Jump to content
Sign in to follow this  

Nikkei 225 Daily Bets on daily close

Recommended Posts

26th October Nikkei 225 Reds win easy today maybe should not have said that

Share this post


Link to post

Hey  

 

Thanks for your posts regarding the Nikkei (or the Japan 225 on the platform). When you are making your trade decisions what specifically are you looking for? Do you focus on technical analysis or look at the fundamentals as well? What are your thoughts on the Japan 225's ~13% gains over the last couple of months? 

Share this post


Link to post

Just how easy it has been to predict NIKKEI 225 close within 2 minutes of open between September 01 and November 24

 

November Stats

24N,22Y,21Y,20Y,17Y,16N,15N,14Y,13Y,10Y,09N,08Y,07Y,06Y,02Y,01Y,

 

October Stats

31N,30Y,27Y,26Y,25Y,24N,23Y,20N,19Y,18Y,17Y,16Y,13Y,12Y,11N,10=,06Y,05Y,04Y,03Y,02Y,

 

September Stats

29Y,28Y,27Y,26Y,25Y,22N,21Y,20Y,19Y,15N,14Y,13N,12Y,11Y,08Y,07Y,06Y,05=,04Y,01Y,

 

Key

 

Underlined numbers indicate no cross over previous days close / Y means got close right within two minutes of open / N means got close wrong within two minutes of open / = means 50/50

 

Stats

 

Over 57 trading days 11 mistakes were made using my algorithms of which nine were made when the market opened down

 

Longest wining sequence using my algorithms 10 Days (HAPPENED ONCE)

 

Longest loosing sequence using my algorithms 2 Days (HAPPENED ONCE)

 

Of the 29 days when the price did cross over the previous days close there were seven mistakes using my algorithms

 

Longest wining sequence using my algorithms crossing over previous days close 9 Days (HAPPENED ONCE)

 

Longest loosing sequence using my algorithms crossing over previous days close 2 Days (HAPPENED ONCE)

 

Of the 28 Days when the price did not cross over the previous days close there were four mistakes using my algorithms

 

Longest wining sequence using my algorithms with no crossing over previous days close 15 Days (HAPPENED ONCE)

 

Longest loosing sequence using my algorithms with no crossing over previous days close 2 Days (HAPPENED ONCE)

 

Interesting extra note:

 

Of the nineteen days out of 57 when the market opened up or down over 100 points only once did it not end in the same direction. Five of the eleven mistakes using my algorythms happened when the market opened up or down over 100 points !!!

 

Longest winning sequence using my algorythms for market days when markets open up or down over 100 points six days (HAPPENED ONCE)

 

Longest loosing sequence using my algorythms for market days when markets open up or down over 100 points one day (HAPPENED FIVE TIMES)

 

Interesting extra note (added Mon 27th Nov.):

 

My algorythms got it right 27 Nov. I thought it best to stay out of the market because of the statistic above which indicated that if the market opens up or down over 100 points it should close the day in that same diretion i.e there was conflict in my decision making process. 100 points was a psychological figure that I'd chosen. As the market is now between 22,000 and 23,000 I think it would have been better to fix a point in multiples of 22 or 11. Therefore, a move of over 110 (5 x 22) or 121 (11 x 11) may have been a better choice because yesterday Mon. 27th Nov. the market only opened up 106 points. My algorithms would have worked best with 110 but no harm picking 121.

 

Do you think introducing point and figure charts based on closing and opening prices (secs, mins, hrs, dys, mths) would help ?

 

Enjoy!!!

 

 

 

Share this post


Link to post

Looking at the big picture I use the numbers 34 500 800 a lot. I do same with my IG charts. Check out the daily Nikkei 225 with these

MA 800 500 34 / MACD 34 500 800 / W%R 800 / MFI 34 / CCI 500 / MOMENTUM 800 wind it back to max and you'll see what I think is a beautiful sight - it's my world barometer. Enjoy !!!!

 

Share this post


Link to post

Join the conversation

You are posting as a guest. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
You are posting as a guest. If you have an account, please sign in.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Sign in to follow this  

  • Member Statistics

    • Total Topics
      12,423
    • Total Posts
      63,147
    • Total Members
      83,835
    Newest Member
    vndrink
    Joined 19/09/20 09:50
  • Posts

    • The empirical evidence coming out of Asian countries in February matched the epidemiologists predictions (deaths around 0.1%, similar to common flu, Japan and South Korea - no lockdown). The govt decided to completely ignore this real evidence and instead go with Ferguson and his magical mystery models that predicted deaths in the millions which of course proved to be totally inaccurate. By the way Ferguson did exactly the same thing over Bird Flu years before, got it completely wrong. The epidemiologists also claimed that lockdown would not beat the virus, they were proved correct in this too. Just seen this, must be very recent;   BBC Newsnight  @BBCNewsnight “It is quite inexplicable why herd immunity has become a toxic phrase.” Theoretical Epidemiologist Prof @SunetraGupta says there “needs to be a fundamental change in how we approach dealing with” the coronavirus crisis     
    • ok, let's say that we all agree on the fact that we had many corona-viruses before and this one is just another one to add to the list. We can't escape it and sooner or later will catch me, I can agree with all of that, a mask is not an astronaut helmet so I can't protect myself from it. What is the actual point of forcing people into a quarantine? We say that governments do not want bad press or be entitled to many deaths, which are actually the same deaths every year.  Are they not able to explain that instead of simply telling us to stay at home? If I am being played, what is the actual end point? Why would governments all over the world play people on the subject? I find really hard to believe that this is all part of a massive hoax.  I don't see the benefit of forcing quarantines just for the sake of making people to follow rules. Is it not easier to think that the information we've got is so minimal that we can't be sure that this virus is going to wipe out people suddenly from the face of earth? Like, "we have no clue of what is going on, you better stay at home, because is the only advise I can give you" How about to listen to professionals that warn us daily? Like Dr Fauci https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jul/14/fauci-covid-19-risks-coronavirus-trump-white-house Is not better to do what they say instead of believing that this is all part of a massive conspiracy against people? I don't think governments are playing people around, it is more that they don't have a clue of what we have to do to fix it, pretty much like in other pandemic. And the only message they can give us is "stay at home and let's hope that you  don't die"
    • Trade STOPPED out for a 1R Loss = Disciplined rule following simply wait until the next trade next month     DATE TRADE DIRECTION ENTRY STOP RISK TARGET OUTCOME **** R value                 July 20th 2020   LONG   3224.29   3189.29 35 pts 175 pts 3399.29   175pts   5R Aug 19th 2020   LONG   3392.51   3357.51 35 pts 175 pts 3567.51   -35pts   4R Sept 17th 2020   LONG   3346.86   3311.86 35 pts 175 pts 3521.86   -35pts   3R Oct 16th 2020   LONG     35 pts 175 pts     Nov 15th 2020   LONG     35 pts 175 pts     Dec 14th 2020   LONG     35 pts 175 pts     Jan 13th 2021   LONG     35 pts 175 pts     Feb 11th 2021   LONG     35 pts 175 pts     Mar 13th 2021   LONG     35 pts 175 pts     Apr 12th 2021   LONG     35 pts 175 pts     May 11th 2021   LONG     35 pts 175 pts     June 10th 2021   LONG     35 pts 175 pts                     DISCLAIMER: As we live in a world and time where you have to warn people who hold a piece of paper and a lit match close together that it could result in creating fire - The above is an example only - It is a random method designed to show you how it performs in the financial markets, it is NOT designed for you to trade, anyone trading it must accept losses as their own responsibility and if unsure, do not commit money - as one thing is for certain, the method will have losing trades and losses. THT will not and cannot be held responsible for any losses whatsoever - trading this example is at your own risk
×
×