Jump to content

The Week Ahead On The Markets


MongiIG

1,422 views

The Week Ahead

Read about upcoming market-moving events and plan your trading week

ig group.PNG
 

Week commencing 21 March

Chris Beauchamp’s insight

UK CPI, monthly flash PMIs and the German IFO index are among the key events of the week ahead. Now that the central banks are out of the way, attention will likely return to the ongoing war in Ukraine. Corporate events are relatively thin on the ground this week, although full-year numbers from UK retailer Next will be a key driver for the retailing sector.

 

Economic reports

  • Weekly view

Monday

12.30pm – US Chicago Fed nat’l activity index (February): index to rise to 0.75 from 0.69. Markets to watch: USD crosses

Tuesday

None

Wednesday

7am – UK CPI (February): prices to rise 5.7% YoY (previous 5.5%), while core CPI to rise 4.5% YoY. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

2pm – US new home sales (February): sales to rise 2% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses

2.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 18 March): stockpiles rose by 4.3 million barrels in the previous week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI

3pm – eurozone consumer confidence (March, flash): index to fall to -23.5. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

Thursday

8.15am – 9am – German, French, eurozone PMIs (March, flash): German mfg PMI to fall to 58.2, from 58.4, eurozone mfg PMI to fall to 58. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

9.30am – UK PMIs (March, flash): February’s readings were 58 for manufacturing and 60.5 for services. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

12.30pm – US durable goods orders (February), initial jobless claims (w/e 19 March): durable goods orders to fall 0.6% MoM and claims to fall to 207K. Markets to watch: USD crosses

1.45pm – US PMI (March, flash): services PMI to fall to 56 and mfg to fall to 56.8. Markets to watch: USD crosses

Friday

7am – UK retail sales (February): sales to rise 2.1% MoM. Markets to watch: GBP crosses

9am – German IFO business climate index (March): index to fall to 98.2. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

2pm – US pending home sales (February), Michigan confidence index (March, final): sales to fall 3% MoM and sentiment to fall to 59.7. Markets to watch: USD crosses

 

Company announcements

 

 

Monday
21 March

Tuesday
22 March

Wednesday
23 March

Thursday
24 March

Friday
25 March

Full-year earnings

 

Kingfisher Saga Next  

Half/ Quarterly earnings

 

Sthree,
Nike
Adobe   Compass  

Trading update

 

 

 

  United Utilities

 

 

Dividends

FTSE 100: British American Tobacco, Pearson, Schroders, Prudential, Ferguson

FTSE 250: XP Power, Greggs, Volution, Close Brothers, CLS Holdings, OSB Group

Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day, e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.

Index adjustments

 

Monday
21 March
Tuesday
22 March
Wednesday
23 March
Thursday
24 March
Friday
25 March
Monday
28 March
FTSE 100     6.94      
Australia 200 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.4  
Wall Street            
US 500   0.25 0.39 0.04 0.01 0.02
Nasdaq            
Netherlands 25            
EU Stocks 50 2.3          
China H-Shares            
Singapore Blue Chip            
Hong Kong HS50       1.2    
South Africa 40   96.5        
Italy 40            
Japan 225            

0 Comments


Recommended Comments

There are no comments to display.

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • Blog Statistics

    • Total Blogs
      3
    • Total Entries
      2,822
  • Latest Forum Topics

  • Our picks

    • International Workers' Day & Early May Trading Hours
      Please be advised that our opening hours will be adjusted on 1 May 2024 for International Workers’ Day and 6 May 2024 for the UK Early May Bank Holiday. Where appropriate, the times listed are in GMT.
        • Like
    • Are these the best AI stocks to watch in May 2024?
      Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Amazon and Meta could be the best AI stocks to watch next month. These stocks are the largest AI stocks in the US based on market capitalisation.
    • Natural Gas Commodity Elliottwave Technical Analysis
      Natural Gas



      Mode - Impulsive 



      Structure - Impulse Wave 



      Position - Wave (iii) of 5



      Direction - Wave (iii) of 5 still in play



       



      Details:  Price now in wave iii as it attempts to breach 1.65 wave i low. Wave (iii) is still expected to extend lower in an impulse.



       



      Natural Gas is currently breaching the previous April low, marking a decisive move as the impulse initiated on 5th March continues its downward trajectory, further extending the overarching impulse wave sequence that commenced back in August 2022. This decline is anticipated to persist as long as the price remains below the critical resistance level of 2.012.



       



      Zooming in on the daily chart, we observe the medium-term impulse wave originating from August 2022, which is persisting in its downward trend after completing its 4th wave - delineated as primary wave 4 in blue (circled) - at 3.666 in October 2023. Presently, the 5th wave, identified as primary blue wave 5, is underway, manifesting as an impulse at the intermediate degree in red. It is envisaged that the price will breach the February 2024 low of 1.533 as wave 5 of (3) seeks culmination before an anticipated rebound in wave (4). This confluence of price movements underscores the bearish sentiment prevailing over Natural Gas in the medium term.



       



      Analyzing the H4 chart, we initiated the impulse wave count for wave (3) from the level of 2.012, which marks the termination point of wave 4. Notably, price action formed a 1-2-1-2 structure, with confirmation established at 1.65 and invalidation set at 2.012. The confirmation of our anticipated direction materialized as price breached the 1.65 mark, signifying a resumption of bearish momentum. Presently, there appears to be minimal resistance hindering the bears, thereby reinstating their dominance in the market. It is projected that wave iii of (iii) of 5 will manifest around 1.43, indicative of the potential for the wave 5 low to extend to 1.3 or even lower. This comprehensive analysis underscores the prevailing bearish outlook for Natural Gas in the immediate future.



       







       







       




      Technical Analyst : Sanmi Adeagbo
       
        • Like
×
×
  • Create New...
us