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IG Trading Summit Q4 2022


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Can Unlucky Traders be Profitable? – Daniel Dubrovsky

Often, there is an element of luck when it comes to trading. Even if your analysis is spot on, the timing is very difficult. Just look at famous investor Michael Burry from Michael Lewis’ bestseller “The Big Short”. He faced a revolt from his investors as he correctly bet against the US housing market before the bubble burst, landing him in the history books. As traders, we must be able to consider luck and timing, and there is a way to do it – with proper risk management. In this video, Daniel will cover:

• How is it that even the luckiest of traders can be unprofitable? 
• Simulating optimal risk management using millions of trades   
• Uncovering the optimal risk-reward ratios for your level of luck   

 

 

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Central Bank Driving Markets – Daniel McCarthy

Some pockets of the global financial markets appear blissfully sanguine about the risk of economic slowdown that seems due to follow as a result of aggressive monetary policy tightening by global central banks. If this remains the case, it may be that financial conditions are not restrictive enough to bring inflation down, which might bring policy officials to tighten the screws still further. In this video, Daniel shares his views on:

• Equity and bond markets may be pricing in divergent visions of the economic future 
• The inflation menace is a global one, but some markets are hurting more than others  
• If stock prices rise from here, where will that take corporate bonds spreads, and does it matter? 

 

 

 

 

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Can the Asia-Pacific region avoid a recession? – Yeap Jun Rong

As the US and other developed economies continue to step up on their monetary-tightening process, global recession risks are mounting. The moderation in external conditions has placed immense pressure on demand for Asian exports, which is the lifeline for most economies in the region. Year-to-date, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index is down by more than 25%. That said, have the worst been priced? Where may Asian markets be headed in 2023? In this video, Jun Rong shares with us:

• Key market themes in 2023
• Where are the opportunities in Asia?
• Analysis of key trading ideas in Asian currencies and indices

 

 

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    • The first half of 2024 saw the debut of spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). However, several lesser known cryptocurrencies such as BGB (annual increase of 100%, market value of US$1.6 billion); **** (annual increase of 90%, market value of US$1.5 billion), WIF (annual increase of 1,306%, market value of US$2.1 billion); PEPE (annual increase of 815%, market value of US$5 billion) also gained significant attention during this period. The overall market value of all cryptocurrencies rose by $661 billion in the first six months of 2024. BGB, the native token of the Bitget cryptocurrency exchange, was among the top 10 best-performing cryptocurrencies with a market capitalization over $1 billion in the first half of 2024. The token saw a 100% increase in its price during this period. While the exchange token is not considered a "meme coin" like some of the other top-performing tokens on the list, its significant price appreciation suggests growing investor interest and adoption of the exchange and its associated cryptocurrency. As one of the world's largest crypto exchanges, The exchange performance reflects the broader bullish sentiment in the crypto market over the first six months of 2024.
    • PixelVerse, a platform designed to transform virtual interaction is gaining traction amongst the Metaverse, Gaming, NFT and DEX enthusiasts. Out of curiosity I digged dip to get a grasp of what the project is really about.  At first glance, Pixelverse gives an aura of an encompassing ecosystem that meets digital realm needs. For instance, Metaverse enthusiasts bask in the euphoria of using PixelLaunch, a launchpad product that also offers access to innovative Metaverse and gaming experiences. The Gaming, NFT, and DEX counterparts are engrossed in PixelHouse, PixelNFT and PixelSwap; accessing a thrilling/rewarding gaming experience, an open NFT marketplace and a customised DEX respectively. Pixelverse could offer immersive virtual world experience especially for $PIXEL holders. Understandably, this vast token utility has the community anticipating the imminent listing on Bitget. Which feature are you looking to explore most?
    • Q2 Netflix earnings preview and share price analysis.   Source: Adobe images   Shares Netflix Revenue Income Streaming media Stock market   Written by: Axel Rudolph FSTA | Senior Market Analyst, London   Publication date: Wednesday 10 July 2024 17:06 Netflix's second-quarter 2024 earnings preview: the fight to stay on top As Netflix gets ready to announce its earnings for the second quarter (Q2) of 2024, investors want to know if the popular streaming service can keep attracting lots of new subscribers, make the most of its ad-supported plans, and remain the top streaming platform. When will Netflix share its latest earnings information? Netflix will reveal its April through June 2024 financial results after the stock market closes on Thursday, 18 July 2024. Another Netflix revenue increase seems to be on the cards Netflix expects its revenue to increase 16% year-over-year (YoY) to $9.49 billion in the second quarter of 2024 but analysts predict Netflix's Q2 revenue will be slightly higher at $9.53 billion. In the first quarter of 2024, Netflix's revenue was $9.37 billion, up 15% from the prior year. Earnings are also expected to rise Regarding earnings, Netflix forecasts net income of $2.06 billion, or $4.68 per share, for the second quarter of 2024 whereas analysts estimate Netflix's Q2 earnings per share will reach $4.74. For comparison, in Q2 2023, Netflix reported a net income of $1.48 billion, or $3.29 per share. Netflix's net income in quarter 1 (Q1) 2024 was $2.3 billion, or $5.28 per share. Further revenue growth in the pipeline YoY Netflix expects 21% FX-neutral revenue growth in Q2. Paid net additions are likely to be lower in Q2 than Q1 due to seasonal trends but global average revenue per membership is predicted to increase YoY in Q2 (on an FX-neutral basis). In Q1 2024, Netflix added 9.3 million net subscribers, grew global paid memberships 16% YoY to 269.6 million, and increased average revenue per membership 1% YoY (or 4% on an FX-neutral basis). Engagement remained solid despite changes like paid sharing. Netflix sales revenue chart   Source: TradingEconomics For Q2 2024, Netflix forecasts $2.52 billion in operating income and 26.6% operating margin, versus $1.82 billion and 22.3% in Q2 2023. This compares to Q1 2024 operating income of $2.63 billion and operating margin of 28.1%. LSEG Data & Analytics analyst Netflix recommendations LSEG Data & Analytics data shows a consensus analyst rating of ‘buy’ for Netflix – 11 strong buy, 18 buy, 16 hold and 1 sell (as of 10 July 2024).   Source: Refinitiv Netflix – technical view The Netflix share price, up over 45% year-to-date, is approaching its November 2021 record high at $700.99 which, since it was made near the major psychological $700 mark, probably won’t be easily overcome. Netflix monthly chart   Source: TradingView.com A rise above the $700.99 all-time high would allow for the $750 region to be in focus, though. On the daily chart, the Netflix share price has been range bound since late June but last week did rise to its current July high at $697.49, close to the $700.99 record peak. The upside is being supported by the May-to-July uptrend line at $678.42 below which good support can be spotted between the May high and the late June and early July lows at $633.78 to $662.30. While this area underpins, the short-term uptrend will remain valid. Netflix daily chart   Source: TradingView.com For a medium-term top to be formed, the Netflix share price would have to fall through its $626.44 June low. Slightly above this level, the April high at $639.00 would be expected to offer support in such a scenario.
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