic before todays open that for the past 17 months the first day of the month has always been an up day for the NIKKEI 225. Enjoy !
  6. For all you lovely Macro traders out there hyper creative, great eagle eyes, lovers of charting (winning/surviving being more important than money) I hope you share some of my thinking in your work. As you can see at the moment my current algorythms (always evolving) are on a roll, and so is the Nikkei 225 - will it overtake the DJIA (it's not far behind) ........... I also added some simple stats - my angels and demons. Today 30.11.17 you'll see the demons I chose to ignore. Angels won !!! Enjoy !!!
  7. Nikkei 225 Daily Bets on daily close - based on how easy it's been to predict close within 2 min. of open today the market opened up c.5 points and my algorithms tell me the market will close up. Also helps that on days when the market opened up my algorithms made fewer mistakes. Also helps that since Sept. 1 all the eight days that have followed a close above 110 have closed the next day up. Interesting advance statistic before todays open that for the past 15 months the index has always closed in the direction of the open except for the end of March 2017. Enjoy! P.S. I have chosen to ignore the statistical pattern that last day end of Nov 2011 market was down, 2012 was up, 2013 was down, 2014 was up, 2015 was down, 2016 was up, 2017 ? Enjoy ! P.P.S. I have also chosen to ignore the statistic that since last day end of Mar. 2017 which ended down the market only ended the last day of the month up in Aug. 2017, and from Sep. 2016 which ended down the market only three times ended the last day of the month up Nov. 2016, Feb. 2017, and Aug 2017. Enjoy !
  8. Nikkei 225 Daily Bets on daily close - Interesting advance statistic before todays open that for the past 15 months the index has always closed end of the month in the direction of the open except for the end of March 2017. Enjoy !
  9. Nikkei 225 Daily Bets on daily close - based on how easy it's been to predict close within 2 min. of open today the market opened up c.128 points and my algorithms tell me the market will close up. Also worth remmembering that of the nineteen days out of 57 when the market opened up or down over 110 points since Sept. 1 only once did it not close in the same direction (see my stat postings). Also on days when the market opened up my algorithms made fewer mistakes. Enjoy!
  10. Nikkei 225 Daily Bets on daily close - based on how easy it's been to predict close within 2 min. of open today the market opened down c. 21 points and my algorithms tell me the market will close down. That said most mistakes since Sep. 1 have occurred when the market opened down (see my stat postings). Enjoy !
  11. Nikkei 225 Daily Bets on daily close - based on how easy it's been to predict close within 2 min. of open today the market opened over 100 up points but my algorithms tell me the market will close down however of the nineteen days out of 57 when the market opened up or down over 100 points since Sept. 1 only once did it not close in the same direction - May be best to stay out of the market today. Enjoy !
  12. Looking at the big picture I use the numbers 34 500 800 a lot. I do same with my IG charts. Check out the daily Nikkei 225 with these MA 800 500 34 / MACD 34 500 800 / W%R 800 / MFI 34 / CCI 500 / MOMENTUM 800 wind it back to max and you'll see what I think is a beautiful sight - it's my world barometer. Enjoy !!!!
  13. Just how easy it has been to predict NIKKEI 225 close within 2 minutes of open between September 01 and November 24 November Stats 24N,22Y,21Y,20Y,17Y,16N,15N,14Y,13Y,10Y,09N,08Y,07Y,06Y,02Y,01Y, October Stats 31N,30Y,27Y,26Y,25Y,24N,23Y,20N,19Y,18Y,17Y,16Y,13Y,12Y,11N,10=,06Y,05Y,04Y,03Y,02Y, September Stats 29Y,28Y,27Y,26Y,25Y,22N,21Y,20Y,19Y,15N,14Y,13N,12Y,11Y,08Y,07Y,06Y,05=,04Y,01Y, Key Underlined numbers indicate no cross over previous days close / Y means got close right within two minutes of open / N means got close wrong within two minutes of open / = means 50/50 Stats Over 57 trading days 11 mistakes were made using my algorithms of which nine were made when the market opened down Longest wining sequence using my algorithms 10 Days (HAPPENED ONCE) Longest loosing sequence using my algorithms 2 Days (HAPPENED ONCE) Of the 29 days when the price did cross over the previous days close there were seven mistakes using my algorithms Longest wining sequence using my algorithms crossing over previous days close 9 Days (HAPPENED ONCE) Longest loosing sequence using my algorithms crossing over previous days close 2 Days (HAPPENED ONCE) Of the 28 Days when the price did not cross over the previous days close there were four mistakes using my algorithms Longest wining sequence using my algorithms with no crossing over previous days close 15 Days (HAPPENED ONCE) Longest loosing sequence using my algorithms with no crossing over previous days close 2 Days (HAPPENED ONCE) Interesting extra note: Of the nineteen days out of 57 when the market opened up or down over 100 points only once did it not end in the same direction. Five of the eleven mistakes using my algorythms happened when the market opened up or down over 100 points !!! Longest winning sequence using my algorythms for market days when markets open up or down over 100 points six days (HAPPENED ONCE) Longest loosing sequence using my algorythms for market days when markets open up or down over 100 points one day (HAPPENED FIVE TIMES) Interesting extra note (added Mon 27th Nov.): My algorythms got it right 27 Nov. I thought it best to stay out of the market because of the statistic above which indicated that if the market opens up or down over 100 points it should close the day in that same diretion i.e there was conflict in my decision making process. 100 points was a psychological figure that I'd chosen. As the market is now between 22,000 and 23,000 I think it would have been better to fix a point in multiples of 22 or 11. Therefore, a move of over 110 (5 x 22) or 121 (11 x 11) may have been a better choice because yesterday Mon. 27th Nov. the market only opened up 106 points. My algorithms would have worked best with 110 but no harm picking 121. Do you think introducing point and figure charts based on closing and opening prices (secs, mins, hrs, dys, mths) would help ? Enjoy!!!
  14. 26th October Nikkei 225 Reds win easy today maybe should not have said that
  15. 25th October Nikkei 225 Great Plays On Reds And Blues Today
  16. 13th October Nikkei 225 red patterns outweigh blue
  17. 12th October Nikkei 225 blue patterns outweigh red but red not without some interest
  18. 11th October Nikkei 225 red patterns outweigh blue but not well formed
  19. 6th October Nikkei 225 blue patterns outweigh red but red not without some interest
  20. 5th October Nikkei 225 blue patterns outweigh red
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