Jump to content
Sign in to follow this  

GOLD TECHNICAL

Recommended Posts

Like the idea of the parallel channel lines @FXTECHNICAL but for me the upper one has too few touches to be valid.  That said the market could have turned at the Fib 50% today.  My only concern is the possibility of a further retrace to test Triangle breakout at the Fib 62% (see my Gold/Silver thread for details).

Share this post


Link to post

Ah!  We all differ on these things.  For me a line has to have minimum 3 touches to be credible on whatever timeframe.  The upper channel can have 2 only in the lower is very strong on touches and there is no other credible placement.  Either way I think we can agree that the Weekly chart shows Gold in a trading range and a breakout should be strong.  For me the likely direction is into a rally but not sure yet when.  Some good rally movement on both Gold and Silver today of USD falls and possible stock falls but will that be sustained to a breakout or is there another leg down to go yet?  Time will tell I guess.

Share this post


Link to post

Join the conversation

You are posting as a guest. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
You are posting as a guest. If you have an account, please sign in.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Sign in to follow this  

  • Member Statistics

    • Total Topics
      12,814
    • Total Posts
      65,788
    • Total Members
      86,782
    Newest Member
    jazz__club
    Joined 28/10/20 17:28
  • Posts

    • Start the conversation The US election is scheduled for Tuesday 3 November 2020, when all 50 states and Washington DC will cast their votes. The vote spans six different time zones, so the first exit polls will be available at around 11pm (EST) when West Coast voting closes. In the UK, that will be around 4am (GMT) on Wednesday 4 November 2020. The election is likely to create opportunities for traders, with price movements expected across a range of forex pairs, indices and commodities in the run-up to polling day. Volatility related to the election could continue until congress certifies the result on Wednesday 6 January 2021, or even until the winner is inaugurated on Wednesday 20 January 2021. What should traders expect to see during the US election? All US markets tend to experience increased volatility in the run up to a presidential election, including USD forex pairs, indices and commodities. That’s because many investors will attempt to lock in positions before the result is announced – using polls to gauge public sentiment. The aim is to take full advantage of the price moves that occur when the country’s political direction is confirmed. At the top level, early indications suggest that the following could be on the cards if one of these two main candidates win: Donald Trump A Trump win could see an escalation of the trade war, potentially causing problems for some US exporters and having a negative impact on the value of the dollar. However, this effect could be offset by reassurances that tax cuts and deregulation will continue – boosting the US economy. Joe Biden A Biden win could see tensions in the trade war cool, providing a boost to US exporters and the dollar. However, these effects could be offset by tax increases for high-income households, and more limited deregulation.   How will markets react to the different candidates? Market commentary by IG Senior Market Analyst Joshua Mahony Stocks Markets hate uncertainty, and historically the perception has been that a new president might bring policies that could be harmful for stocks. This happened in 2016 when analysts were confident that a Trump presidency would spark a market collapse. But, we are now seeing that same fear creep in as people consider a Biden presidency and the potential uncertainty it could cause. Biden is openly more left-leaning, and his policies are expected to be geared towards human needs rather than those of investors and traders. This sentiment isn’t helped by suggestions that Biden would reverse Trump’s tax cuts, and it is likely that markets will rise alongside the potentially increased chance of a Trump victory as we approach the election. USD The value of a currency is supposed to reflect the health of an economy and its future prospects. Many are expecting Biden to be less focused on the markets than his Republican opponent, so the dollar could weaken in the event of a Biden victory. However, this effect could be offset if Biden is able to improve relations between the US and China after years of market anxiety. In this scenario, it would be the Chinese yuan which may benefit the most, with the trade war having sparked huge upside for USD/CNH. Keep in mind that if the wider markets fall on a Biden victory – including US stocks and indices – the dollar would likely rally in the short-term to reflect a risk-off move as investors turn to USD. Gold The prospect of a more expansive fiscal policy under Biden, and from a government which is happy to embark on substantial spending programmes, could provide a boost to precious metals. There’s a caveat here too, because in the past precious metals have also followed the same patterns as the stock markets during times of crisis. So, any collapse in equity markets that may come from a change at the White House could drag gold lower in the immediate period. Plus, while Trump has finally seen the kind of stimulus he would have hoped for, a Biden win could result in a more substantial stimulus package if the Democrats gain a foothold in Congress.   How are you trading?
    • Dax has been volatile today. Down 600, Dax down 4% on COVID fears. US open in 10 minutes. 
    • Hi, Can you please advise when is the last day to buy more TILS before settlement takes place? HL platform confirmed it is 30th October, can you please confirm the same? Thanks
×
×