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The Week Ahead On The Markets


KoketsoIG

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The Week Ahead

Read about upcoming market-moving events and plan your trading week

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Week commencing 12 February

Chris Beauchamp's insight

US and UK inflation are the main economic data points to watch this week, along with the monthly German ZEW index. Growth is also in focus with the first look at quarter 4 (Q4) gross domestic product (GDP) for the UK and Japan. Key earnings to watch include Cisco in the US and then Natwest in the UK, the latter kicking off the reporting period for UK banks.

 

Economic reports

  • Weekly View

Monday

6 pm – FOMC Kashkari speech (non-voter). Markets to watch: USD crosses

11.30 pm – Australia Westpac consumer confidence (February): index to fall to 80.4. Markets to watch: AUD crosses


Tuesday

12.30 am – Australia NAB business confidence (January): previous reading -1. Markets to watch: AUD crosses

7 am – UK unemployment data (December): unemployment rate to rise to 4% from 3.9%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

10 am – German ZEW index (February): index expected to rise to 15.3. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30 pm – US CPI (January): prices forecast to rise 3.7% year-over-year (YoY) and 0.3% month-over-month (MoM), from 3.9% and 0.3% in December. The core consumer price index (CPI) is expected to be 0.2% and 3.4%, from 0.3% and 3.4%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses


Wednesday

7 am – UK CPI (January): prices are expected to grow 3.9% YoY and 0.4% MoM, from 4% and 0.4%. Core CPI rose by 5.1% YoY in December. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

3.30 pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 9 February): stockpiles fell by 3.1 million barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI

11.50 pm – Japan GDP (Q4, preliminary): growth is expected to be 0.4% quarter over quarter (QoQ) and 1.6% YoY. Markets to watch: JPY crosses


Thursday

12.30 am – Australia employment data (January): rate to rise to 4% from 3.9%. Markets to watch: AUD crosses

7 am – UK GDP (Q4, preliminary): QoQ growth is expected to be flat, from -0.1% in quarter 3 (Q3), and YoY is forecast to be 0.2%, from, 0.3%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

1.30 pm – US retail sales (January) initial jobless claims (w/e 10 February), Empire State manufacturing index (February): sales expected to rise 0.4%, claims forecast to rise to 220K from 218K, while Empire manufacturing index rises to -19. Markets to watch: USD crosses


Friday

7 am – UK retail sales (January): sales forecast to rise 1.2% MoM. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

1.30 pm – US Producer Price Index (PPI) (January): forecast to be 0.1% MoM from -0.1%. Markets to watch: USD crosses

3 pm – US Michigan consumer confidence (February, preliminary): expected to rise to 79.5 from 79. Markets to watch: USD crosses

 

Company announcements

 

Monday
12 February

Tuesday
13 February

Wednesday
14 February

Thursday
15 February

Friday
16 February

Full-year earnings

        Natwest

Half/ Quarterly earnings

  TUI,
Lyft,
Coca-Cola
Dunelm,
Cisco
Airbus,
Commerzbank,
Coinbase
 

Trading update*

    Severn Trent,
Domino's Pizza
United Utilities
   

 

 
 

Dividends

FTSE 100: Shell, BP, Imperial Brands, Pershing Square

FTSE 250: ICG Enterprise, Greencoat UK Wind, Impax, UK Commercial Property Rights

Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day, e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.

Index adjustments

 

Monday
12 February
Tuesday
13 February
Wednesday
14 February
Thursday
15 February
Friday
16 February
Monday
19 February
FTSE 100     12.92      
Australia 200     1.4   0.9 3.6
Wall Street   4.9 35.5 9.5    
US 500 0.62 0.93 1.04 0.94   0.18
Nasdaq   3.26 1.88 0.49    
Netherlands 25     1.32      
EU Stocks 50   0.2        
China H-Shares            
Singapore Blue Chip   0.28        
Hong Kong HS50            
South Africa 40            
Italy 40         2.4  
Japan 225            

* Please note these can change without notice

 

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