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AUD/USD hits a two-month high, buoyed by a weaker dollar and anticipation of the RBA's rate decision amidst a light US economic calendar and inflation concerns. Source: Getty Forex AUD/USD United States dollar Inflation Australian dollar Interest rate Written by: Tony Sycamore | Market Analyst, Australia Publication date: Monday 06 May 2024 07:15 Last week saw the AUD/USD finish the week above .6600c for the first time in two months, benefiting from broad-based weakness in the US dollar that followed a less hawkish than expected FOMC meeting, and softer than expected US jobs report. This week's economic calendar in the US is relatively light, with the main highlights being speeches from several Fed officials and the Michigan Consumer Confidence Index. This means that if the AUD/USD is to make further gains, it will likely come courtesy of Tuesday's RBA Board meeting, previewed below. RBA interest rate decision and press conference Date: Tuesday, 7 May from 2.30pm AEST As widely expected, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept its official cash rate on hold at 4.35% at its Board meeting in March. The RBA noted that higher interest rates were working to establish a more sustainable balance between demand and supply. However, while goods inflation continues to moderate, the RBA reiterated its concerns about sticky services inflation.“Services inflation remains elevated, and is moderating at a more gradual pace,” it said. The statement also placed emphasis on the data dependency of future decisions: "The board will rely upon the data", and observed the recent pick-up in measured productivity while noting that “the outlook for household consumption also remains uncertain.”We expect the RBA to keep rates on hold this month at 4.35% and to retain its neutral guidance with similar wording from the last Board meeting statement: “the Board is not ruling anything in or out”. In the lead-up to the upcoming May Board meeting, firmer than-expected Australian inflation and employment data has resulted in the Australian interest rate market swinging from pricing in RBA rate cuts to pricing in rate hikes. Following a news report this morning that former Governor Philip Lowe believes that the fight against inflation “isn’t done” yet, the probability of a 25 basis points (bp) rate rise by August has risen to 40%. While we view the bar to another RBA rate hike as very high, we acknowledge the window for rate cuts in 2024 has narrowed and have pushed back our call for a first RBA rate cut from August until November. RBA cash rate Source: RBA AUD/USD weekly chart technical analysis On the weekly chart, the AUD/USD continues to move sideways within a contracting multi-month bearish triangle. Downtrend resistance from the January 2023 .7158 high is currently at .6760ish. Uptrend support from the October 2022 .6170 low is at .6340ish. AUD/USD weekly chart Source: TradingView AUD/USD technical analysis The AUD/USD starts a new week eyeing a thick resistance layer between .6650 and .6670. The AUD/USD has not traded above this level since mid-January. Should the AUD/USD see a sustained break above .6650/70, it would open the way for further gains initially towards .6700/20 before the weekly downtrend resistance identified above at .6765. On the downside, the AUD/USD has initial support at .6595 before the 200-day moving average at .6520. Below that, a layer of support resides at .6480ish from the swing lows of March and April, reinforced by the February .6442 low. AUD/USD daily chart Source: TradingView Source: TradingView. The figures stated are as of 6 May 2024. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. This report does not contain and is not to be taken as containing any financial product advice or financial product recommendation. This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Australia Pty Ltd. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. -
By Ryan_Anderson · Posted
In the rapidly evolving medical equipment market, ResMed (ASX: RMD) has demonstrated remarkable growth potential and business resilience. The company not only surpassed the expectations of the market analysts in performance but also saw a significant rebound in gross profit margins, enhancing market optimism about its prospects. Ryan Anderson pointed out in his analysis of the latest financial report of ResMed that as the company expands into the GLP-1 weight loss drug market, it also sees new growth opportunities through its Continuous Positive Airway Pressure (CPAP) therapy product line. This is particularly noteworthy for investors as it not only reveals the strategic positioning of ResMed in the weight loss drug issue but also demonstrates its ability to seek new growth points in the existing market. Against this backdrop, Ryan Anderson believes that the strategic layout and market performance of ResMed showcase its continued competitiveness as a leader in medical devices. Ryan Anderson emphasized that in the dynamics of the global medical equipment market, the adaptability and innovation capabilities of ResMed are key to its continued growth. Especially in the marketing strategy and product innovation of the company, effectively combining market trends and consumer demand enables ResMed to maintain a leading position in a competitive market. For example, the increased investment of ResMed in technology and product development continuously improves the performance and comfort of its CPAP machines, better meeting patient needs. Furthermore, analyst Ryan Anderson mentioned that the market strategy of ResMed is reflected not only in optimizing and innovating its product line but also in increasing brand awareness and market share through scientific research and market education. Through these strategies, ResMed successfully translates technological innovation into market competitiveness, thereby continuously driving sales and profit margin growth. Ryan Anderson further emphasized an optimistic outlook for the future prospects of ResMed. Despite market uncertainties such as international economic fluctuations and changes in industry regulations, the strong foundation and proactive market expansion strategy of ResMed enable it to withstand risks. He advised investors to pay attention to the continued performance and market expansion strategy of ResMed as key indicators for evaluating its long-term investment value. Ryan Anderson also advised investors that while the current stock price reflects some positive factors, in the long term, with further penetration into global markets and continued demonstration of product innovation capabilities, there is potential for further stock price increases. He believes that investing in ResMed is a wise investment in the long-term trend of health technology, especially against the backdrop of increasing global health awareness and rapid development of medical technology. -
By tradinglounge · Posted
TXN Elliott Wave Analysis Trading Lounge Daily Chart, Texas Instruments Inc., (TXN) Daily Chart TXN Elliott Wave Technical Analysis FUNCTION: Trend MODE: Impulsive STRUCTURE: Motive POSITION: Minor 3 DIRECTION: Upside in Minor 3. DETAILS: Looking for at least equality of 3 vs. 1 as upside target, to eventually turn into an ABC in the worst of scenarios. TXN Elliott Wavse Analysis Trading Lounge 4Hr Chart, Texas Instruments Inc., (TXN) 4Hr Chart TXN Elliott Wave Technical Analysis FUNCTION: Trend MODE: Impulsive STRUCTURE: Motive POSITION: Wave {ii} of 3. DIRECTION: Upside in {iii}. DETAILS: Looking for acceleration in wave {iii}, with closing volume on Friday suggesting a bullish move to the upside. This detailed Elliott Wave analysis focuses on Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) as observed in both the daily and 4-hour charts on May 6, 2024. Our analysis aims to provide investors and traders with actionable insights into the stock’s current trends and potential future movements. *TXN Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – Daily Chart* The daily chart for TXN reveals that the stock is currently in an impulsive, motive wave pattern, identified as Minor wave 3. This suggests a strong upward trend, indicating potential for significant gains. The analysis targets at least equality between wave 3 and wave 1, pointing towards a robust upside potential. In less favorable scenarios, this movement might evolve into an ABC correction pattern, but the primary expectation remains bullish. * TXN Elliott Wave Technical Analysis – 4H Chart* Diving deeper into the 4-hour chart, TXN is positioned in Wave {ii} of Minor 3, forecasting an upcoming surge in Wave {iii}. The closing volume on the previous trading day (Friday) indicated a significant bullish sentiment, which aligns with expectations for an acceleration in Wave {iii}. This provides an excellent setup for traders looking to capitalize on the next upward move. Technical Analyst : Alessio Barretta Source : Tradinglounge.com get trial here!
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Question
Timbo
Daily FX options on the API seem to have epic names like "DO.D.CABLE.35.IP" where the number varies between 1 and 100. Different numbers represent different strike prices and alternate between calls and puts. For example
100: Daily GBPUSD 12140 CALL
99: Daily GBPUSD 12140 PUT
98: Daily GBPUSD 12160 CALL
97:Daily GBPUSD 12160 PUT
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2: Daily GBPUSD 12800 CALL
1: Daily GBPUSD 12800 PUT
I think these strike prices are different on different days. Presumably they change as the spot price moves, otherwise they would drift deep out of the money over time.
I want to make use of historical option data, downloaded using the prices endpoint. My problem is I can't find what the strike price was for e.g. DO.D.CABLE.35.IP on10th April. Does anyone know how to get or work out historical strike prices for these option epics?
Thanks!
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