SP500 Elliott Wave Analysis (c) of iv) of 3 of (1)
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10/06/21 10:53
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FTSE 100, DAX 40 and S&P 500 remain bid as inflation slows Outlook on FTSE 100, DAX 40 and S&P 500 following a strong November. Source: Bloomberg Axel Rudolph FSTA | Senior Financial Analyst, London | Publication date: Friday 01 December 2023 12:32 FTSE 100 ends month in positive territory The FTSE 100 slid to 7,383 on Thursday before reversing to the upside as inflation continues to weaken in the eurozone. The 55-day simple moving average (SMA) at 7,494 capped and is doing so once more on Friday morning. Once overcome, the 17 November high at 7,516 will be in focus, together with the 7,535 November high. Minor support is found at the 21 November low at 7,446. Source: ProRealTime DAX 40 continues to surge ahead as eurozone inflations weakens The DAX 40 continues to surge ahead as eurozone inflation came in weaker-than-expected on Thursday with the July peak at 16,532 being in sight. Minor resistance on the way up can be spotted at the 16,421 31 July low. Support below Friday’s intraday low at 16,236 is seen at Thursday’s 16,165 low. More significant support can be found between the August and September highs at 16,044 to 15,992. Source: ProRealTime S&P 500 sees best November since 1980 The sharp November rally in the S&P 500 has lost upside momentum but the index nonetheless continues to trade in four-month highs as the Fed’s preferred PCE inflation gauge came in as expected at 3% year-on-year in October. November was not only the best performing month for the S&P 500 this year but also the strongest November since 1980. Resistance is found at the November peak at 4,587, followed by the July peak at 4,607. While this week’s lows at 4,539 to 4,537 underpin, the short-term uptrend remains intact. Slightly further down sits potential support at the 4,516 mid-September high. Source: ProRealTime -
If you want to succeed in this game you have to know and understand the rules - 99.9% of people don't, but of those a few % slip into the trading success net It's not my Intention to show you how to trade or make money - I'd be loathed to help some greedy wealthy person increase their wealth, through a easy trading method, but I'm happy to show you the TIME side of the markets, because I know hardly anyone will take note or use and it satisfies my "I tried to help them" lifes reflections etc Above I showed you Gann Square of 9 showing MONTHS on the SP500 and that lots of those turns on a monthly basis came out on KEY points on the Sq9 - namely the UP, DOWN, HORIZONTAL and DIAGONAL lines/points If you quickly study the chart below, you will see lots of times the EURUSD hit some of those points nicely, look at month 218 & 257 as examples - now scroll up and look where those 2 numbers are located on the Sq9 They are smack bang on key positions of that Sq9 chart - All I want to show you is how freely traded markets are somehow landing on pre-built number sequences over and over - not every one is a direct hit, but I'm sure you'd agree in the SP500 example above AND this EURUSD below its a canny coincidence! So, lets look at the EURUSD, because the Sq9 above resulted in too many options and you'd struggle to formulate a easy to use strategy from Gann used lots of differing Squares to calculate from, he used a Square of 12 (12x12 = 144) and we'll look at that for the EURUSD MONTHLY chart (Note ALL Gann's Squares where derived from the the pyramid's!) We'll keep it simple and just use STATIC monthly cycles, here's a 12 month cycle (remember we are using Ganns Square 12 to base this all from) As you can see its quite effective, I've highlighted the 36 month cycle with THICK lines, because its resonating with the market pretty **** well and as you can see the Square of 144 is working really well with the EURUSD (All markets will work well with differing Squares, so its not a one size fits all thing) To save a huge amount of explaining, the square of 144 has principles within it that resonate with the sacred geometric solid of a PENTAGON and we know from mathematics, that a pentagram fits into a pentagon in the form of all its sides UNFOLDED, when these open arms/points hit the edge of a circle it creates a set point on that circle and you have 5 points of 72 degrees around that circle (Remember Pythagoras, he had a secret hidden order where the Pentagram was the symbol of the order! and he was a very very very clever person) So IF, 72 (half of the Square of 12) is important then, harmonically related numbers to that 72 will also be Important, as in the chart above we've seen that 36 was In the chart below I've tided up the chart a little and added a 54 month cycle because 54 is an Internal angle of the pentagram, its also a Hurst cycle too - I also for visuals show basic Fibonacci cycles of 38/62/138/162 MONTHS But as we can see 54 & 36 months are definitely causing the EURUSD to sing to its tune - Remember these are STATIC cycles, the markets are NOT static, hence why its not perfect and exact Hopefully given you some food for thought - Remember you are VIEWING Time & Price action on a 2 Dimensional chart, Price & Time don't move in a 2 Dimensional fashion, Have a Great Christmas and New Year THT -
Gold price and natural gas price consolidate, but WTI comes under fresh pressure It is a mixed start to the month for commodity prices; gold and natural gas are relatively quiet, while oil prices have fallen after an OPEC production cut failed to meet expectations. Source: Bloomberg Chris Beauchamp | Chief Market Analyst, London | Publication date: Friday 01 December 2023 12:22 Gold price rally stalls The price seems to have topped out for now, though a short-term bearish view would likely need a close back below $2000 to suggest another test of rising support. On the upside, the $2060 level remains as the key area to watch in the short-term, along with the $2075/$2080 area that has marked gold’s highs since 2020. Source: ProRealTime WTI falls after OPEC news OPEC’s production cuts were not enough, it seems to deliver a sustained bounce in oil prices. Instead, Thursday saw the price push briefly above the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), before dropping back again. This now means we wait to see if recent support around $72 could be tested, with a move below this creating a lower low. Source: ProRealTime Natural Gas holds above 200-day MA Here the price has managed to stabilise around the 200-day SMA, and a close back above 2900 might suggest a test of recent trendline resistance. If the price can claw its way back above 3000, buyers might emerge once again. Alternately, 2640 and 2540 become the next short-term targets to the downside. Source: ProRealTime
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