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The Week Ahead On The Markets


MongiIG

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The Week Ahead

Read about upcoming market-moving events and plan your trading week

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Week commencing 28 March

Chris Beauchamp’s insight

This week sees the release of the monthly non-farm payroll report in the US, along with the private sector ADP report. This provides at least some relief from the relentless focus on inflation. Chinese PMIs are also ones to watch this week, along with the US ISM manufacturing report. Earnings are quiet, but Bellway in the UK provides a focus for housebuilders, while H&M’s first quarter update will put the spotlight on retailers in Europe.

 

 

Economic reports

  • Weekly view

Monday

None

Tuesday

12.30am – Japan unemployment rate (February): expected to hold at 2.8%. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

7am – German consumer confidence (April): expected to fall to -24. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

3pm – US consumer confidence (March): index to fall to 108. Markets to watch: USD crosses

Wednesday

1pm – German CPI (March): expected to rise 5.5% YoY from 5.1% and 0.8% MoM from 0.9%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.15pm – US ADP employment report (March): 400K jobs expected to have been created, from 475K last month. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 25 March): stockpiles fell by 2.5 million barrels in the previous week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI

Thursday

2.30am – China mfg & non-mfg PMI (March): mfg index to fall to 49.1, into contraction territory, while non-mfg drops to 50.2, just inside the expansion zone. Markets to watch: China indices, CNH crosses

10am – eurozone unemployment (February): rate to fall to 6.7%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 26 March), personal spending & income (February): claims to ….. Personal spending to rise 0.6% and income to rise 0.5%. Markets to watch: USD crosses

2.45pm – US Chicago PMI (March): index to fall to 55.2. Markets to watch: USD crosses

Friday

2.45am – China Caixin mfg PMI (March): index to fall to 49.1 from 50.4. Markets to watch: China indices, CNH crosses

10am – eurozone CPI (March, flash): prices to rise 6.5% YoY from 5.9%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

1.30pm – US non-farm payrolls (March): 450K jobs expected to have been created, from 678K, while the unemployment rate falls to 3.7%. Average hourly earnings to rise 0.4% MoM. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

3pm – US ISM mfg PMI (March): index to drop back to 58.5. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

 

Company announcements

 

 

Monday
28 March

Tuesday
29 March

Wednesday
30 March

Thursday
31 March

Friday
1 April

Full-year earnings

 

AG Barr   Provident Financial  

Half/ Quarterly earnings

 

  Bellway,
Micron Technology
Bowleven H&M,
Walgreens Boots Alliance
Sodexo

Trading update

 

  Electrocomponents    

 

 

Dividends

FTSE 100: Smith & Nephew, InterContinental Hotels, Taylor Wimpey, Phoenix Group

FTSE 250: Moneysupermarket.com, RIT Capital, Travis Perkins, Hammerson, ConvaTec, ContourGlobal, Games Workshop, Primary Health Properties

Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day, e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.

Index adjustments

 

Monday
28 March
Tuesday
29 March
Wednesday
30 March
Thursday
31 March
Friday
1 April
Monday
4 April
FTSE 100     2.33      
Australia 200   0.5 0.7      
Wall Street           9.1
US 500   0.48 0.30 0.01 0.03 0.73
Nasdaq   0.53 0.29     3.03
Netherlands 25     0.26      
EU Stocks 50            
China H-Shares            
Singapore Blue Chip            
Hong Kong HS50     2.1      
South Africa 40   131.3        
Italy 40            
Japan 225   236.11        

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