Hawkish Bank of England (BoE) Hikes Rates by 0.25%, Sterling Jumps
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By tradinglounge · Posted
Gold Elliott Wave Analysis Function - Trend Mode - Impulse Structure - Impulse wave Position -Wave 4 Direction - Wave 5 Details - Wave 4 has reached the extreme area and bounced off the 2300 MG1. We will expect wave 5 to progress higher. However, it’s still in the early stages. Invalidation below 2245.17. Gold has undergone a retracement since its peak on April 12th, following a remarkable surge to a fresh all-time high. Despite this pullback, the underlying bullish momentum remains robust and is anticipated to reassert itself once the corrective phase concludes. In today's analysis, we delve into the potential areas where Gold may discover the necessary support to propel its next upward movements. Zooming into the daily chart, our Elliott Wave analysis commences with identifying an impulse wave sequence originating from the low at 1614, marking the termination of wave (IV) at the supercycle degree back in September 2022. Presently, the supercycle wave V is unfolding, currently navigating through the third leg of the cycle degree, denoted as wave III. Within this wave III, classified as an impulse wave, we find ourselves within the third sub-wave, indicated as blue wave '3' of primary degree, further delineated into wave (3) of intermediate degree. Within this intricate structure, the price action appears to be nearing the culmination of minor degree wave 4. Consequently, the impulse sequence characterizing the intermediate wave (3) has yet to finalize, let alone the overarching supercycle wave (V). Thus, Gold's bullish trajectory remains firmly intact, advocating for a strategic approach of buying into the dips within this robust trend. Presently, the price appears to be undergoing a dip corresponding to wave 4 of (3), with an anticipated subsequent uptrend in wave 5. Transitioning to the H4 chart, our focus narrows on the completion of wave 4, manifesting as a zigzag pattern since the peak on April 12th. Conventionally, the termination of the third leg of a zigzag typically occurs at extensions ranging from 100% to 138.2% of the initial leg's length from the subsequent corrective move. However, an extension beyond 138.2%, particularly to 161.8%, tends to invalidate the zigzag pattern. In this context, we cautiously assert that the zigzag for wave 4 might have concluded, with a critical level of invalidation identified at 2245. Nonetheless, further confirmation is sought through the emergence of more bullish candle formations. Meanwhile, the target projection for wave 5 remains at 2500, aligning with the continuation of Gold's upward trajectory within the Elliott Wave framework. Technical Analyst : Sanmi Adeagbo Source : TradingLounge.com get trial here! -
Surprising US PMI drops contrast with Europe’s gains in services, pushing EUR/USD higher as markets recalibrate economic outlooks and monetary policy expectations. Source: Getty Forex Euro Pound sterling European Union Inflation EUR/USD Written by: Richard Snow | Analyst, DailyFX, Johannesburg Publication date: Wednesday 24 April 2024 07:28 Flash PMI data provides unflattering US outlook, Europe improves German and EU manufacturing remains depressed but encouraging rises in flash services PMI results suggest improvement in Europe. UK manufacturing slumped well into contraction, but also benefitted from another rise on the services front. It was the US that provided the most surprising numbers, witnessing a decline in services PMI and a drop into contractionary territory for manufacturing – weighing on the dollar. EUR/USD rises after us PMI shock EUR/USD responded to lackluster flash PMI data in the US by clawing back recent losses. The euro attempts to surpass the 1.0700 level after recovering from oversold territory around the swing low of 1.0600. The pair has maintained the longer-term downtrend reflective of the diverging monetary policy stances adopted by the ECB and the Fed. A strong labour market, robust growth and resurgent inflation has forced the Fed to delay its plans to cut interest rates which has strengthened the dollar against G7 currencies. The surprising US PMI data suggests the economy may not be as strong as initially anticipated and some frailties may be creeping in. However, it will take a lot more than one flash data point to reverse the narrative. If bulls take control from here, 1.07645 becomes the next upside level of interest followed by 1.0800 where the 200 SMA resides. On the downside, 1.06437 and 1.0600 remain support levels of interest if the longer-term trend is to continue. EUR/USD daily chart Source: TradingView EUR/GBP surrenders recent gains EUR/GBP rose uncharacteristically on Friday when risks of a broader conflict between Israel and Iran subsided. In addition, the Bank of England’s(BoE) Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden stated that he sees inflation falling sharply towards target in the coming months, sending a dovish signal to the market. Today the BoE’s chief Economist Huw Pill tried to walk back such sentiment, stressing that the bank needs to maintain restrictiveness in its policy stance. He did however, echo Ramsden’s remarks by saying the committee is seeing signs of a downward shift in the persistent component of the inflation dynamic. EUR/GBP appears to have found resistance around 0.8625 and has traded lower after the PMI data, even heading lower than the 200 SMA. A return to former channel resistance is potentially on the cards at 0.8578. Prices settled into the trading range as central bankers mulled incoming data and the prospect of a first rate cut appeared a fair distance away. Longer-term, the ECB is on track to cut rates in June, meaning sterling will extend its interest rate superiority and is likely to see the pair test familiar levels of support. EUR/GBP daily chart Source: TradingView This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Australia Pty Ltd. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. -
Dear @Dbass, Please note that the minimum transaction size is 0.1 contracts for most pairs: MT4 Forex products and differs from the minimum on commodities: MT4 Commodity products. Kindly have a look at the minimum sizes before attempting a trade. Thanks, KoketsoIG
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