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The Week Ahead On The Markets


MongiIG

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The Week Ahead

Read about upcoming market-moving events and plan your trading week

 
 

Week commencing 16 August

Chris Beauchamp's insight

For economic news it is still a relatively busy week, including gross domestic product (GDP) numbers from Japan and the eurozone, and consumer price index (CPI) for the UK and Japan, and a variety of unemployment figures. In addition, Fed minutes will provide further fuel for the ongoing discussion over inflation and whether it will be a transitory phenomenon or not, a debate enlivened by this week’s CPI and PPI figures in the US. Corporate-wise however it is much quieter, as earnings season in the US really begins to wind down and with few major UK numbers. However, miners BHP and Antofagasta will report numbers, along with housebuilder Persimmon, plus Cisco and NVIDIA in the US. Video

 

Economic reports

  • Weekly view

Monday

12.50am - Japan GDP (Q2, preliminary): expected to be 0.2% QoQ and 0.7% YoY. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

3am – China industrial production, retail sales (July): production to rise 7.8% Yoy and sales to rise 11.5% YoY. Markets to watch: China indices, CNH crosses

1.30pm – US Empire State mfg index (August): index to fall to 35. Markets to watch: USD crosses

 

Tuesday

7am – UK employment data: July claimant count to fall to 112,000, while unemployment rate falls to 4.4% from 4.8% for June. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

10am – eurozone GDP (Q2, second estimate): growth to be 2% QoQ and 13.7% YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US retail sales (July): sales to fall 0.2% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses

 

Wednesday

7am – UK CPI (July): prices to rise 2.6% YoY and 0.5% MoM, and core CPI to rise 2.3%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

1.30pm – Canada CPI (July): prices expected to rise 3.1% YoY. Markets to watch: CAD crosses

1.30pm – US housing starts & building permits (July): starts to rise 1.1% and permits to rise 0.7% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses

3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 13 August): stockpiles fell by 447,000 barrels last week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI

7pm – FOMC minutes: while policy was left unchanged at the last meeting, these will provide a chance to see how the discussion unfolded, especially regarding the economic recovery and changes in inflation. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

 

Thursday

2.30am – Australia employment data (July): unemployment rate to rise to 5% from 4.9%. Markets to watch: AUD crosses

1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 14 August): claims fell to 375K in the previous week. Markets to watch: USD crosses

 

Friday

12.30am – Japan CPI (July): prices to rise 0.1% YoY. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

7am – UK retail sales (July): sales rose 9.7% YoY in June. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

 

 

Company announcements

 

 

Monday
16 August

Tuesday
17 August

Wednesday
18 August

Thursday
19 August

Friday
20 August

Full-year earnings

 

BHP Group

 

 

 

Half/ Quarterly earnings

 

Home Depot,
Walmart

Persimmon,
Balfour Beatty,
Target,
Nvidia,
Cisco

 

Antofagasta

 

Foot Locker

 

Trading update

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dividends

FTSE 100: Imperial Brands, Ashtead, Pershing Square, GlaxoSmithKline, Anglo American, Schroders, HSBC, Hikma, London Stock Exchange, Abrdn, M&G, Phoenix Group, Prudential

FTSE 250: Chemring, Dixons Carphone, Rotork, Civitas, ContourGlobal, CLS Holdings, TI Fluid Systems

 

Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day, e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.

 

Index adjustments

  Monday
16 August
Tuesday
17 August
Wednesday
18 August
Thursday
19 August
Friday
20 August
Monday
23 August
FTSE 100  

 

20.94      
Australia 200 15.3 0.1 0.7   2.7 1.3
Wall Street   12.5 12.9   7.0  
US 500 0.28 0.84 0.39 0.12 0.40 0.02
Nasdaq 0.13 2.93 0.70     0.06
Netherlands 25       0.14    
EU Stocks 50            
China H-Shares         1.6  
Singapore Blue Chip   0.14 0.11   0.02  
Hong Kong HS50 1.8   23.8     12.1
South Africa 40   389.4       0.3
Italy 40            
Japan 225            

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