Jump to content

Immediate Impact of Global Economic Factors on ASX 200


Recommended Posts

The current global economic uncertainty has increased significantly, with consecutive declines in the US stock market and surging US Treasury yields putting pressure on global stock markets. Particularly for the Australian ASX 200 index, these factors directly influence investor confidence and market dynamics. Thomas McGee mentioned that the "higher for longer" rate policy of US may lead to global liquidity tightening, affecting liquidity and stock performance in the Australian market. Furthermore, historic highs in copper prices also indicate potential cost pressures and profitability challenges for resource-intensive markets like ASX 200.

1713852036406.jpg.940db4eb5541e94d0e4aa0bcf8c94a73.jpg

Performance Releases of Mining Giants and Market Expectations
With several mining giants set to announce their March quarter financial results, market focus has shifted to the performance of these companies and their potential impact on the stock market. Thomas McGee believes that these results not only provide crucial information about industry health but also guide market sentiment and investment decisions. Against the backdrop of potential global demand slowdown, the production and profit performance of these mining companies will be a key focus for investors. Additionally, this serves as an important indicator to assess whether market expectations for future economic conditions are overly pessimistic.

Investment Strategies and Market Outlook
Considering the current global economic situation and domestic market dynamics, Thomas McGee emphasizes that investors need to adopt more cautious strategies and pay attention to changes in macroeconomic indicators and industry fundamentals. For ASX 200 investors, this means potentially adjusting portfolios and prioritizing industries that can withstand economic fluctuations and policy changes. Furthermore, maintaining sensitivity to changes in international financial markets and timely adjusting strategies will be crucial in addressing future market challenges. Through continuous market analysis and prudent risk management, investors can find opportunities for growth and returns in an unstable market environment.

Link to comment

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • image.png

  • Posts

    • Hi @CharlotteIG I sold my last shares on Monday this week and they have still not settled.  Could you take a look please?  Thanks.
    • From the investor's perspective it seems a fantastic idea but I don't think it could happen. Even if it happens, it would be like a gimmick in which they reduce your own money from investment and then add them back and show them as if it's the interest on your original investment. Crypto is not meant to be a stable investment option and it seems very unlikely that such a thing could be possible. I don't have too much knowledge of economics but I can say that such a thing is not feasible.
    • Gold Elliott Wave Analysis  Function - Trend Mode - Impulse Structure - Impulse wave Position -Wave 4 Direction - Wave 5 Details - Wave 5 still struggles around the Fibonacci support zone. A diagonal seems to be developing for blue wave ‘c’ of 4. Still needs a sharp break out of the diagonal for wave 5 to begin. Invalidation remains at 2245.17. Gold’s price trajectory stands as a resolute testament to bullish sentiment, with a clear resurgence in the long-term uptrend since its nadir in September 2024, bottoming out at 1616. Since this pivotal low, the precious metal has demonstrated remarkable resilience, marking a gain exceeding 40%. Yet, a correction in this bullish trajectory commenced on April 12, 2024. Noteworthy is the corrective nature of this pullback, hinting that it is merely a transient pause before the commodity recommences its ascent to new highs.   Delving into the daily chart through an Elliott wave lens, the 1616 bottom signifies the completion of the supercycle degree wave (IV). The ensuing rally represents wave (V) of the same degree, unfolding in an impulse fashion. The initiation of wave III of (IV) from the October 2023 low at 1810 has progressed in a robust impulse, presently navigating the intermediate wave (3) within primary wave 3 (blue circled). Therefore, ample runway remains before the culmination of wave (V). Simplifying our analysis, attention is best directed towards the intermediate wave (3), currently undergoing a corrective phase labeled as wave 4, projected to find support within the 2315.5-2246 Fibonacci zone.   Turning to the H4 chart, two potential corrective scenarios emerge:   1st Scenario   The first scenario illustrates a zigzag pattern originating from the 2432 peak. Here, blue wave ‘c’ completes an ending diagonal, with confirmation of bullish momentum anticipated at 2353 for the onset of wave 4. However, this diagonal would be invalidated if prices dip below 2258.9.   2nd Scenario   Conversely, the second scenario portrays a double zigzag structure unfolding from the 2432 peak, possibly extending to the 38.2-50% Fibonacci retracement range of wave 3 at 2246-2191 before wave 4 concludes and wave 5 initiates.   In summation, while Gold’s price trajectory remains bullish, it currently experiences a corrective setback. A breach above 2353 would favor the first scenario, whereas a breach below 2258.8 would nullify it, ushering in the second scenario, projected to find support within the 2246-2191 zone. After wave 4, the resumption of wave 5 should propel prices to fresh highs.         Technical Analyst : Sanmi Adeagbo Source : Tradinglounge.com get trial here!    
×
×
  • Create New...
us