Jump to content

Technical Analysis


Recommended Posts

Hi ,  are you sure swing trading is not just about catching the 'swing', no matter the time frame whether it be 1 hour or 1 month, or whether it be based on Elliott wave ABC, or even just 'buy the dip'. As an intraday trader I am always looking for swings, it is the rhythm of the auction.

 

There are only trend followers (as am I) or reversal (counter trend) traders who are looking at predefined levels for price to reverse at, but trend followers are by far the majority.

 

The interesting point of the blog was drawing attention to a potential price action signalling to a turn of swing and entry to join a continuation with trend.

 

The inside bars show indecision similar to a doji but the twin tails show a real attempt to drive to new direction, if that tight tight grouping of price action (in that particular situation) is overwhelmed (by bulls or bears) it is a good indication to the direction of next leg. 

 

I was happy to post it as I recognised it to have validity based on my own experience and is well worth to experimenting with by traders on all time frames. 

Link to comment

Fair enough, I think essentially we all trade the same way which ever time frame you choose. Investors buy and hold but traders buy and sell and so would aim to buy low and sell high, during a trend that means taking advantage of the down swings in order to ride the upswings but each time frame has it's own rhythm within the large scale swings that can be seen on a monthly chart. The time frame a trader uses depends very much on circumstance and preference.

 

Counter trend traders are also trying to buy low and sell high by using higher time frames to identify potential turn points that have been used in the past by institutional traders and where unfilled orders may still exist, a large clump of waiting orders on a price ladder is support or resistance.

 

For any new traders reading, this is an interesting piece on choosing which time frame suits best, 

 

https://www.tradeciety.com/best-timeframe-trading/

 

 

 

 

Link to comment
  • 4 weeks later...

Firstly I would keep a sharp eye on btcusd, the correlation has been noted before on another thread and looking at the two charts side by side that correlation continues, looking at individual large bars btc still leads the way though the gap has narrowed.

 

The 4 hour is still below the 100 and 200 ordered ma's so the general outlook must be bearish, price is currently retesting a strong support/resistance level so watch for a possible turn around here.

 

The 1 hour shows price attempting to break up past resistance but still trapped below the 200 ma and also between two mini range blocks so has a lot of work to do yet if it's to continue up.

 

The general bias must remain bearish at least until a break above 616 but if btc turns down this looks sure to follow.

 

 

B&E1day.PNGETHUSD(£)H4.pngETHUSD(£)H1.png

Link to comment

I think you’re right. BTC continues to dominate.

 

From ETH perspective on the daily you have the 20 EMA moving through both the 50 and 100, and it’s honing in on the 200 real quick. The 50 is basically kissing the 100 as well right now. Not good.

 

However rsi is sat below 30, and MACD at -80.

 

On the 1H were about at the spike down back from Feb 6th, retested on 15 Mar so it would be good to break here and get back to the mid 600’s range.

 

If not I’d settle for the consolidation back in the 800 - 900 range ;)

Link to comment
  • 2 weeks later...
  • 3 weeks later...

Why are these people not making money from trading? Why are they selling education?The only money these people are making is from selling courses on their site.If they can't do it, how can new traders do it?

 

 

All these educators failed at trading themselves, due to trading mindsets.No point in trying to  hide the truth.

Link to comment

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • General Statistics

    • Total Topics
      19,986
    • Total Posts
      87,946
    • Total Members
      69,133
    • Most Online
      7,522
      10/06/21 10:53

    Newest Member
    lsujeff1
    Joined 25/09/22 01:57
  • Posts

    • Hey @pravid17 I hope you're well.  In the leveraged trading industry there are brokers who don't hedge client's exposure and brokers (like ourselves) who do hedge client's exposure.  In a perfect world the exposure of short clients would net off the trades of long clients however this is not always the case. Our hedging model allows us to take an exposure in the underlying market for the remaining exposure which doesn't offset - This way we don't need to hedge every trade, worry about profits of our clients and results in lower costs for hedging in the underlying market (commissions, interest etc.). So say 60% of IG customer exposure in the ASX was long and 40% of exposure on the ASX was short. The 40% would net each other off but there's a remaining 20% of customers who need to be hedged to cover their positions. We go into the market and hedge this.  We make our money primarily through our spreads and overnight funding  with other fees making up a small proportion of our revenue. I would like to remind also that IG is regulated by several bodies globally, including top-tier regulators like the UK's FCA, Germany's BaFIN, Australia's ASIC - This should be quite reassuring from a dealing execution and transparency perspective.  I hope this helps, let me know if you have any other question 
    • A survey from Reviews.org, which featured 1000 Americans, found that as many as 1 in 4 US subscribers may quit the service in the next year.    Jeremy Naylor | Writer, London | Publication date: Friday 23 September 2022  There was an interesting breakdown, but the main reason was affordability. Only 18% said they would move to a cheaper competitor. IGTV’s Jeremy Naylor looks at the numbers. Netflix subscription woes Netflix Inc (All Sessions) could be in for a rough time ahead over the next 12 months if a new survey is anything to go by, which was conducted in the US. Out of the 1,000 adults that took part in this survey undertaken by Reviews.org, around 25% of those that were covered said that they would be cancelling their Netflix subscription within the next 12 months. Now, it says with that 25% of US subscribers to Netflix considering leaving, not to join a competitor, but mostly because of pressures on household bills. This is how it is split: rising cost of subscriptions - 40% inflation - 20% a lack of content - 22% spending more time on the services of others - 18% So you can see, a minority said they were going to other services, such as those provided by Disney Plus or Amazon Prime. The cost of Netflix has risen dramatically this year as its basic plan increased by 11% in January and its other plans by 20% to 25%. Now these were the first price increases for three years, so that itself is relatively new for a lot of subscribers. Netflix share price Let's take a look at the Netflix share price. You can see on the far left hand side of this chart the COVID lows at $290.39. We saw a whacking great increase there of 141% to the top and the record high in Netflix shares back in November 2021. And that was when subscriptions were rising, people were paying more for their services, and it was all humming beautifully. And then all of a sudden people started questioning the numbers of streaming services they were undertaking with some deciding to withdraw from Netflix. All of a sudden the big drops started coming through with profit warnings and sales warnings. We've recently hit a new low of $162.50. Since then there has been a little bit of an increase. We're currently trading at $232.75, but we are down by a margin of 1.75% in today's session, which reflects this news that we could well see a relatively large drop in subscribers for Netflix in the US within the next 12 months.
    • Market data to trade the week of 26 September: Nasdaq; NXT From the economic calendar next week IG technical analyst, Axel Rudolph, picks up on a short trade on the Nasdaq around US inflation data. Meanwhile, despite another light week of corporate data, Axel picks out the chart of Next plc (NXT) as an interesting trade to think about.          
×
×
  • Create New...