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10/06/21 10:53
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By AntonioMontana337 · Posted
I don't know but it looks like a really awesome service Because I have come across all sorts of mixers in my work -
Charting the Markets: 2 June Indices rally as US agrees debt ceiling bill. EUR/USD, GBP/USD rally while EUR/GBP stabilises as US debt ceiling bill is passed. And WTI recoups recent losses while gold, silver on track for first weekly advance. Axel Rudolph FSTA | Senior Financial Analyst, London | Publication date: Friday 02 June 2023 This is here for you to catch up but if you have any ideas on markets or events you want us to relay to the TV team we’re more than happy to. -
It was a blockbuster number yesterday for the ADP private payrolls, showing 278,000 jobs opened in May, while forecasts had been for 170,000. Jeremy Naylor | Analyst, London | Publication date: Friday 02 June 2023 IGTV’s Jeremy Naylor suggests a similar upside surprise could see almost 300,000 jobs created under the non-farm payroll count with estimates for 190,000 job creations. The unemployment rate is seen rising one notch to 3.5%. (Video Transcript) NPFs: what to expect Could yesterday's strong private payrolls number from the ADP reading give us an insight into the potential upside risk to today's non-farm payrolls? That report from ADP yesterday showed 278,000 jobs opened in May - forecasts had been for 170,000. Now the NFP expectations, 190,000 job creations are forecast for the month of May proportionately using that ADP surprise. That would mean an upside reading for NFPs close to 300,000. Why the increase? Now, the unemployment rate is seen rising one notch to 3.5%. Why is that rising? When you've got that rise in the number of job creations, the unemployment rate is not taking the same data that the jobs numbers themselves are being produced from average hourly earnings. We're looking there for that to go up 0.3% month-on-month, 4.4% year-on-year, still below the rate of inflation. Now, this chart shows the unemployment rate back to pre-Covid-19 levels. It's clear that jobs have been created at an appreciable rate and this alongside a relatively strong GDP number and inflation coming down, there may yet be a soft landing for the US economy. But if the Federal Reserve (Fed) does continue to raise rates, things may get a little bit more sticky for the economy and a little bit more difficult to predict. This is a comparison of fed funds rates and US consumer price inflation (CPI) since January 2021. So you can see here the rate at which the US central bank has been piling the pressure on the monetary markets with that rise to five and a quarter percent. And at the same time, the CPI number is coming down, which is a good thing, but it's still not down to the 2% level, 4.9% is a long way away still from the 2% target. So the Fed is entitled still to have an excuse to raise interest rates. US dollar basket Let's take a look at what's been happening with the US dollar basket. Yesterday, we saw a pullback coming through as we saw money going into risk assets because of that rubber stamping from the Senate or the vote in the Senate to approve the budget that's now gone for the presidential seal. EUR/USD And we've seen a second day in a row of losses or the euro for the dollar basket as far as the euro/dollar is concerned, bouncing away from that 76.4% retracement. And I think now, you will have been stopped out if you were short on this, you would have been stopped out on this and hopefully you would have got some profits on the way down. So that's where things are ahead of non-farm payrolls out today at 13:30 UK time. And we will be live on the IG platform at 13:25 today.
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Question
ThirdTimesACharm
Hi everyone, let me cut to the chase.
*Removed upon request*
If you could help with any of my questions below, I'd be very grateful:
General
Q1) What books would you recommend to get better at trading CFDs?
Q2) What books would you recommend to learn about Futures?
Q3) What books would you recommend to understand the Commodities markets?
Underlying assets
Q4a) What is the underlying asset the Natural Gas price is derived from (my best guess is Henry Hub on CME)?
Being an amateur I was not aware there are multiple gas trading hubs with vastly different exposure to world events. Not knowing this certainly contributed to my failings.
Q4b) More generally, is there a list somewhere or a method to determine the asset and market behind any given CFD product on IG?
Q5) What is the underlying asset behind the UK Natural Gas product? My guess is NBP on ICE but the liquidity is extremely low.
Market data
Q6) Does IG provide paid access to real-time quotes (Level 1) and market depth (Level 2) data for futures on commodity markets like CME or NYMEX? Because these are not listed anywhere in the Data Feeds section in Settings.
Q7) Naturally, the above makes me wonder, is pricing (bid/ask) data delayed by 10 minutes (let's call it Level 0) or is it real-time?
Q8) Does "Data is indicative" disclaimer (displayed in the bottom left corner on each chart) mean the charts can be vastly off the actual market data? Is there some sort of error rate or accuracy level that IG can guarantee?
Feel free to offer other advice as well if you wish. I appreciate it.
Thank you in advance and have a wonderful day.
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