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The Week Ahead On The Markets


MongiIG

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Week commencing 13 May

Chris Beauchamp's insight

US inflation, particularly consumer price index (CPI), will be the main events of the week, though the UK employment data and German ZEW will also be worth monitoring. Key earnings this week include Vodafone in the UK, and Siemens in Europe, plus Walmart in the US.

 

Economic reports

  • Weekly view

Monday

2.30am – Australia NAB business confidence (April): index expected to rise to 2 from 1. Markets to watch: AUD crosses


Tuesday

7am – UK employment data: March unemployment rate to hold at 4.2%, average earnings forecast to rise 5.9% for the three months to March (excl. bonus). Markets to watch: GBP crosses

10am – German ZEW index (May):
 index forecast to rise to 45 from 42.9. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US PPI (April): prices expected to rise 0.2% MoM and 2.2% YoY, from 0.2% and 2.1% respectively. Markets to watch: USD crosses


Wednesday

1.30pm – US CPI (April): prices forecast to rise 0.3% MoM and 3.5% YoY, from 0.4% and 3.5% respectively. Core CPI to rise 0.3% from 0.4% MoM and 3.7% from 3.8% YoY. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 10 May): previous week saw stockpiles fall by 1.36 million barrels. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI


Thursday

12.50am – Japan GDP (Q1, preliminary): QoQ rate forecast to be 0.1% and YoY 0.3%, from 0.1% and 0.4%. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

2.30am – Australia employment data (April): unemployment rate expected to rise to 3.9% from 3.8%. Markets to watch: AUD crosses

1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 11 May): 
claims expected to rise by 225K, from 231K. Markets to watch: USD crosses


Friday

3am – China industrial production & retail sales (April): production expected to rise 4.8% from 4.5%, and sales to rise 3.2% from 3.1%. Markets to watch: CNH crosses

 

Company announcements

 

 

Monday
13 May

Tuesday
14 May

Wednesday
15 May

Thursday
16 May

Friday
17 May

Full-year earnings

  Vodafone,
BooHoo
Burberry BT,
United Utilities
Land Securities

Half/ Quarterly earnings

  Flutter Entertainment,
Home Depot
Imperial Brands,
Compass,
TUI,
ThyssenKrupp,
Cisco
Sage,
Grainger,
Siemens,
Walmart
 

Trading update*

  Greggs      

 

 
 

Dividends

FTSE 100: Pershing Square, Bunzl, Kingfisher, Tesco, Unilever, Whitbread, GSK, Shell, BP

FTSE 250: Murray Income Trust, RHI Magnesita, Spectris, PageGroup, Balfour Beatty, Essentra

Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day, e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.

 

Monday
13 May
Tuesday
14 May
Wednesday
15 May
Thursday
16 May
Friday
17 May
Monday
20 May
FTSE 100            
Australia 200     0.2     0.5
Wall Street   4.9 36.0   8.1  
US 500 0.78 1.01 1.11 0.21 0.45 0.14
Nasdaq 1.11 2.85 3.37 0.20 0.29 0.32
Netherlands 25   0.13 2.74   0.2  
EU Stocks 50   1.0 5.9 0.2 6.6 7.1
China H-Shares       5.5    
Singapore Blue Chip            
Hong Kong HS50 4.7   2.4 16.0   2.7
South Africa 40   40.2        
Italy 40         502.1  
Japan 225            

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