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Sentiment study with Monte: DAX 40 vs. FTSE 100 - where to invest in 2024?


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Embark on a captivating journey with us in the next installment of our Sentiment Study series, as we delve into the intriguing worlds of the FTSE 100 and the DAX 40—also known as the Germany 40 in IG's trading realm.

 

Written by: Monte Safieddine | Market analyst, Dubai
 
Publication date: 

Today, we're peeling back the layers of market sentiment to reveal a fascinating contrast: a prevailing inclination towards bullish positions among IG's clients in one index, juxtaposed with a strategic dance of range-trading in the other.

As we navigate through this tale of two indices, we'll uncover the underlying currents that drive investor behavior and market dynamics. Join us as we dissect the reasons behind the steadfast confidence in one market and the cautious maneuvering in another, offering you a richer understanding and sharper insights to refine your trading strategy.

 

 

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Australia Pty Ltd. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.

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    • Coffee Elliott Wave Analysis Function - Counter-Trend Mode - Correction Structure - Double Zigzag for blue Y Position - Wave C of (B) Direction - Wave C of (B) is still in progress Details - We recounted Coffee on all time frames. However, we expect the commodity to ascend after completing the zigzag wave (B) around the Fibonacci reversal zone of 212.9-203.9. Invalidation level is at 192.30. Coffee Elliott Wave Analysis Overview: In the long term, Coffee prices have been on a bullish run since October 2023. Despite several pullbacks, each previous top has been consistently breached. The last top was made in April 2024 at 245.5, followed by a decline to 192.3 within three weeks, extending to May 7th. Notable recoveries started from there. However, prices have yet to breach 245.5 to confirm the continuation of the bullish sequence from October 2023.   Daily Chart Analysis: Since January 2023, a double zigzag structure has been unfolding. Wave W (circled) finished on April 18th at 245.5, and the corresponding wave X (circled) was completed at 192.3 on May 7th, where wave Y (circled) began. Wave (A) of Y appears to have concluded with the impulse surge to the current peak in June 2024. Prices are now correcting into wave (B). If wave (B) completes above 192.3, buyers should gain the advantage to push prices higher, especially above the 245.5 top.   H4 Chart Analysis: On the H4 chart, wave (B) is subdividing into a zigzag structure, potentially completing around the 212.9-203.9 Fibonacci zone before turning upside in wave (C) above 245.5. Alternatively, prices might move sideways between the 245.5 and 192.3 extremes, suggesting a triangle structure for wave X (circled).   Summary: In conclusion, Coffee prices remain bullish with potential for further gains, contingent on the completion of the current corrective wave (B). Technical Analyst : Sanmi Adeagbo Source : Tradinglounge.com get trial here!  
    • I have not tried AI for analysis; it is exciting to me, but unclear. It would be interesting to see some kind of training video with an example of use.
    • Thank you for the in-depth and detailed analysis with the graph.
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