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DSchenk

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Posts posted by DSchenk

  1. Hi guys, today's recap below.

    8 trades, 4 winners, 1 Break-even, 3 losers

    Not hit my target or max-loss today, but called it a day due to time passing the 90 mins mark. Might trade again at US open in the afternoon.

     

    Trade 1: Long, Profit, Up 1 Point
    Breakout to bottom on market open. Seeing signs of bouncing off S1 and also 7300 lvl. Entry long. Taking some quick profits to start the day.

    Trade 2: Short, Profit, Up 2 Points
    Looks like bouncing off VWAP. Entry short. Taking quick profit at signs of reversing at 7310 lvl

    Trade 3: Long, Loss, Down 2 Points
    Entry long at signs of bounce off 7310 lvl. However, stopped out. Unfortunate, as straight afterwards 40 points rally begins. Stop loss set too tight

    Trade 4: Short, Loss, Down 6 Points
    Signs of bounce off 200EMA. Short entry. Exit on breaking through EMA 

    Trade 5: Long, Profit, Back to 0
    Flag pattern above 200EMA. Entry long. Exit at signs of reversal at 7340 lvl

    Trade 6: Long, Breakeven, Still 0
    Flag pattern at 7340 lvl. Entry long. Failed to take profits in hindsight at 7350 lvl and mR1, which are two resistances essentially at same lvl. Stupid me. Exiting trade at breakeven.

    Trade 7: Short, Profit, Up 6 Points
    Going short after break of Pivot. Exit at 200EMA.

    Trade 8: Short, Loss, Up 4 Points
    Looks as it would break 200EMA and VWAP. Entry short. Reverses and breaks above. Exit. Calling it a day

     

    @Caseynotes Still a bit confused with those pivot levels.
    My levels today are:

    Pivot: 7336
    S1: 7305
    R1: 7364

    I looked up pivot levels on 3 websites and 2 match, the other says something different, while all 3 are slightly different to my numbers.

    http://www.livecharts.co.uk/Members/display_stock_pivots.php

    Pivot 7340
    S1: 7302
    R1: 7359

    https://uk.investing.com/technical/indices-pivot-points

    Pivot: 7340
    S1: 7302
    R1: 7359

    https://www.dailyfx.com/ftse-100

    Pivot: 7339
    S1: 7310
    R1: 7361

     

    What is correct? What isn't? Or are these small differences normal and down to the various calculating methods? Confusing.

     

    image.thumb.png.65c620dd685ebf7d54108abb5dbf3c1b.png

  2. Also just checked what Ross traded today: YUMA

    IG restricted, so not possible to trade.

    However, even if it was possible, this is the move where Ross made 500 bucks (1min chart btw - he only traded for 4 minutes today)

    The total range here is from 606 to 649, that's a 7% move.

    However, the spread currently is at 2.6%, probably way higher during the market open, I assume around 4-5%.

    Meaning there's little chance you would've made any profits on that move, even with perfect entry and exits. Lucky if you would've just made the spread back

    image.png.40a13bdc0eb599b7004fe5e8a19e724c.png

  3. Yep, the "Too early stay clear" caught me out :D

    Just saying, with a spread of 2% and moves of 5%-10%, the math doesn't add up for me.
    The move is only 2.5-5 times the spread.

    On the FTSE100 index you have a spread of 0.02% with moves between 0.5% and 1%.
    That's moves of 25-50 times the spread which is 10 times better than on the stocks.

    Appreciate, there are still 1 out of 100 stocks which then move 50-100% on the day, which makes the math even to the index. But you still have the issue of a) finding that stock quick enough to get a good entry and b) IG not blocking you from trading that stock. Difficult outset if you ask me

  4. Lol, nit2wynit. That happens when you make too much profit, the spread bet provider can't afford you anymore :D

     

    So, just to conclude my recap of the day as well .

    I traded 2 tickers: AXAS and DNR

    Both gap-and-go set-ups.

    AXAS popped up, then consolidated around $6.6. I went in on a flag pattern, which turned out to be a false breakout. Stopped out.

    DNR. Popped up then shot down again. Was first stopped out. Then re-entry at bottom and still holding that position now. Let's see if it's gonna be a late burner. See potential to go until $1.80 if it breaks $1.60 (which doesn't seem likely at the moment)

     

    All in all, I have to say, the US open is not that much of a difference to the UK open.

    Spreads are still far too high to realistically make a profit. Most of the tickers which are really moving are restricted by IG to trade, some only on the short side, but still a significant amount.

    Besides, my Level 2 didn't show any data, although I purchased the streams. All I could see was Level 1 data. Not sure why that is, will check tomorrow again. Maybe there's a delay in the permission system or so.

    For scanning pre-market I used Trade Ideas (same as Ross Cameron from Warrior Trading is using). Demo account is sufficient. https://www.trade-ideas.com/

    Might go back to focus on trading the FTSE100 index as seems to have a higher chance of success there. (Although also not made any profits there yet, lol - what can I say, trading is hard)

  5. You are possibly right.

    I usually don't believe anything I haven't seen with my own eyes.
    There are a lot of ugly things going on in big corporations, which they don't want normal guys like us to know...

     

    1 minute ago, nit2wynit said:

    Yes, but where does the money go or come from?

    If I made 10k today, does it come from IG?

    If it is as Casey and dmedin assume, then IG would have to wait for someone else (an individual) to sell the shares you buy and vice versa. IG only makes the spread. You make 10k, someone else loses 10k.
    Not sure that this is how spread betting works after all.

  6. 14 minutes ago, DSchenk said:

    5) Haven't found any suitable report which shows me earnings releases in the US for the day/week ahead. Best one I found so far is this one, although not the biggest fan so far. Will keep searching for better ones: https://www.thestreet.com/event-calendar/index.html

    Update. Finviz has earnings in their database.

    This looks suitable for my purposes.

    https://finviz.com/screener.ashx?v=111&s=n_earningsbefore&ft=4&o=marketcap

     

    Shows 5 tickers having earnings today, none of them land on my watchlist though.

    2 are too expensive. Can't find one in IG. And the remaining two don't seem to have any volume.

    image.thumb.png.8f64570741cb805aa576744b63188cfa.png

  7. Not 100% sure on this, but if I was a spread-bet provider and knowing that 90% of traders lose, I wouldn't just make money on the spread, but actually play the casino bank against the traders.

    Meaning if the trader loses, I win. If the trader wins (1 out of 10 times), I need to pay him. But the good thing is, I only need to pay him 'on paper', in his account. So I only really lose, if the trader pulls money out of his account to his personal bank account.

    All in all, there seems to be a very low risk of losing liquidity as a spread bet provider.

    But as said, not sure how it all works behind the scenes. Just my guessing.

  8. Ok, I configured my platform for US open. Real test obviously will be once it opens, but here my findings so far.

     

    1) US has a lot more stocks than UK. (Ok that was obvious ;)). Means I needed to tighten all my screeners, otherwise they pull way too many tickers.
    My Momentum screener only looks at ROC of more than 10% on the day
    Volatility screener more than 2% in last 10 minutes
    Top Gainers at more than 25% in last 3 days
    Top Dippers at less than -10% in last 3 days
    GAP scanner at more than 5% gap

    2) IG seems to restrict a lot of stocks from trading. Some are only restricted on the short side, but a lot are restricted short and long. This is a bit painful when building the watchlist, because you need to check first if there are any restrictions on the ticker.
    I assume this is because US stocks are more volatile and IG needs to protect themselves from traders making huge profits.

    3) No pre-market data available, except for a handful of selected major stocks (typically not the ones you want to trade). List here: https://www.ig.com/uk/shares/out-of-hours-shares
    This means no pre-market scanning possible with IG tools.

    4) In order to get Level 2 data, you need to buy 3 data streams individually. One is called AMEX (US), one NASDAQ (US) and one NYSE (US). All 3 together are cheaper than the LSE stream, so that's positive.

    5) Haven't found any suitable report which shows me earnings releases in the US for the day/week ahead. Best one I found so far is this one, although not the biggest fan so far. Will keep searching for better ones: https://www.thestreet.com/event-calendar/index.html

     

    On my watchlist for today so far:

    NTEC (short side restricted)

    MNK

    CVIA (short side restricted)

    AKRX

    • Great! 1
  9. I'm just configuring my PRT platform for the US.

    Even with L2 streams subscribed, you don't seem to get pre-market date, except for very limited stocks. Seems to be only a few big ones, like Microsoft, Apple, Google, etc.

    It seems like if it says "(All Sessions)" in the name, they have pre-market data, if not then they don't. According to this rule, there are only 25 stocks with pre-market data available. Doesn't help a lot. Probably need to use external screeners or screen on market open

     

    image.png.13a0b51e099b76e0841f4db4f2c390bb.png

     

  10. Morning everyone.

    Trading session today:
    Fell straight into the trap with the skewed pivots on Monday :D
    Thought I had configured my platform correctly with not showing weekend data. Although then found out as it was already too late, that this doesn't have any effect on the pivot points, they still calculate referencing to the Sunday data. LOL. Found the right settings eventually, so for next week should be fine.
    (note, the chart attached is showing the correct pivot points - not the one I traded on)

     

    4 Trades, 4 Losses

    1st Trade: Long, Loss
    Top breakout at market open. I thought we were already above the pivot point, so I went in long.
    In reality we were still below the pivot and consequently saw a rejection at that level. I got stopped out as the hourly candle made new lows. Down 12 Points

    2nd Trade: Short, Loss
    Now we were breaking below the pivot, or so I thought. When we were approaching it from the bottom, I was going short with stop loss above the pivot.
    In reality, pivot was obviously somewhere else entirely and I got stopped out quickly. Down 20 Points.

    3rd Trade: Short, Loss
    Decided to take another trade, even if already at max-loss for the day. (Rules and so, right)
    Short as it broke again below the pivot. Stop above the high of the previous spike up.
    Got stopped out quickly again. Down 30 points.
    That's when I looked up the pivot points online and found out where they really are :D

    4th trade: Short, Loss
    Now that I had the right pivot points on the chart, i wanted to take at least one trade under correct assumptions.
    Saw a rejection at pivot and entered short. Reversed quickly and broke above pivot, where I stopped out.
    Calling it a day.

    Lesson learnt I would say. Don't trust the automated generated indicators without double-checking them first :)

    Have a better start in the week than me, all.

    Take it easy

    Dan

    image.png.cc7c314a95010c4c8deb0ce84aa4c67d.png

    • Like 1
  11. 43 minutes ago, nit2wynit said:

    Even without Pre market data, it's still possible to create a Watchlist (I assume) as soon as the Market opens, but only you can tell me different.

    Sure, as soon as market opens, the screeners will work.

    I usually added stocks to my watchlist beforehand which I know have news released on the day, like earnings and stuff. Usually a big likelihood for gaps and big moves afterwards.

    For UK market I always used HL for that: https://www.hl.co.uk/news/articles/next-week-on-the-stock-market

    Gives you a quick overview what's on the table for next week.

    Do you know where to get anything similar for US?

     

    • Thanks 1
  12. Just looking at the stocks in your watchlist. All nice gap-and-go opportunities indeed. How do you find them? Just clicking through the entire NYSE from A-Z and seeing if there's a gapper anywhere?

    Even when using a screener, one potential issue is still, that IG is not providing pre-market data, like Ross has in his platform, right? Or can you activate that somewhere?

    Last candle I see in PRT is 20.59pm day before and then 14.30 open next day.

    So you won't be able to run any screeners pre-market, like Ross does every morning as he showcases in his videos.

    To work around that, I was using additionally the L2 platform and purchased the L2 datastream for LSE (which is like £7 per month). There at least you already see prices in the 10 minutes before the market opens of the auction phase.

    Not sure how this works for US equities, would need to have a look at it.

  13. 21 minutes ago, nit2wynit said:

    ....but No Idea at All??

    Is it less than £100 or less than 10k?

    i can't see how no-one can give me an answer on this.  Even a round about figure.

    Probably IG themselves don't have a fixed rule for that and use it as-and-when they see fit and want to charge someone for the platform. Sounds like a typical clause you want to put in a contract to secure yourself from not needing to drag non-profitable customers for years along the way. 

     

    As i said. I never paid a penny for it in a timeframe of a year approx.

    • Thanks 1
  14. I've never paid a penny for PRT. You have to transact at least 4 times per month. I usually do that in a day. Otherwise £30. I can recommend the platform certainly.

    According to IG:

    You can get access to ProRealTime charts at no extra cost if you transact at least four times in a given month. However, if you don't meet this requirement, or your trading activity is of extremely low value, then a £30 per month fee will apply on the last day of every calendar month.

     

    Agree, 20 trades per day are way too much and stressful. Sweet-spot, 2-5 ideally.

    Happy to buddy up on trade ideas or help out with setting-up the PRT platform, if you have any questions.

    • Great! 1
  15. 10 minutes ago, Caseynotes said:

    I looked at the H1 ftse with pivots and the 7am European open candle sliced down through the pivot point (orange) like a hot knife through butter, the bears were in control ever since.

    Agree and very interesting. I've put pivot points on my chart now. Since then we saw 3 more approaches to the pivot point from below and 3 times rejected (although slightly overshot twice). Very interesting indeed. Thanks for the tip, Casey

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