Jump to content

Market update: Japanese yen makes a U-turn


Recommended Posts

Japanese yen making a U-turn against the US dollar and double top chart pattern in focus on the four-hour.

 

original-size.webpSource: Bloomberg

 

Daniel Dubrovsky | Currency Analyst, DailyFX, San Francisco | Publication date: Thursday 24 August 2023 

Yen surges against USD

The Japanese yen might be showing early warning signs that the currency might be getting ready to reverse against the US dollar. Over the past 24 hours, USD/JPY broke under the 145.07 inflection point that was established in late June. This followed the presence of negative relative strength index (RSI) divergence showing fading upside momentum.

That can, at times, precede a turn lower. Now, recent losses have exposed the 20-day moving average (MA) as immediate support. This line may reinstate the near-term upside focus. Otherwise, confirming a breakout below opens the door to extending losses. Still, keep in mind that the rising trendline from March is maintaining the broader bullish technical bias.

USD/JPY daily chart

 

original-size.webpSource: TradingView

USD/JPY technical analysis

Zooming in on the four-hour chart reveals that a double top chart pattern appears to be in play. Prices have closed under the neckline of around 145.07, and this also followed the emergence of negative RSI divergence. Confirmation is lacking at the time of publishing, but immediate support is the 100-period moving average on this timeframe.

Breaking under the line may open the door to extending losses that the double top could be insinuating. That places the focus on the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of 142.99 before the current August low of 141.50 comes into focus. Otherwise, closing above 146.56 opens the door to extending gains towards the 61.8% Fibonacci extension level of 148.27 seen on the daily chart above.

USD/JPY four-hour chart

 

japan2.pngSource: TradingView

This information has been prepared by DailyFX, the partner site of IG offering leading forex news and analysis. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.

Link to comment

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • image.png

  • Posts

    • Stock Market Indices Overview Explore key indices including S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Russell 2000, DAX 40, FTSE 100, and ASX 200, all analyzed using Elliott Wave Technical Analysis. Market Insights Following the Fed’s recent rate cut, we've identified a peak in major indices and many individual stocks, presenting a prime opportunity to enter long positions. For optimal entry prices, consider waiting until late Thursday afternoon or Friday morning, aligning with Bullish Weekly Cycle patterns. Tune into tomorrow’s video for potential setups on long trades at more favorable price levels. Stay Updated Subscribe to our newsletter and follow our expert insights to stay informed on the latest Elliott Wave developments and seize trading opportunities. Video Chapters Elliott Wave Analysis Comprehensive analysis for major indices:   00:00 SP 500 (SPX) 10:11 NASDAQ (NDX) 13:03 Russell 2000 (RUT) IWM ETF 15:27 DAX 40 (DAX) 19:39 FTSE 100 UKX (UK100) 21:53 S&P/ASX 200 (XJO) 28:41 End Analyst Peter Mathers TradingLounge Source: tradinglounge com  Federal Funds Rate Update The Federal Reserve has slashed interest rates by 50 basis points to 5%, aiming to stimulate economic growth and support businesses. This significant rate drop can lower borrowing costs, boost consumer spending, and enhance investment opportunities. Stay updated on how the Fed’s decision impacts markets and your finances. Contract Month Expiration Most major U.S. equity index futures, including S&P 500 (ES), Nasdaq-100 (NQ), and Dow Jones (YM), expire on the third Friday of their respective contract months. For September, the futures will expire on the third Friday of September.        
    • Shiba Inu (SHIB) experienced an extraordinary surge in January 2021, skyrocketing by 45,131%. Despite its fall from an all-time high of $0.00008845 in October 2021, data from Coinpedia Markets shows SHIB is still up by a staggering 1,028,241% from its launch price in August 2020. As of Writing Shiba Inu was trading at  0.00001308 With 1.21% Loss in the Last 24 Hours  In recent months, Shiba Inu, like many other cryptocurrencies, has been in bearish territory. However, this hasn’t dampened investor enthusiasm. According to CoinMarketCap, 80% of Shiba Inu community members remain bullish on the token’s future. Positive Sentiment and Breakout Predictions Shiba Inu’s community remains optimistic, with several analysts predicting an imminent breakout. One analyst noted the contraction of SHIB’s Bollinger Bands as a signal of potential price movement. Trader Dexter recently forecasted that Shiba Inu could reach a price of $0.00015, sparking further interest in the token. Potential Returns on Shiba Inu Investment Although some argue that SHIB may not replicate its 2021 rally, even a fraction of that growth could result in substantial gains. Let’s break down potential returns from an investment of $1,000 at different growth rates. At SHIB’s current price of $0.0000138, a $1,000 investment would buy 72,463,768 tokens. If SHIB rises by 1,000%, the price would jump to $0.0001518, turning a $1,000 investment into $11,000. A 10,000% increase would take SHIB’s price to $0.001393, yielding $100,999 on a $1,000 investment. Shiba Inu may have seen ups and downs, but its community remains optimistic about its future. With potential breakouts on the horizon and the possibility of significant returns, SHIB continues to be a token worth watching in the crypto market.
    • Over the past year and a half, Tron (TRX) has shown impressive growth, with its value increasing by 80% despite some market corrections. Here’s a quick breakdown of Tron’s price action and recent developments: Price Movement: TRX reached a high of $0.17 last month before retracing by 8%, finding support at $0.147. After some fluctuation, it currently sits in the $0.15 range, showing signs of a positive trend. Bullish Indicators: This week, TRX has posted gains, with increased trading volatility signaling a potential rebound. The daily chart suggests a “buy” signal, indicating a bullish impulsive phase may be starting. If this momentum continues, Tron coin could rise to $0.20 in the next few days. Stable Growth: Despite market ups and downs, Tron has been relatively steady, thanks to its strong DeFi ecosystem, efficient DApps, and fast transaction times. These factors help TRX remain competitive, even as new players enter the market. Justin Sun Challenges Coinbase Over PoR Tron’s founder, Justin Sun, has been vocal in his criticism of Coinbase’s approach to Proof-of-Reserve (PoR). Here's what's happening: PoR Debate: Sun expressed confusion over Coinbase’s refusal to adopt PoR, especially after the exchange launched its cbBTC product. Sun pointed out that major exchanges like Binance have embraced PoR, questioning why Coinbase considers it “unfeasible.” Transparency Concerns: Sun emphasized that the crypto community isn’t asking for perfection but simply for more transparency. He believes that revealing wallet addresses is a simple task that can foster trust within the industry, especially in the wake of the FTX collapse. Trust Issues: Sun also raised concerns about relying solely on audit firms for security, stating that being a public company doesn’t guarantee protection from bankruptcy. He mentioned the collapse of Signature Bank as an example, highlighting the need for self-regulation in the crypto space. Tron’s Long-Term Potential Looking ahead, Tron continues to show promise as a long-term investment. Its strong developer base and wide range of applications, from games to entertainment, make it an attractive option in the competitive cryptocurrency landscape. With Justin Sun pushing for more transparency and the continued development of Tron’s ecosystem, TRX remains one of the few cryptocurrencies trading steadily and positioned for future growth.
×
×
  • Create New...
us