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Market update: gold and silver after the Fed

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Gold and silver prices have been pressured by the Fed rate decision, with both precious metals turning lower towards key rising support.


original-size.webpSource: Bloomberg

 Daniel Dubrovsky | Currency Analyst, DailyFX, San Francisco | Publication date: Thursday 21 September 2023 05:30

XAU/USD technical analysis

Gold and silver prices have turned lower in the aftermath of the Federal Reserve monetary policy announcement. There, Chair Jerome Powell basically alluded to a ‘higher for longer’ approach, causing financial markets to price in a higher terminal Federal Funds rate and pushing back expectations of rate cuts further down the time horizon.

In response, Treasury yields and the US dollar rose, working together to pressure precious metals, like gold and silver, lower. On the daily chart below, XAU/USD rejected a recently formed, near-term falling trendline from June. That has opened the door to revisiting rising support from April, which is closely aligned with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of 1903.46.

Clearing under the latter would open the door to a stronger bearish technical bias. Otherwise, pushing above near-term falling resistance exposes the 23.6% level of 1971.63.

XAU/USD daily chart


original-size.webpSource: TradingView

XAG/USD technical analysis

Meanwhile, silver faces a similar predicament in the wake of the Fed. Higher borrowing costs for longer and a stronger Greenback will likely pressure XAG/USD.

On the daily chart, silver can be seen turning back lower towards the rising range of support from August. Broadly speaking, XAG/USD has been consolidating between this rising support and a range of falling resistance from March.

As such, the broader technical outlook remains neutral. But, the fundamental consequences of the Fed on silver could open the door to an extended move lower. As such, keep a close eye on rising support. Breaking lower exposes the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of 21.24.

XAG/USD daily chart


original-size.webpSource: TradingView



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