Jump to content

Rio Tinto share price testing support after operational update


MongiIG

Recommended Posts

Rio Tinto Q3 production mostly flat, although copper output has gained.

BG_rio_tinto_34234234.jpgSource: Bloomberg
 
 Shaun Murison | Senior Market Analyst, Johannesburg | Publication date: Wednesday 19 October 2022 

Rio Tinto operational review

Rio Tinto, the UK based mining and metals company has released an operation update for the fiscal quarter and nine months ending September 2022.

Salient feature of the update are as follows:

  • Pilbara iron ore shipments down 1% against Q3 and 9 months 2021 comparisons

  • Pilbara iron ore production up 1% against Q3 2021 and 0% vs 9 month 2021 comparisons

  • Bauxite production down 2% against Q3 2021 and up 1% vs 9 month 2021 comparisons

  • Aluminium production down 2% against Q3 2021 and 7% vs 9 month 2021 comparisons

  • Mined copper production up 10% against Q3 2021 and 8% vs 9 month 2021 comparisons

  • IOC iron ore pellets and concentrate production up 28% against Q3 2021 and 8% vs 9 month 2021 comparisons

Forward guidance

Full year production guidance for bauxite, alumina, aluminium, mined copper, diamonds, iron ore pellets and concentrates remain unchanged.

Plibara iron ore shipments are now expected to err towards the lower end of the 320 to 335 previously guided range.

Refined copper production guidance has been lowered to between 190 to 220 from 230 to 290.

Broker ratings and price targets

101822_RIO.pngSource: Refinitiv

Data compiled from Refinitiv Workspace shows the consensus of 25 broker ratings on Rio Tinto to be a hold as of the 19th October 2022.

The long term price target mean of GBP55.97 suggests the current price of the share to be at a 19% discount to what is considered a longer term fair value for the company.

Client sentiment

101822_ClientSentiment.pngSource: IG

As of the 19th October 2022, 92% of IG clients with open positions on Rio Tinto expect the price to rise in the near term while 8% expect the price to fall in the near term.

Rio Tinto- Technical View

101822_RIOtv.pngSource: IG Charts

The share price of Rio Tinto currently trades in a broad range between levels 4420 (support) and 5150 (resistance).

The price is now moving towards tentative trend line support (dotted trend line), a break of which (confirmed with a close below) would suggest 4550 and 4420 as respective downside support targets.

Due to the share price being in a broad rangebound environment and trading closer towards historical support levels, our preference is to wait to enter new long positions on the stock.

Before finding long entry, we would like to see a bullish price reversal at one of our support levels (trend line, 4550 or 4420). In this scenario, the reversal low could be used as a stop loss indication, while targeting a move back towards the 5150-resistance level.

In summary:

  • Full year production guidance for most of the group’s commodities remain unchanged
  • Plibara iron ore shipments are now expected to err towards the lower end of the 320 to 335 previously guided range.
  • Refined copper production guidance has been lowered to between 190 to 220 from 230 to 290.
  • The average broker rating on the stock is ‘hold’
  • Most IG clients with open positions on the stock expect the price to rise in the near term
  • The price is currently testing support while in a rangebound environment
Link to comment

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • image.png

  • Posts

    • lower, as suggested
    • Cardano (ADA) has been a hot topic among crypto enthusiasts, especially with predictions that it could hit $10 in the next bull run. Let’s take a closer look at the numbers, the current market situation, and what experts are saying about ADA’s future potential. Current Cardano (ADA) Price and Market Performance Current Price: Cardano ADA is currently priced at $0.33 per Coinpedia Markets. 24-Hour Performance: In the last 24 hours, ADA has dropped by 5.30%, with a trading volume of $314,728,694. Weekly Growth: Despite the recent dip, ADA has spiked over 5% in the past week. Price Targets and Key Levels Experts believe Cardano has the potential for a significant rally. Here’s a breakdown of the key levels to watch: Immediate Resistance: ADA needs to break above the $0.3458 resistance level for any upward momentum. Short-Term Target: If ADA can push through $0.3458, it could rally past the $0.50 mark. Bullish Potential: Price action experts say ADA could even reach $1.50 before November if the momentum continues. Long-Term Target: Looking ahead, some believe ADA could hit $10 during the next major bull run. What’s Fueling This Optimism? The Cardano ecosystem has been buzzing with activity. One recent development that could drive ADA’s growth is the launch of a highly anticipated decentralized application (dApp) called Snake.Fun. This dApp is expected to boost the Cardano network’s usage, leading to higher trading volumes for ADA. Analysts from the DeFi sector are optimistic, stating that if Cardano maintains its current growth trajectory, the $10 price target could be achievable in the long term. The Market Share Debate: Has Cardano Bottomed Out? Rick McCracken, a key figure in the Cardano community, recently sparked a debate by asking his followers about ADA’s market share dominance. Here’s what we know: ADA’s Market Share: For the last two months (since July), Cardano’s market share has stabilized at 0.6%. Community Opinions: Some community members believe ADA has bottomed out, signaling a potential rebound. Others are more cautious, suggesting that ADA needs to grow and retest the 0.77% level to confirm a bottom. Despite the mixed opinions, there’s a sense of cautious optimism among ADA holders. Even Rick McCracken himself believes that the next bull market could change the game for Cardano. What’s Next for Cardano? The future looks promising, but ADA still has some hurdles to clear. Breaking above the $0.3458 resistance level is key for any sustained upward movement. If that happens, a rally toward $1.50 could be on the horizon before the year ends. However, the real question remains: Can Cardano (ADA) reach $10 in the next bull run? While the answer isn’t set in stone, the current growth within the ecosystem, along with the market’s cautious optimism, suggests that it’s a possibility worth considering. Conclusion: Is $10 Achievable? The journey to $10 won’t be easy, but it’s not out of the question. If Cardano can break through key resistance levels and continue to grow its ecosystem, the next bull run could push ADA to new heights. For now, keep an eye on the charts and watch for signs of a breakout above $0.3458—if that happens, Cardano’s rally could just be getting started.  
    • ASX: WOOLWORTHS GROUP LIMITED - WOW Elliott Elliott Wave Technical Analysis TradingLounge Greetings, Our Elliott Wave analysis today updates the Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) with WOOLWORTHS GROUP LIMITED - WOW. We see WOW is probably about to enter a Bull Market phase with wave ((iiii))-navy of wave 3-grey. ASX: WOOLWORTHS GROUP LIMITED - WOW 1D Chart (Semilog Scale) Analysis Function: Major trend (Intermediate degree, orange)  Mode: Motive  Structure: Impulse  Position: Wave ((ii))-navy of Wave (3)-orange.  Details: Wave ((i))-navy has just ended, and wave ((ii))-navy seems to be unfolding to push lower, aiming at targets at 34.75 - 34.32. Finally, wave ((iii))-navy will return to continue pushing higher.  Invalidation point: 32.98 ASX: WOOLWORTHS GROUP LIMITED - WOW 4-Hour Chart Analysis Function: Major trend (Minute degree, navy)  Mode: Motive  Structure: Impulse  Position: Wave (b)-orange of Wave ((ii))-navy  Details: Wave ((ii))-navy is unfolding to push lower, I don't think it's over yet, as wave (a)-orange may have just completed, and wave (b)-orange is pushing a bit higher, then wave (c)-orange may come back to push lower, targeting the low around 78.60%. Finally wave ((iii))-navy may come back to push higher.  Invalidation point: 120.59 Conclusion:  Our analysis, forecast of contextual trends, and short-term outlook for ASX: WOOLWORTHS GROUP LIMITED - WOW aim to provide readers with insights into the current market trends and how to capitalize on them effectively. We offer specific price points that act as validation or invalidation signals for our wave count, enhancing the confidence in our perspective. By combining these factors, we strive to offer readers the most objective and professional perspective on market trends. Technical Analyst: Hua (Shane) Cuong, CEWA-M (Master’s Designation). Source : Tradinglounge.com get trial here!  
×
×
  • Create New...
us