Jump to content

The ASX in 5: RBA disappoints markets by sticking to tapering plans


ArvinIG

718 views

We highlight five things that investors and traders need to know on Tuesday, 3 August.

bg%20nfp%20non-farm%20payrolls%20wall%20
Source: Bloomberg
 
 

US ISM Manufacturing data hints at peak cycle

After what was shaping as a strong start to the week for global equities, US ISM Manufacturing PMI data took the wind out of the sails of Wall Street overnight. The survey revealed manufacturing activity expanded by less than expected last month, with the headline figure coming in at 59.5, down from 60.8 in the month prior. Though undoubtably a strong number, and indicative of a solid economy, the progress trend lower in the indicator seems to suggest the US economy’s cycle has passed its peak.

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) disappoints the market by keeping policy unchanged

The RBA met this afternoon and disappointed market participants after opting to reverse last month’s decision to taper its QE program. Despite the potential economic risks stemming from recent Covid-19 lockdowns in Australia, the RBA opted to stick to its timeline of reducing its bond purchases from $5 billion per week, to $4 billion per week. Naturally, the AUD/USD surged following the decision as Aussie bond yields jumped, with the pair pushing above 74 cents in the hours following the decision.

AUD/USD chart
Source: IG charts

Afterpay shares extend rally

The good times have kept rolling for Afterpay Holdings Limited shareholders today, as investors continue to digest the impacts of the company’s acquisition by US payments firm Square Inc. Shares jumped by over 12% today, after Square shares rallied overnight following it released quarterly earnings. The fortune for Afterpay shares will be closely tied to that of Squares from now on, with the takeover of Afterpay being effectively paid for by a proportion of Square shares.

Tencent shares tumble on China regulatory risk

Tencent Holdings Ltd shares have taken a tumble, as Chinese authorities seem to turn their crusade on the private sector to the gaming industry. The company’s shares plummeted as much as 10% during Chinese trade, after state media labelled online gaming as “spiritual opium”. The move is only the latest in several by the Chinese government against its public companies, with reports also swirling around today the country’s market regulator is also launching an investigation into its auto chip distributors.

Tenant chart
Source: IG charts

ASX200

After surging to fresh record highs yesterday, the Australia 200 has shed a little bit of ground today, in what’s been a far less heady session for the market. In mid-afternoon trade, the index has found itself down by 0.4%, weighed down by energy and materials stocks. The IT sector has proven the outperformer for the second day straight, thanks of course to the surging share price of Afterpay.
 

Kyle Rodda | Market Analyst, Australia | Publication date: Tuesday 03 August 2021 16:33

0 Comments


Recommended Comments

There are no comments to display.

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • Blog Statistics

    • Total Blogs
      3
    • Total Entries
      2,821
  • Latest Forum Topics

  • Our picks

    • Are these the best AI stocks to watch in May 2024?
      Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Amazon and Meta could be the best AI stocks to watch next month. These stocks are the largest AI stocks in the US based on market capitalisation.
    • Natural Gas Commodity Elliottwave Technical Analysis
      Natural Gas



      Mode - Impulsive 



      Structure - Impulse Wave 



      Position - Wave (iii) of 5



      Direction - Wave (iii) of 5 still in play



       



      Details:  Price now in wave iii as it attempts to breach 1.65 wave i low. Wave (iii) is still expected to extend lower in an impulse.



       



      Natural Gas is currently breaching the previous April low, marking a decisive move as the impulse initiated on 5th March continues its downward trajectory, further extending the overarching impulse wave sequence that commenced back in August 2022. This decline is anticipated to persist as long as the price remains below the critical resistance level of 2.012.



       



      Zooming in on the daily chart, we observe the medium-term impulse wave originating from August 2022, which is persisting in its downward trend after completing its 4th wave - delineated as primary wave 4 in blue (circled) - at 3.666 in October 2023. Presently, the 5th wave, identified as primary blue wave 5, is underway, manifesting as an impulse at the intermediate degree in red. It is envisaged that the price will breach the February 2024 low of 1.533 as wave 5 of (3) seeks culmination before an anticipated rebound in wave (4). This confluence of price movements underscores the bearish sentiment prevailing over Natural Gas in the medium term.



       



      Analyzing the H4 chart, we initiated the impulse wave count for wave (3) from the level of 2.012, which marks the termination point of wave 4. Notably, price action formed a 1-2-1-2 structure, with confirmation established at 1.65 and invalidation set at 2.012. The confirmation of our anticipated direction materialized as price breached the 1.65 mark, signifying a resumption of bearish momentum. Presently, there appears to be minimal resistance hindering the bears, thereby reinstating their dominance in the market. It is projected that wave iii of (iii) of 5 will manifest around 1.43, indicative of the potential for the wave 5 low to extend to 1.3 or even lower. This comprehensive analysis underscores the prevailing bearish outlook for Natural Gas in the immediate future.



       







       







       




      Technical Analyst : Sanmi Adeagbo
       
        • Like
    • Meta Platforms’ earnings round-up: Share price plunged despite 1Q beat
      Meta’s share price plunged as much as 16% in post-market trading, following the release of its 1Q 2024 results.
×
×
  • Create New...
us