Jump to content

Bitcoin Elliott Wave Prediction & Cross-Asset Analysis


Recommended Posts

In the financial landscape, several assets exhibit inverse relationships, providing investors with diverse opportunities for hedging and speculation. A fascinating correlation to observe is the way Bitcoin interacts with the USD Index (DXY), Bonds, and Yields, especially when examined through the Elliott Wave theory's lens.

Bitcoin and USD DXY: Over recent periods, Bitcoin and the USD DXY have demonstrated an inverse movement. Typically, in Elliott Wave terminology, when one asset is moving in an impulsive wave upwards, the other might be charting a corrective wave downwards. At present, it seems that when Bitcoin embarks on a bullish cycle, the USD shows a bearish tendency and vice versa.

Bitcoin and Yields: Historically, yields top out when there's confidence in the economy and when central banks anticipate higher inflation. A rising yield environment might signify an aversion to riskier assets like cryptocurrencies, resulting in an inverse relationship between the two. With the current Elliott Wave count suggesting we might be in the phase iii) of A of either (B) or (2), this could be a pivotal moment to watch. If yields peak in sync with a USD upturn, it might signal a temporary downturn for Bitcoin.

Bitcoin and Bonds: Bonds, much like Bitcoin, act as a hedge against market uncertainties. However, in the current Elliott Wave framework, it's implied that as the yields peak and USD strengthens, bonds could see a dip, indicating they're bottoming out. In this scenario, with bonds at a low and Bitcoin potentially retracting due to a stronger USD and higher yields, it creates an intricate cross-asset dynamic.

To encapsulate, while Bitcoin remains a dominant force in the cryptocurrency space, its price movements are closely intertwined with traditional assets. The Elliott Wave count - iii) of A of (B) or (2) - hints at potential pivotal shifts in the financial markets. Traders should remain vigilant, analyzing these cross-asset relationships for informed decision-making.

Analysis provided by Peter Mathers of TradingLounge™ - Australian Financial Services Licence - AFSL 317817.

#bitoin

Link to comment

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • image.png

  • Posts

    • after last weeks sell off'  a chart showing price in a possible discount & at a previous level of interest 
    • Solana ($SOL) is facing a challenging period in the market, with its price dropping to $130.56 USD. Here’s a closer look at what’s happening and what might be next for SOL. Recent Price Decline 15.17% Drop in a Month: Over the past month, Solana coin has fallen by 15.17%. This decline reflects the broader market’s pressure on the cryptocurrency. 8.5% Weekly Fall: Just this week, Solana saw an 8.5% drop, a sign that bears are firmly in control. Despite attempts to maintain a bullish outlook, the market seems to have different plans. Critical Support Levels Breakdown of $134 Support: Recently, SOL broke through the $134 support level, raising concerns that further declines could be on the way. Key Support at $122: The $122 level is now under the spotlight. This price point has been tested six times, and many whales view it as crucial. A break below this could push SOL towards $90. But if this support holds, it might set the stage for a bullish turnaround. $100 Support: While the $100 support level is still a bit distant, it’s essential to watch if the current bearish momentum continues. Revisiting this level could spell trouble for Solana. Changing Market Sentiment Shift to Bearish: The overall sentiment around Solana is slowly turning bearish. Since March, SOL has struggled to make new highs, and the current price action suggests that new lows could be coming. Potential Bullish Outcome: However, some analysts believe that if Solana manages to stay above $122 throughout 2024 and 2025, it could be incredibly bullish for the future, possibly leading to significant gains in 2025. Upcoming Breakpoint Event Historical Price Surges: There’s a potential catalyst on the horizon. Historically, Solana has seen price surges two weeks before its annual Breakpoint event. In previous years, SOL surged by 35% in 2021 and 2022, and by 60% in 2023. 2024 Event: With 16 days left until the 2024 Breakpoint event, could we see another rally? Only time will tell. The Importance of $122 Support As Solana approaches the $122 support level, all eyes are on whether it will hold. A break below could lead to further declines, while maintaining this support could bring back some bullish momentum. As always, stay informed, and remember the old adage in crypto: "buy the rumor, sell the news." Keep watching the charts as we near the 2024 Breakpoint event.  
    • One of the prominent cryptocurrency exchange, has maintained its commitment to user security through its Protection Fund. This self-insured fund, designed to safeguard user assets against potential threats such as hacks, fraud, and market volatility, has shown remarkable stability and growth. The fund has consistently maintained a value above $390 million, surpassing Bitget's initial commitment of $300 million. The exchange ability to continues to maintain a reserve ratio well above 150%, indicating a strong buffer against potential risks. The fund's value has shown correlation with Bitcoin's price movements, demonstrating its responsiveness to market conditions. Over the observed period, the fund's value peaked at $424.8 million and reached a low of $350.7 million, showcasing its ability to withstand market volatility while maintaining a substantial baseline. In February, the fund reached an all-time high valuation of over $543 million, coinciding with broader market uptrends. The Protection Fund's portfolio includes high-liquidity cryptocurrencies such as BTC, USDT, and USDC, which contributes to its stability and liquidity. This diversification strategy aims to mitigate risks associated with external market factors. Bitget's approach of self-funding and internally managing the Protection Fund allows for potentially quicker response times in critical situations, as it operates independently of external regulations and approvals. As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, the performance and management of such security measures will likely remain a point of interest for both users and industry observers.
×
×
  • Create New...
us