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Market update: August swing low nears for gold share price while silver faces 2022 trendline

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Gold prices remain focused lower as resistance holds and silver faces key rising support since September 2022.


original-size.webpSource: Bloomberg


Daniel Dubrovsky | Currency Analyst, DailyFX, San Francisco | Publication date: Friday 15 September 2023 05:00

XAU/USD technical analysis

Spot Gold prices have been aiming cautiously lower in recent days, extending the broader decline since May. Guiding the yellow metal lower has been a falling trendline from May. Recently, XAU/USD rejected the former rising support line from November as it intersected with the descending trendline, opening the door to a downward resumption.

Now, gold is facing the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of 1903.46 as immediate support. Breaking lower would expose the August swing low of 1884. Clearing under the latter opens the door to downtrend resumption, exposing the midpoint of the Fibonacci retracement level of 1848.37. Otherwise, turning higher places the focus on the 1936.90 inflection point.

Gold daily chart


original-size.webpSource: TradingView

XAG/USD technical analysis

Meanwhile, things are also looking interesting for silver. After a series of more pronounced losses compared to gold, XAG/USD now finds itself testing a rising range of support from September 2022. This zone is also closely aligned with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 22.29. Given this key support juncture, a bounce higher is possible.

That would open the door to extending consolidation since March. Immediate resistance is the midpoint of the Fibonacci retracement at 23.02. Pushing higher would subsequently expose the falling zone of resistance from April. If the latter holds, silver may prolong its broadly neutral technical bias. Otherwise, clearing support exposes the 78.6% level at 21.24.

Silver daily chart


original-size.webpSource: TradingView





This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Australia Pty Ltd. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.

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